Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

horse plays

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Re: horse plays

    saratoga


    R1 #2 undercutter (15-1)


    could see this first time gelding waking up at this level.. comes in off almost a year layoff and had to deal with breaking from the rail in big fields two and three starts backs.. won in 2nd career race off 3 month layoff last year



    R3 #5 empress of the nile (8-1)



    R4 #3 chubby master (9-2)

    last year..7/22 ..clm.. 25kn3l.. 6.5f..beyer 73..5th
    back.. 8/18..clm 14kn3l..7f.. 2nd by half length

    this year.. 7/23..clm 25k n3l.. 6.5f..beyer 72..5th
    back today.. clm 14kn3l..7f..????

    similar running lines



    R5 #5 lemoona (6-1)

    2yof msw turf 8.5f.. mott first timer by lemon drop kid (distance. turf).. cost 170k and for the info shown a lot of money.. not a ridiculous amount but definitely more than avg.. if it were belmont wouldn't pick but saratoga a different story..




    R6 #8 mominou (15-1)

    combo ex/ped (slightly) speed pedigree and castellano rides for toner.. nice works






    R9 #5 blue prize (6-1)

    like the back class in argentina and both efforts here solid


    R10 #6 outrageous bet (6-1)

    has had extreme posts (inside or outside.. 1 post away I count) in his last 8 races..lands the 6 hole today.. seems to like turf sprinting and placed reasonably here. this jock has won at big prices for this trainer.. solid work pattern including a bullet 3f at bel 3 days ago

    Last edited by bleeker; 08-20-2017, 03:43 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • Re: horse plays

      added R10
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment


      • Re: horse plays

        saratoga

        R1 #1 ever young (5-1)

        R2 #1 thin dress (8-1)
        R3 #3 marnesia big girl (3-1)
        R4 #3 tres charmant (2-1)
        R5 #9 patriot drive (4-1)



        R6 #3 run and go (9-5)
        R7 #7 converge (8-5)


        R9 #3 bankers holiday (8-1)

        guessing they've earned about 50-60k since the claim last year for 40k.. up for a 50k tag here and they'll be a 30k winner's share so like the math for running him here... if he's anywhere near his ability last year very capable vs these including a neck loss here with a very wide trip
        at same distance.. what put it over the top for me is trainer joe sharp 9/32 with a big roi coming off an over 180 day layoff
        Last edited by bleeker; 08-21-2017, 01:53 PM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • Re: horse plays

          finished card
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • Re: horse plays

            added write-up for last race
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • Re: horse plays

              Good job with selections today couple good winners ! Couldn't believe the payout of the super in the 4th with your horse on top over 30 k !! Wish I had that ticket

              Comment


              • Re: horse plays

                Originally posted by Jim13 View Post
                Good job with selections today couple good winners ! Couldn't believe the payout of the super in the 4th with your horse on top over 30 k !! Wish I had that ticket

                thanks jim13.. wow wasn't even looking at that.. quite a hit if you covered a lot underneath maybe you get lucky.. gonna post today's here

                saratoga

                R1 #5 miguel grau (15-1)

                this would fall under my similar running lines lead to success angle..last line to me looks similar to 8/6 here
                last year which was followed by a good 2nd at 10-1 at belmont (going 3/16 further also)..also similar to 4/23/16
                line. .gonna give him a break on soft turf following that race and then won by just shy of 10 lengths after that at 10-1..trainer valentine goes back a long way with hurdlers
                off the top of my head but 0/25 jock crimin..hmm not so much ..ehh have a little fun lol


                R3 #6 elusive mischief (9-2)

                75k stud out of a placed dam and first foal to race. .350k BIG BUCKS..already hit with 2yo fts by into mischief earlier this meet although that was dirt..cost about the same if I remember correctly. .solid works including a bullet 4f bg out of 57 works 2 back

                other note : #9 devine entry (6-1) at 100k is also ex/ped. .by new sire point of entry (dynaformer turf) out of an elusive quality mare (turf speed)..jose ortiz.. who's that !! ha ha..linda rice


