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NFL Plays Week 13 - Comp Plays up
52-64 for the season in the NFL (-$9,960)
Started the week with this play...
$500 Minnesota +3.5 (-120) Really think this line moves closer to 3 flat as the game nears, got the 3.5 while it only cost 20 cents juice. First time the Cowboys have played a good D on the road, no other road opponent had better than a 17th ranked NFL defense (total yards allowed). Cowboys defensive weaknesses also fits Vikings offensive weaknesses. Vikings struggle protecting the QB, Dallas has no pass rush, only 4 teams have less sacks. The Vikings are 12-4 ATS as home dogs and should force Prescott into mistakes playing a good defense in a hostile environment for the first time in his short NFL career. Just a few weeks ago Dallas was a 7 point favorite on the road against the Browns. My current power ranking have the Vikings as a 14 point better team than the Browns, yet here Dallas is just 3.5 points less of a favorite as they were against Cleveland. Very hard to bet against the Cowboys on a 10 game winning streak, but NFL teams on at least 10 game winning streaks are just 25-45 ATS (35.7%). Those same teams facing teams off a loss are 10-20 ATS (33.3%). NFL road favorites on 10 or more game winning streaks facing a team off a loss are 2-10 ATS (16.7%). Spotlight Thursday game makes this one of the heaviest bet games of the week, the bet split will be around 80/20 in Dallas favor. No brainer public fade here... $WINNER$ (+500)
Comp Plays
$400 New Orleans -6 LOSER (-440)
$300 Arizona -2.5
Started the week with this play...
$500 Minnesota +3.5 (-120) Really think this line moves closer to 3 flat as the game nears, got the 3.5 while it only cost 20 cents juice. First time the Cowboys have played a good D on the road, no other road opponent had better than a 17th ranked NFL defense (total yards allowed). Cowboys defensive weaknesses also fits Vikings offensive weaknesses. Vikings struggle protecting the QB, Dallas has no pass rush, only 4 teams have less sacks. The Vikings are 12-4 ATS as home dogs and should force Prescott into mistakes playing a good defense in a hostile environment for the first time in his short NFL career. Just a few weeks ago Dallas was a 7 point favorite on the road against the Browns. My current power ranking have the Vikings as a 14 point better team than the Browns, yet here Dallas is just 3.5 points less of a favorite as they were against Cleveland. Very hard to bet against the Cowboys on a 10 game winning streak, but NFL teams on at least 10 game winning streaks are just 25-45 ATS (35.7%). Those same teams facing teams off a loss are 10-20 ATS (33.3%). NFL road favorites on 10 or more game winning streaks facing a team off a loss are 2-10 ATS (16.7%). Spotlight Thursday game makes this one of the heaviest bet games of the week, the bet split will be around 80/20 in Dallas favor. No brainer public fade here... $WINNER$ (+500)
Comp Plays
$400 New Orleans -6 LOSER (-440)
$300 Arizona -2.5
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