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  • Re: horse plays

    day 4 maiden special races only.. post 4612


    churchill


    opening day.. this card is only 2yo races (every year they do this) which is why there's so many maidens.. will not be another day like this through this sample




    R2 #8 army wife (5-2)
    R4 #1 hillbilly logic (5-1)

    hate taking a wes ward firster cause it's so obvious but there is a horse who's run well already
    (possibly another if an ae draws in) and like pedigree.. he actually bred and owns this one also and it's a nice turf pedigree


    R7 #5 bella conchita (12-1) 5W 3P


    R9 #10 camp hope (15-1) 3WP
    R9 #7 floriform (8-1) 2W



    R11 #7 royal tryst (15-1) 3WP


    belmont


    R2 #8 peace nicker (8-1) 3WP
    R5 #9 third draft (10-1) 3WP



    IGNORE TO RIGHT OF MORNING LINE
    Last edited by bleeker; 10-25-2020, 11:07 AM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • Re: horse plays

      added belmont 2..ignore to the right of morning line
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment


      • Re: horse plays

        added belmont 5
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • Re: horse plays

          day 5 of 2yo maiden special races only.. post 4612


          parx is a 2nd level track and finger lakes a small track but still looking at 2 year old msw races only



          finger lakes

          R7 #5 look out lambo (5-1)

          find it interesting they'd take a 2yo who ha been training regularly at finger lakes down to mth to try a turf route VS mcl in his debut.. ran a very solid 4th losing by <2 lengths.. of course no turf at the lakes but still the only horse with route experience and I put a mcl (probably their top level @ 40k) at mth ahead of msw at finger lakes class-wise.. top 3 jock rides today for top trainer jeff englehart




          parx


          R5 #7 b b's rocket (4-1)



          mahoning


          R5 #2 joya brilliante (8-1)
          Last edited by bleeker; 10-27-2020, 10:49 AM.
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • Re: horse plays

            added mahoning 5
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • Re: horse plays

              parx


              R8 #4 jimmy the kid (6-1)



              churchill


              R7 #8 american patrol (8-1)



              gulfstream west


              R4 #7 khosea (10-1)
              Last edited by bleeker; 10-27-2020, 11:01 PM.
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment


              • Re: horse plays

                churchill

                R7 #6 impeach me

                2yo msw that was taken off the turf.. first time starter with excellent mud and win early pedigree.. trainer one of the better at getting them to win at first asking.. I'm guessing around 5-2 and wouldn't touch above 5-1 if you're betting live
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • Re: horse plays

                  churchill


                  R3 #10 megan's clara (8-1)




                  gulfstream west


                  R1 #7 ma reve (15-1)





                  indiana.. turf and looks like good weather


                  R4 #7 merry prankster (4-1)

                  nice pedigree for this track.. but that might not be a good thing



                  remington


                  R6 #7 time for a song (7-2)





                  penn national






                  9:10pm
                  R8 #2 Iron clash (15-1)


                  was an entry but other half scratched.. this is the one I like.. firster with a real nice pedigree, capable trainer and top jock aboard.. think will be much lower

                  Last edited by bleeker; 11-04-2020, 04:51 PM.
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • Re: horse plays

                    added a couple of more



                    reminder.. only picking 2 year old maiden special weight races.. exception, will be posting breeders cup plays here friday and saturday
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • Re: horse plays

                      keeneland friday




                      haven't looked at bc races yet.. these are 2 of the 6 pre breeders cup races


                      haven't looked at bc races yet



                      R4 #6 unique factor (8-1)

                      ran evenly behind a slow pace and drops a notch.. similar scenario 3 starts back yielded a win.. trainer excellent in sprint races over a huge sample




                      R5 #9 miranique (50-1)

                      trying the pacific classic off a 5 month layoff a bit much 2 back.. followed that with a nothing effort in a grade 2 @ 1 1/8 miles.. so what's good a out this lol.. pace compromised in both.. 50 days between last 2 races and 25 to today's.. this horses last 3 races in argentina were excellent.. all grade 1's @ 10f (17), 12f (11)and 12.5f (23)** (today 13f)..i like the idea at a price 3rd off the layoff and back at a marathon distance.. possibly a fairer pace



                      ** field size




                      breeders cup


                      R7 #5 cadillac (6-1) juvy turf

                      maybe the last race @ 7f vs grade 1's (Newmarket) will throw the public off a bit (not a horrible effort anyway) .. a win and near miss in Ireland the 2 races before that vs grade 2 company


                      R8 #5 girl daddy (6-1) juvy fillies


                      combo how much she cost, 2 races she ran including pace


                      R9 #4 plum ali (4-1) juvy filly turf
                      perfect 3/3..

                      won debut route turf saratoga ..
                      won kentucky downs sprint ($500k stakes)
                      won g2 @ belmont 2 turns..

                      love the versatility.. 3 different tracks including oddball kd


                      R10 #11 next (15-1) juvy

                      think ml a bit high but the off the turf wire to wire win was at this track and pace was very honest



                      Last edited by bleeker; 11-04-2020, 09:17 AM.
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • Re: horse plays

                        finished.. didn't say clearly earlier that these picks are for keeneland Friday (1st day of breeders cup)
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment


                        • Re: horse plays

                          2011 Winner of TIS college football contest
                          2012 - 2013
                          NBA 33-18-1
                          MLB 16-12
                          NFL 27-13-1
                          CFB 12-11
                          CBB 9-2
                          MLB 2013 2-0
                          NHL 1-0

                          2013
                          GOY 1-0 Mississippi +9.5 Over LSU 27-24

                          2018
                          NFL 0-1

                          Comment


                          • Re: horse plays

                            Originally posted by FRAOLI4444 View Post


                            thanks fraoli probably have saturday's up by friday
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment


                            • Re: horse plays

                              added penn national 8 (4628)
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • Re: horse plays

                                thursday


                                churchill



                                R6 #5 mcnally (12-1) think lower

                                R7 #6 scarred (6-1)
                                R7 #1 midlaner (15-1)


                                laurel


                                R3 #1 my maggy moo (15-1)
                                R3 #5 shootinforthemoon (6-1)







                                friday


                                aqueduct (opening day)










                                R3 #7 kokopelli (7-2)

                                nicely bred clement firster




                                del mar


                                R8 #9 sensible cat (8-1)






                                .
                                Last edited by bleeker; 11-05-2020, 04:55 PM.
                                _______________________________________________
                                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                                Comment

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