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  • Bowl Systems

    Im going to try and fill in as many bowl systems as i can for this year to see how they do.

    Dogs with a higher Sargain SOS:

    Toledo -If they are dog --loss
    LaLaf +3 -- loss
    Memphis +3.5 -- loss
    Navy - If they are dog -- win
    Ohio +3.5 -- win covered the closing number
    N. Texas -- + -- win
    Wake Forest +13.5 -- win
    Baylor +7.5 -- win
    Northwestern +5 -- win
    West Va +3 -- loss
    Kst.+2 -- win
    S. Carolina +10 -- win
    Arkansas +6.5 -- loss
    TCU +1.5 -- no play at the close
    FSU +7 -- win
    Iowa +2.5
    Auburn +4
    Last edited by elwood; 12-31-2016, 10:12 AM.

  • #2
    Re: Bowl Systems

    Running Dogs: I simplified it to just more rush yards per game and the defense gives up less run yards per game.

    App St. +1.5 -- win
    LaLaf +3.5 -- loss
    Minnesota +7 -- win
    K. St. +2 -- win
    Louisville +3 -- loss
    Auburn +4
    Last edited by elwood; 12-31-2016, 01:58 PM.

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    • #3
      Re: Bowl Systems

      Underdogs of 7.5 or more in December bowl games:

      UTSA +7.5 -- win
      C. Mich +11.5 -- loss
      Wyoming +8.5 -- win
      Idaho +13.5 -- win
      Miami Oh +12 -- win
      N. Texas +9.5? -- win
      Baylor +7.5 -- win
      Indiana +8 -- win
      S. Carolina +10 -- win
      S. Alabama +12.5 -- loss
      Washington +16
      Last edited by elwood; 12-31-2016, 10:15 AM.

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      • #4
        Re: Bowl Systems

        "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

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        • #5
          Re: Bowl Systems

          Like looking at these.

          Stuck the thread at top of page for easy access.
          2016 CFB 183-184 -4580
          5* 6-8
          15* GOY 1-0

          2016 NFL 216-154 +11940
          10* GOY 1-0
          5* 11-7

          2016 NBA 480-404 +12200
          5* 18-12

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          • #6
            Re: Bowl Systems

            Thank you for putting them up.

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            • #7
              Re: Bowl Systems

              Thanks elwood for posting these systems. Love the Bowl Season. Usually make $$$$ betting the games. Probably because I focus on a few games at a time rather than an 40+ games on a Saturday.
              These teams meet the systems above criteria 2 times. These are the lines at Bookmaker as I write this.
              ULL +3-, Baylor +7- (-115), Kansas State +2 (-105), South Carolina +10-, Auburn +4 (-115). LOVE Kansas St.
              Last edited by BoboBrazil; 12-08-2016, 02:21 AM.

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              • #8
                Re: Bowl Systems

                2 units bet the dog if the teams have the same won/loss record:

                App st. +1 -- win
                La Laf. +3.5 -- loss
                BC +2.5 -- win
                Vandy +4 -- loss
                Minnesota +7 -- win
                K. St. +2 -- win
                Iowa +2.5



                3 units and 5 units
                Bet 3 units on the team with the worst record if they are a dog
                If they are a favorite, bet 5 units on the moneyline (only counted the games if they had the same number of games played)

                3-units:
                UTSA +7 -- win
                App st. +1 -- win
                C. Mich. +11.5 -- loss
                E. Mich +3.5 -- win covered the closing number
                Baylor +7.5 -- win
                NW +4.5 -- win
                S. Carolina +10.5 -- win
                UNC +3.5 -- win
                S. Alabama +12 -- loss
                FSU +6.5 -- win
                Kentucky +3 -- loss
                Washington +15.5
                Auburn +4

                5-unit:
                UCF -6 -- loss
                CSU -13.5 -- loss
                Miss St. -12 -- loss
                Miami -3.5 -- win
                Tenn -3 -- win
                Wisconsin -7
                Army -9? -- loss



                Lower ranked teams a dog to higher ranked teams:


