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  • Re: horse plays

    also should mention first post moved up to 11:30 today.. should have checked this yesterday sorry
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • Re: horse plays

      through 7..next post will finish card
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment


      • Re: horse plays

        finished gulfstream
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • Re: horse plays

          play 26 and play 27

          fairgrounds

          R6 #1 gambler (9-2) 4WP


          3rd @ 7-2


          R8 #2 pure valor (4-1) 4WP

          out at 4-5
          Last edited by bleeker; 01-25-2020, 10:17 PM.
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • Re: horse plays

            added a 2nd play above
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • Re: horse plays

              Originally posted by bleeker View Post
              gulfstream saturday... all 1 WP


              R12 #1 true timber (15-1) pegasus world cup

              biggest race of the day but there are 8 other stakes races on the card.. will be looking tomorrow


              like how he ran in the previous two cigar miles.. think at nice odds worth a shot that he'll take to two turns.. had an extremely wide trip on a sloppy track running in this race last year.. being by mineshaft out of a tiznow mare he should like the extra ground he'll have to go here



              R1 #5 lovely queen (3-1)

              R2 #1 trove (8-1)

              $650k first time starter.. that's a lot of money for any horse but with this horse's pedigree specs it's an extraordinary amount.. mott usually not big on firsters but being its the undercard on a big race day and what he's got to work with I'll take a shot with him


              R3 #1 shekky shebaz (8-5)

              rail is excellent in turf sprints.. will be tough to beat at around 4-5


              R4 #10 market analysis (7-2)

              pletcher first time starter who also falls into the category of expensive for the pedigree.. speed win early bloodlines also and johnny v aboard.. another situation where big trainer would like to show off a good one on the undercard of a big day.. but Todd is one of the best at it while mott is way below avg but this will be reflected in the odds


              R5 #7 ambassador luna (8-1)

              lightly raced talented horse ready to try stakes company off a big figure easy allowance win


              R6 #9 limari (10-1)

              like the cutback from 1 3/16 to 7 1/2 furlongs.. think vs listed stakes company she can be tough.. versatile running style and solid jock saez aboard.. outside posts at this distance good over a small sample

              R7 #10 gray magician (6-1)

              miller fantastic 2nd off the layoff and with rosario aboard..horse simply a good fit performance wise with this field

              R8 #6 lady paname (3-1)

              R10 #7 cross border (9-2)


              generic recap

              9 races played (1 scratch)

              (2) 20-1+ horses out of money.. (1 of those the big race)
              (1) 6-5 winner
              (1) 6-5 distant 2nd
              (1) 1-2.. 4th by less than 1.5 (not best of trips)
              (1) 5-1 missed by a neck at the wire beaten by a $70 horse
              other 3 out of the money
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment


              • Re: horse plays

                play 28


                gulfstream

                R5 #9 pilot episode (12-1) 4WP

                don't get morning line.. will be lower


                out @ (8-1)
                Last edited by bleeker; 01-26-2020, 02:23 PM.
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • Re: horse plays

                  through 28 plays

                  $204 invested
                  $312 returned
                  260 cumulative odds (9.4 avg odds)
                  Last edited by bleeker; 01-29-2020, 11:49 AM.
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • Re: horse plays

                    play 29

                    tampa bay

                    R8 #3 economic policy (5-2) 6WP

                    first time starter chad brown.. probably around even money.. don't think his main client too concerned with the smaller purse at tampa (big bucks player) vs getting a good race into his horse that won't be as taxing as a major track (gulfstream).. they have a very nice turf course at this track.. gets best turf rider and chad on fire there with limited starters(no surprise).. bred to like the turf



                    2nd @ 8-5.. $3.20 place
                    Last edited by bleeker; 01-30-2020, 04:31 PM.
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • Re: horse plays

                      my returned was $5 too high..if anybody notices a math error let me know
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • Re: horse plays

                        play 30


                        gulfstream

                        R10 #11 maverick kitten (6-1) 4WP

                        like everything about this horse except the post... hopefully a scratch or two but a play either way.. possibly another later.. remember always try and give at least 3 hours notice



                        2nd by a nose @ 9-2 .. $4.80 place wide both turns



                        play 31


                        fairgrounds


                        R5 #8 heavenly sis (4-1) 5WP



                        out @ 7-2
                        Last edited by bleeker; 01-30-2020, 04:38 PM.
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment


                        • Re: horse plays

                          added a 2nd play.. done
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • Re: horse plays

                            through 31 plays

                            $234 invested
                            $328 returned
                            270 cumulative odds (8.7 avg odds)
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment


                            • Re: horse plays

                              play 32 and 33


                              gulfstream

                              R6 #4 lady panda (4-1) 5WP


                              2nd @ 2-1 ...3.80 place

                              R10 #6 saavy cairo (3-1) 5WP


                              out @ 5-2
                              Last edited by bleeker; 02-04-2020, 06:43 PM.
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • Re: horse plays

                                play 34 /35


                                gulfstream


                                R7 #1 rogue element (20-1) 3WP


                                out @ 45-1

                                aqueduct

                                R5 #7 quality stones (9-2) 4WP


                                winner $9.80/5.10
                                Last edited by bleeker; 02-04-2020, 06:46 PM.
                                _______________________________________________
                                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                                Comment

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