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Thread: divisional round early thoughts

  1. #1

    Lightbulb divisional round early thoughts

    will put up some early systems without committing.. seen a few that were close but didn't quite cut the mustard.. only one for now. will put final plays in separate thread

    divisional round..
    previous wildcard game..
    previous game home..
    previous artificial surface.
    margin <=3

    2-0 o/u (13.75)

    both played on grass in divisionals..
    both double digit margins so balanced..
    within range line and total..

    not enough to be a frontline play for obvious reasons but I think a positive.. could wind up going the other way if i find something i really like

    lar /dal over
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-08-2019 at 04:42 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     
  2. #2

    Re: divisional round early thoughts

    divisional round..
    home ..
    opp last reg season game div..
    opp previous home..
    total 42-53..
    dog >=3

    11-1 o/u (11.79)

    lar/dal over
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     
  3. #3

    Re: divisional round early thoughts

    divisional round...
    home..
    grass..
    previous division game..
    previous home..
    previous win >=11..
    total 38-53..
    2004



    all double digit overs..negative is total 4 points highest of other 5

    5-0 o/u (22.30)


    lar/dal over


    another note..the home team is averaging as many
    points in the 1st half as they are projected to score in the whole game based on avg line and total
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-09-2019 at 05:21 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     
  4. #4

    Re: divisional round early thoughts

    will not be playing kc/indy because of the high total but almost certainly will be on lar/dal over..will still start another thread
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     
  5. #5

    Re: divisional round early thoughts

    another note post 3
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     
  6. #6
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    Re: divisional round early thoughts


     
     
  7. #7

    Re: divisional round early thoughts

    divisional round ..
    away team >=1 win than home team..
    dog..
    outdoor venue..
    total <=51


    18.5/18/31/20.5

    4-0 o/u (22.00)

    ne/lac over
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-10-2019 at 05:52 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     
  8. #8

    Re: divisional round early thoughts

    divisional round..
    ne (team trend)
    home..
    favorite <=10..
    2008

    smallest favorite they've been in this sample which I consider a negative.. good subset with the total.. solid secondary system



    5-0 o/u (-12.00)


    ne/lac over
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-10-2019 at 07:42 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     
  9. #9

    Re: divisional round early thoughts

    divisional round..
    previous wildcard game..
    home previous on artificial surface..
    artificial today..
    dog 5-10..
    total >=48


    7-0 o/u (11.21)

    without limit on the dog goes to 10-0 but margins get slimmer..definite positive though

    no/pha over 51
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-12-2019 at 04:13 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     
  10. #10

    Re: divisional round early thoughts

    divisional round..
    home..
    previous opponent points =3 (exactly, not 0)
    total <50


    i know, I know - - - can hear it's just a fluke already lol... but i'll add it the others


    3-0 o/u (23.17)


    ne/lac over
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     

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