                Oklahoma St. +3 -- win
                FSU +6.5 -- win
                W. Mich +7
                Auburn +4
                Washington +15.5



                Lower ranked teams as favorite to the higher ranked teams:

                LSU -3 -- win
                USC -7
                Ohio st. -3.5



                A team not ranked as a dog to a ranked team:

                La Tech +1.5 -- win
                WF +13 -- win
                Northwestern +4.5 -- win
                Indiana +8 -- win
                Arkansas +7 -- loss
                UNC +3.5 -- win
                Nebraska +3 -- loss
                Iowa +2.5



                A team not a ranked as a favorite over a ranked team:

                Miami -3.5 -- win
                Last edited by elwood; 12-31-2016, 02:00 PM.

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                • #9
                  Re: Bowl Systems

                  System #1 -- Play on dogs of 4-11 points from 12/25 to 12/31:

                  Vandy +4 -- loss
                  N. Texas +9? -- win
                  Minnesota +6.5 -- win
                  Baylor +7.5 -- win
                  Northwestern +5 -- win
                  Indiana +8 -- win
                  S. Carolina +10.5 -- win
                  Arkansas +7 -- loss
                  S. Alabama +12.5 -- loss
                  FSU +7 -- win
                  Washington +15.5

                  Sys #3 - Play Against Pre-New Years Day FAVS who won 8 or less gms, avg 121.5< rush/gm, vs opp who rushes for 140>ypg.

                  None

                  Sys #5 - Play on FAVS of 4 or less pts w/less than 39 days rest off SU win scoring 46+pts.

                  LSU -- win


                  Sys #8 - Play Against FAVS w/less than 8 wins, has at least 20+ days of rest, and are off 3 wins.

                  None
                  Last edited by elwood; 12-31-2016, 02:00 PM.

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                  • #10
                    Re: Bowl Systems

                    GREAT INFORMATION......THANK YOU AND PLEASE KEEP IT COMING...GREAT JOB
                    GUYDANIO
                    PHILADELPHIA

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                    • #11
                      Re: Bowl Systems

                      Fading the hiesman winner:

                      2010 Cam Newton -- push
                      2011 RG3 -- Loss
                      2012 Johnny Manzel -- Loss
                      2013 Jameis Winston -- Loss
                      2014 Marcus Mariota -- BCS
                      2015 Derrick Henry -- BCS
                      2016 Lamar Jackson -- LSU -3.5 -- win
                      Last edited by elwood; 12-31-2016, 02:02 PM.

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                      • #12
                        Re: Bowl Systems

                        Totals of 74 or more:

                        Memphis/ W. Kentucky 78 -- win
                        Last edited by elwood; 12-31-2016, 10:22 AM.

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                        • #13
                          Re: Bowl Systems

                          Play against a team that saw their last game total 80-89 points if their opponent is off a win.

                          It is now 14-32 ATS


                          One play this year, against Hawaii.

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                          • #14
                            Re: Bowl Systems

                            Double bowl system side and total

                            Teams playing their 14th game of the season against a team playing their 13th game of the season (basically the 14th game team played a Championship game, the opponent did not), and are a favorite in a December Bowl game, are 16-27 ATS as well as 25-7 to the under. Most of the 14th game teams playing in December, lost their Championship game, so this becomes a letdown game, while their opponent sees it more as a big game trying to beat a team that played in a Championship game, and as a dog, will be motivated for a much bigger win than their opponent would view it.

                            THIS YEAR PLAY ON TEAMS ARE:

                            MEMPHIS
                            WAKE FOREST
                            OKLAHOMA ST.
                            ARKANSAS

                            As well as the under in each game, which has been even stronger

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                            • #15
                              Re: Bowl Systems

                              Play on a Bowl team that allows more than 29 points per game on the season, if they are a double-digit dog:

                              13-2 ATS

                              That plays on Idaho

                              NOTE:

                              These teams are also great money line bets, as they are 6-9 SU as double digit dogs, including an amazing 6-3 SU in the last 9, winning as a dog of 10
                              12
                              13.5
                              16
                              11 twice

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