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  • Re: horse plays

    finished fairgrounds and oaklawn
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • Re: horse plays

      added golden gate
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment


      • Re: horse plays




        only boldface will be graded from here forward.. lst few days will be graded tomorrow


        fairgrounds

        R2 #7 smiley briley (5-1)
        R4 #4 the next best thing (9-2)
        R5 #9 laser ladee (4-1)
        R6 #2 miracle mountain (9-2)
        R8 #8 no boundaries (6-1)
        R9 #4 shaniko's secret (10-1)


        oaklawn

        R1 #3 long gray line (9-2) 2WP
        R4 #10 officer syd (15-1) 2WP
        R6 #4 she's so fine (7-2)
        R7 #6 good move (3-1)
        R8 #4 off topic (7-2)



        aqueduct

        R5 #7 papa jim (8-1) 2WP


        tampa bay

        R5 #6 judith runs too (3-1) 2WP
        R7 #5 back to back* (9-2)
        R10 #6 soul of the* hero* (4-1)
        Last edited by bleeker; 02-17-2019, 01:08 PM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • Re: horse plays

          added aqueduct 5
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • Re: horse plays

            added tampa bay
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • Re: horse plays


              only boldface graded..may just quit this if I feel it's not worth doing




              oaklawn



              R3 #2 intrepid heart (5-2)
              R4 #2 takechargrmatriarch (12-1) 2WP
              R5 #9 pole setter (3-1)
              R6 #1 higher authority (10-1) 2WP
              R8 #1 copper bullet (6-1) 2WP
              R9 #8 six shooter (20-1)

              aqueduct

              R3 #3 big expense (12-1) 1WP





              santa anita

              R8 #8 curryforthree bang (5-1) 2WP
              Last edited by bleeker; 02-19-2019, 11:28 AM.
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment


              • Re: horse plays

                finished oaklawn
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • Re: horse plays

                  added santa anita 8
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • Re: horse plays

                    2/13 WEDNESDAY


                    tampa

                    R7 #7 aunt tinsey (6-1) 1WP
                    R8 #2 capable man (12-1) 1WP
                    R9 #3 global nation (6-1) 1WP.. SCRATCHED


                    delta downs

                    R8 #9 kodiak sky (8-1) 1WP
                    R10 #6 interactif moment (15-1) 1WP


                    4 HORSES
                    8 INVESTED
                    0 RETURNED



                    2/14 THURSDAY


                    oaklawn

                    R1 #6 one thirty nine (6-1) 1WP
                    R4 #3 k j's nobility (5-1) 1WP
                    R5 #5 essie's reward (7-2) 1WP
                    R9 #1 alena marie (10-1) 1WP

                    first time starter with very precocious pedigree top and bottom.. dam has produced two winners from as many starters.. up for 50k but that is just right for this horse's ped specs imo.. the rail in sprints at oaklawn is tremendous


                    4 HORSES
                    8 INVESTED
                    0 RETURNED



                    fairgrounds

                    R2 #2 blue rooster (8-1) 2W
                    R2 #8 magnum maduro (8-1) 2W same race
                    WINNER $$41. 00
                    R3 #2 spectactical (4-1) 2WP
                    PLACE $$3.80
                    R5 #6 horace charles (5-1) 2WP
                    R6 #6 beautiful ballad (6-1) 2WP
                    WINNER $$11.60/$4.80

                    cost a bunch for the pedigree.. broke his maiden last out in his 3yo debut at a mile vs msw on the turf..going to try and carry the cost factor through one more race.. trainer having huge meet

                    R7 #1 smithwick (30-1) 1WP
                    SHOW @ 104-1
                    R7 #2 baja viper (8-1) 2W
                    R7 #5 charcoal (8-1) 2W.. all 3 same race

                    off the record I'd do a 1257/1257 tri box.. think 1 on top a little tough but for a $1 I'll try it (24 combos)

                    R9 #5 cool sis (7-2) 2WP


                    9 HORSES
                    28 INVESTED
                    61.20 RETURNED




                    santa anita.. know it's sloppy

                    R8 #5 duchamp (12-1) 2W
                    R8 #7 bump bailey (8-1) 2W..same race
                    WINNER $$26.40


                    delta downs

                    R3 #9 such (12-1) 1WP
                    R6 #8 realmente calmada (3-1) 1WP
                    PLACE $4.40 (GET HALF)
                    R10 #8 callmechamp (7-2) 1WP


                    SA + DELTA

                    5 HORSES
                    10 INVESTED
                    28.60 RETURNED





                    22 HORSES
                    52 INVESTED
                    116.20 RETURNED


                    173 HORSES
                    542 INVESTED
                    578.45 RETURNED
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • Re: horse plays

                      2/15 FRIDAY


                      gulfstream


                      R10 #5 early time (4-1) 2WP

                      gotta love a horse who finishes 8th in his debut and loses by a neck.. looked like a 4 way dead heat for the win but could find no confirmation when I searched (toulouse in france) as that's an extreme rarity.. this happened a few starts back as a 2yo..horse has credentials in here but the debut takes the cake

