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Foreign invader definitely deserves Kentucky Derby consideration

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  • Foreign invader definitely deserves Kentucky Derby consideration

    In my derby handicapping, I keep coming back to Thunder Snow the winner of the Dubai Derby. Yeah, yeah, I know that no Dubai winner has ever finished better that 5th in Kentucky on the first Saturday. Here are the reasons, I think this year could be different:
    1) This years Dubai race may have been the deepest field they ever had including the undefeated Japanese horse Epicharis
    2) This is a totally wide open field with no clear favorite(s)
    3) He ran 1 3/16 miles in the Dubai, farther than any of his American competitors have ever run
    4) His breeding says he can go the distance.
    5) Miserable, muddy conditions will favor longer shots
    6) At 18-1 to 20-1 the price is right.
    Good luck to all.
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