                R6 only opinion 256 should get you through 1st leg

                R7 #9 red curls (30-1)

                trainer,owner,breeder (lambholm is his)0/35 this year including 0/6 at this meet..like this filly as a bomb mainly cause of her pedigree. curlin out of a stakes winning forest wildcat mare who has only raced on turf so far..3rd off 2.5 month layoff and 2 turns should be ok with that sire

                R8 #5 renown (10-1)

                4 wins last year at 12f including a listed and grade 3 stakes among them.. respectable 3rd in this race last year.. same last race at delaware prior to coming here in 2016.. belmont gold cup at 2 miles a little much 2 back.. ran evenly back of the pack behind a slow pace
                in last.. think he's going to be overlay here


                R9 #7 cliffs of dover (10-1)

                wide posts last 3 starts.. ran evenly last out off 8+ month layoff and comment was " rank restrained to back". in prior two starts was on the front end of a closers track (according to drf)... prior to that a win at saratoga on the turf.. blinkers added 6 back seems to have made a big difference with this gelding.. saez has had success riding for trainer 3/11..positive roi

                R10 #7 nut nut (8-1)

                wide trip breaking from 13 post last time and caught behind a slow pace 2 back.. all 2nd's 2-4 back. I'd take 8-1 in a heartbeat on this one
                Last edited by bleeker; 08-23-2017, 02:24 PM.
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • Re: horse plays

                  added R8 R9

                  will have pick R10
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • Re: horse plays

                    added R10
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • Re: horse plays

                      saratoga

                      R1 #9 casino markets (20-1) hurdles
                      R2 #5 la contessa (5-2)
                      R3 #3 baratti (6-1)
                      R4 #4 born for a storm (3-1)
                      R6 #3 frost delay (15-1)

                      R7 #7 ten penny princess

                      finally a good post and top jockey hops aboard.. last running line very similar to 9/1 which he followed with a win.. time in between similar also 24-28 days

                      R9 #6 bernadiva (20-1) play 52

                      R10 #10 banker's Island (20-1)
                      Last edited by bleeker; 08-24-2017, 04:18 PM.
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • Re: horse plays

                        added R7
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment


                        • Re: horse plays

                          added R9 R10
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • Re: horse plays

                            saratoga


                            R1 #3 jody's song (6-1)


                            250k yearling scat daddy out of a winning speightstown mare.. 2 starters and 1 winner from the dam but dpi low couldn't have been anything special.. love pedigree for turf and win early and even at 100k stud fee consider expensive for the pedigree

                            R2 #7 samadi sky (12-1)

                            excuses last two and was a real hard knocker as a 3yo.. johnny v jumps aboard off a 4 month freshening and only mount he had for Barbara was a 16.80 winner..if he's higher than ml don't touch

                            R3 #3 sunset ridge (1-5)

                            no show wagering and sure they'll be a minus place pool... this will be like a workout for this horse

                            R4 #4 chaseindamoney (9-2)

                            even at 72k (yearling purchase) I consider this ex/ped..freud (10k stud) and first foal to of an unraced midas eyes dam (cheap dam sire).. speed pedigree and ortiz/rice.. workouts mostly slow so a little bit camouflaged

                            R5 pass

                            R6 #6 grandpa's arianna (6-1)

                            perfect race ( run line) to stretch out off, switch to jv, first lasix, and solid works.. 15k yearling up for mdn clm 40k.. good fit


                            R7 #4 feeling bossy (8-1)

                            like the way after he got through his state bred alw conditions he was able to get through open n1x and n2xot
                            conditions in consecutive races..respectable effort last out at 1 1/2 miles in listed stakes..runs well fresh

                            R8 #1 one last cast (15-1)

                            what !! 15-1 pletcher..bred and owned by him and pops..has solid pedigree on bottom as dpi very high..stuck behind slow pace last out at belmont and ships her up from mth to try this 2yo state bred stakes ..interesting at a price

                            R10 #3 can you dig it
                            R11 #12 louisiana lady (12-1)
                            Last edited by bleeker; 08-25-2017, 04:11 PM.
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment


                            • Re: horse plays

                              added R6
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • Re: horse plays

                                added R7 R8
                                _______________________________________________
                                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X