                      R11 #6 king wade (15-1) 1WP



                      oaklawn


                      R5 #5 drop dead gorgeous (6-1) 2WP
                      PLACE $$5.40
                      R6 #4 three time charmer (20-1) 1WP


                      fairgrounds

                      R9 #2 fiftieth (4-1) 2WP
                      PLACE $$4.60


                      5 HORSES
                      16 INVESTED
                      10 RETURNED


                      178 HORSES
                      558 INVESTED
                      588.45 RETURNED
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • Re: horse plays

                        2/16 SATURDAY


                        gulfstream

                        R3 $2 pick 3 (races 3-5)

                        24/1/2 ($4) counts as 2 bets (horses played) .. think a hit would pay about $13

                        R6 #2 wild one forever (12-1) 1WP
                        R7 #3 beach dreaming (4-1) 2WP
                        WINNER $$10.00/$4.40


                        tampa

                        R3 #2 night rythm (6-1) 1WP
                        R4 #1 crypto gold (3-1) 2WP
                        PLACE $$3.40


                        5 HORSES
                        14 INVESTED
                        20.80 RETURNED






                        fairgrounds

                        R3 #1 thenextbestthing (6-1) 2WP
                        R6 #3 dynamic force* (10-1) 2W
                        R6 #4 another mystery* (12-1) 2W
                        R7 #9 free speech* (5-1) 2W
                        R7 #10 golden tiger (8-1) 2W
                        R10 #5 big changes (6-1) 2WP
                        R11 #3 serengetti empress (6-1) 2WP
                        WINNER $$5.80/$4.00
                        R12 #1 plus que parfait (10-1) 2W
                        R12 #4 chase the ghost (30-1) 1WP


                        8 HORSES
                        20 INVESTED
                        9.80 RETURNED



                        oaklawn

                        R2 #6 starlin* (12-1) 1WP
                        R3 #1a stormy pacific* (5-1) 2WP
                        PLACE $$2.60
                        R4 #8 mia promessa* (8-1) I WP
                        R5 #7 eurodevilwoman (6-1) 1WP
                        PLACE $$7.00 (GET HALF)
                        R9 #7 kansas city zip (6-1) 2WP


                        santa anita


                        R9 #1 kichiro (4-1) 2W
                        R9 #2 violent behavior (6-1) 2W





                        golden gate .. el camino real stakes

                        R7 #7 eagle song (5-1) 1WP SCRATCHED

                        can take it to the limit



                        7 HORSES
                        18 INVESTED
                        6.10 RETURNED




                        20 HORSES
                        52 INVESTED
                        36.70 RETURNED



                        198 HORSES
                        610 INVESTED
                        625.15 RETURNED

                        +2.4%


                        that will conclude grading everything.. from here forward just boldfaced will be graded ..i started this with the idea of cutting back my plays but obviously that didn't happen and was much more difficult than I thought..going to try to isolate plays that I feel have a better chance to be profitable over the large sample the rest of the way..they will be boldfaced and will commit to 200 of them



                        also worth mentioning that this is not the ideal way to do things as you are on horses you might not be because the live odds are too low.. works the other way too that they go off higher than morning line and win...overall though it's a bigger edge to be playing live and with the avg take on WPS around 18% you need all the edges you can get.. it's more like low - mid 20's for exacta, triples and horizontal bets (pick 3's 4's 5's and 6's) depending on the track.. hard to overcome that take
                        Last edited by bleeker; 02-19-2019, 08:20 AM.
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment


                        • Re: horse plays

                          parx

                          R2 #6 miss star lo (30-1) 1WP
                          R3 #2 preston's princess (3-1) 2WP
                          R4 #10 iwasbornawinner(20-1) 1WP
                          R5 #3 true blue (30-1) 1WP
                          R10 #5 secret lies (5-1) 1 WP


                          beginning to see how much stuff is rooted in my angles.. going to need to scrutinize more but that will take time


                          mahoning


                          R1 #3 on key (9-5) 4W

                          should really whoop these.. oh sht shouldn't have said that lol


                          R6 #3 elegant angel (6-1)
                          R7 #2 canyon creed (7-2)
                          R8 #4 lady rubi (3-1) 2W



                          turf paradise


                          R8 #6 licorice drop pops (6-1) 1WP









                          only boldface graded
                          Last edited by bleeker; 02-19-2019, 04:28 PM.
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • Re: horse plays

                            who is the best tout for Oaklawn? I am going Saturday.. I was looking at getting racing dudes picks.. Any thoughts there?

                            Comment


                            • Re: horse plays

                              Originally posted by Darkhorsecapper17 View Post
                              who is the best tout for Oaklawn? I am going Saturday.. I was looking at getting racing dudes picks.. Any thoughts there?

                              stopped with touts a long time ago.. i've looked at the racing dudes briefly and at least they seem honest but I have no personal experience with them
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • Re: horse plays

                                i usually get a form and just study the night before.. I usually do pick 3/4's daily doubles etc.. Knock on wood but was extremely lucky last time at oaklawn. Just trying to see if anyone was doing well....

                                Comment

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