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  • #16
    Re: Bowl Systems

    Play UNDER in any bowl game when a team averages 40.25ppg or more, yet the total appears peculiarly low (contrarian), the total is less than 64, as long as they are not a 3 or more point under dog:

    Since the start of the 2008 Bowl season:

    0-15 O/U to an average total of 56.7. These 15 games on average failed to reach that avg 56.7 total by 13.3ppg. That is because our offensive machine teams averaging 40.25ppg averaged just 26.1ppg in these 15 games.


    So for 2016 we have an under play on:

    Wash St/Minn (careful as Minn has some serious team and suspension issues)

    S. Florida/SC

    Mich/Fla St.

    Okla/Aub

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    • #17
      Re: Bowl Systems

      thanks for doing this

      great information!

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      • #18
        Re: Bowl Systems

        Play on Favs of 4 pts or less w/ less than 39 days rest off SU win scoring 46+pts,


        17-7 ATS, but 3-4 ATS since 2012

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        • #19
          Re: Bowl Systems

          Play against Favs w/ less than 8 wins, has at least 20+ days rest and are off 3 wins


          7-22-1 ATS ... 1-19-1 ATS last 21 games

          (Doesn't apply to any games this year)

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          • #20
            Re: Bowl Systems

            Double digit dogs are 28-14-3 ATS since 1980

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            • #21
              Re: Bowl Systems

              Play on any Bowl team with 2 losses, if one of those losses was in their last game, if their favored by less than -10, and facing an opponent off a win:

              17-0-1 ATS

              2016-17:

              MICHIGAN

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              • #22
                Re: Bowl Systems

                Play on any College Bowl team that lost their Bowl game the previous year by 30 or more points.

                Here are this year's plays with opening lines.


                1) Northwestern +5.5 (Dec. 28th)


                2) Iowa +3 (Jan. 2nd)



                8-2 ATS in the last 10 back to 2010

                25-18 ATS overall

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                • #23
                  Re: Bowl Systems

                  Bowls dogs from 12/15 to 12/31 that average 200>rush/gm are 23-7 ATS vs opp off BB W and don't avg 200>rush/gm


                  This is 9-4 ATS since 2007, and 3-1 ATS last year, this year plays on:

                  Wyoming
                  W. Virginia

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                  • #24
                    Re: Bowl Systems

                    Play against any bowl team that has covered their last 3 games when the line is +2.5 to -4 and the team has a winning percentage of less than .750.

                    13-44 ATS


                    Miami, Georgia Tech, Iowa

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                    • #25
                      Re: Bowl Systems

                      Play against any team that scored 60 or more points in their last game, if their opponent has less than 8 wins

                      0-10 ATS


                      That goes against Pittsburgh today (12/28) so play is on Northwestern

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                      • #26
                        Re: Bowl Systems

                        Originally posted by NYK View Post
                        Play on any College Bowl team that lost their Bowl game the previous year by 30 or more points.

                        Here are this year's plays with opening lines.


                        1) Northwestern +5.5 (Dec. 28th)


                        2) Iowa +3 (Jan. 2nd)



                        8-2 ATS in the last 10 back to 2010

                        25-18 ATS overall
                        I believe Florida also lost 41-7 last year to Michigan in the Citrus Bowl, so that should negate the Iowa play.
                        Last edited by Winningpix; 01-03-2017, 08:00 AM.
                        Twitter @winningpix1
                        Last Season NFL 96-71-7 +$3750

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                        • #27
                          Re: Bowl Systems

                          Just read this on another site....Seems worth posting in this sticky thread.

                          Bet one unit UNDER in the first half, if it wins then STOP and take your win. If it loses, bet 2 units UNDER for the second half. Only lost on one pre New Years bowl game and profitable 8 of the past 9 years.

                          4 games January 2nd. Won on first halves of Florida, Wisconsin, Oklahoma and lost both halves of 52-49 Rose Bowl USC over Penn State
                          Last edited by Winningpix; 01-03-2017, 08:09 AM.
                          Twitter @winningpix1
                          Last Season NFL 96-71-7 +$3750

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                          • #28
                            Re: Bowl Systems

                            Dogs with a higher SOS Sagarin rating:

                            N. Texas Loss
                            MTST Win
                            Akron -- 22 point dog Loss
                            Wyoming -- pending on where the line ends
                            Texas Tech Loss
                            W. Va Loss
                            UCLA Loss
                            Texas Win
                            Purdue Win
                            Stanford Win
                            Mich St Win
                            USC Loss
                            Iowa St. Win
                            Miami Loss
                            Notre Dame Win
                            Oklahoma Loss
                            Last edited by elwood; 12-08-2018, 10:06 PM.

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                            • #29
                              Re: Bowl Systems

                              Running Dogs:

                              Gst -- +6 Win
                              FIU -- +7 Loss
                              App St. -- +7.5 Win
                              N. Ill -- +4.5 Loss
                              S. Miss -- +15.5 Loss
                              Navy -- +2.5 Win
                              Mich st. -- +3 Win
                              Wash -- +2 Loss
                              Last edited by elwood; 12-08-2018, 10:00 PM.

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                              • #30
                                Re: Bowl Systems

                                Dogs of 7.5 or more in December:

                                Akron Loss
                                Grambling
                                Boise st Win
                                FIU - pending on your line
                                UAB Loss
                                App St Win
                                S. Miss Loss
                                Kentucky Win
                                USC Loss
                                Last edited by elwood; 12-08-2018, 10:09 PM.

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