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Thread: horse plays

  1. #2476

    Re: horse plays

    churchill...friday (figuring sloppy)

    R1 #2 sweet legacy (7-2)
    R2 #2 admire (6-1)
    R3 #3 heavy roller (10-1)
    R4 #3 trophy chaser (3-1)
    R5 #10 so perfect (12-1)
    R6 #4 just wonderful (6-1)
    R7 #1 reflect (15-1)
    R8 #6 henley's joy (8-1)
    R8 #5 line of duty (10-1)

    R9 #8 standard deviation (12-1)

    not in love with this race...$450k yearling and even though by elite sire curlin it's a lot to pay with nothing special production-wise
    on the bottom..stamina top and bottom of the pedigree..broke maiden first out at saratoga @ 7f
    with a slow beyer..had to deal with 13 post in 2nd start in G1 at kee and still managed 3rd..blinkers on is a high % move for chad brown and lots of speed entered which could set up nice for him

    R10 #9 toast of new york (9-2)





    aqueduct

    R6 #8 the other kessler (8-1)
    R9 #1 take charge mirella (6-1)
    Last edited by bleeker; 11-02-2018 at 04:36 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  2. #2477

    Re: horse plays

    added churchill 5-8 and aqueduct 6
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  3. #2478

    Re: horse plays

    have 2 horses R8 churchill..left #5 out originally
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  4. #2479

    Re: horse plays

    finished churchill and did last @ aqueduct
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  5. #2480

    Re: horse plays

    churchill

    R8 #7 expert eye (8-1)
    R8 #11 lightning spear (20-1)
    R11 #2 roaring lion (20-1)


    aqueduct*

    R10 #4 hungry kitten (8-1)
    Last edited by bleeker; 11-03-2018 at 03:19 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  6. #2481

    Re: horse plays

    added aqueduct 10
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  7. #2482

    Re: horse plays

    santa anita

    R10 #9 knight's cross (8-1)
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  8. #2483

    Re: horse plays

    indiana grande

    R1 #4 bahnke (4-1)
    R3 #10 ricki (10-1)
    R5 #7 flatoutjustice (8-1)
    R6 #4 expect indy (7-2)
    R7 #4 the money dance (5-2)
    R8 #11 ladonia (6-1)
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  9. #2484

    Re: horse plays

    churchill


    R1 #1 limari (5-1) 2 units
    R2 #5 mr dumas (9-2)
    [COLOR=#000000]R4 #2 mucha mezquina (5-1)
    R5 #5 bally squall (15-1)R6 #6 macha's reward (8-1)
    R10 #10 momma jean (8-1)

    the winner of the mdn 5k she exits at btp ran about 5-6 lengths faster than the par for this mdn 10k..she finished 2nd in that race..0/26 jock at the meet and 0/23 trainer on the year is the bad news
    /COLOR]

    aqueduct

    R1 #7 perspicacious (12-1)
    R2 #2 naples legacy (12-1)

    R3 #2 swiping dan (5-1)

    jose ortiz hops off #5 who won his last 2 races by a combined 7 lengths with big figures
    to ride this one.. kelly breen a solid trainer but ortiz never ridden for him.. find interesting

    R4 #6 call wil (4-1)

    ships in from laurel and takes what I'd consider a double jump in class (lrl 16k-aqu 25k)..
    won 3 back off a very similar running line and time off in between and also shipped that time
    from mth to prx.. jockey who rode him at lrl last out rides him again today and coincidentally has switched over to riding here in that time period



    R5 pass


    indiana grand

    R7 #11 toss of fate (8-1)

    this is a statebred stakes for 2 year olds.. he followed up a solid 2nd in his sprint debut with a win around 2 turns on the turf.. like the fact that even though his last win was on the turf it was around two turns and this field lacks horses with route experience.. he was on average (1st and 2nd call) 2 lengths off a very fast 8 lengths above par pace.. a MUCH better than average pedigree for an indiana bred (kentucky bloodlines)


    R8 #1 given favorite (5-1)

    this race statebred (sb) clm 5kn3l

    started out in sb mdn 10k and did nothing..
    dropped to sb mdn 5k at 1 mile and won easy..
    next sb alw 1 mile turf (41-1) ridiculous placing..nothing..
    placed properly sb clm 5kn2l at a mile.. wins
    another stupid placing in a sb alw (49-1) and does nothing..
    where he should be today sb 5kn3l @ 1 mile
    Last edited by bleeker; 11-07-2018 at 04:29 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  10. #2485

    Re: horse plays

    finished churchill
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  11. #2486

    Re: horse plays

    added 7 8 indiana
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  12. #2487

    Re: horse plays

    churchill

    R2 #4 final cut (12-1)
    R3 #1 dedicated (5-1)
    R6 #8 shining knight (10-1)
    R10 #6 tensweep (9-2)

    aqueduct

    R9 #6 thefinalcrazydude (8-1)
    Last edited by bleeker; 11-08-2018 at 02:51 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  13. #2488

    Re: horse plays

    finished cd
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  14. #2489

    Re: horse plays

    added aqu 9
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  15. #2490

    Re: horse plays

    aqueduct


    R1 #2 champagne bliss (8-1)


    trainer contessa with first time mdn claimers is 7/73 and for every $2 bet $1.07 returned.. #5 (4-5) morning line...could see mine waking up at this level on a fast track in her third start.. ran evenly vs msw on the turf in debut and caught a sloppy track last out.. james toner in a small sample has great numbers in mcl races


    R2 #9 elegant rose (15-1)


    honestly like other ones better than this but have to be loyal to my expensive for the pedigree angle.. it'd be amongst 3 or 4 horses and not gonna say here.. graham motion has a $725k debut horse by war front (#5) and only reason i'm pointing it out is to show what a terrible bet he is in this situation.. he gets stock as good as anybody out there but if you bet on his debut horses you get killed.. 5/111 and for every $2 bet you get 78 back


    R3 #4 tayler's the boss (9-2)

    R4 #4 kathy's cause (8-1)


    2yo msw statebred 1 mile turf..


    like the even turf sprint debut at saratoga and then had a wide trip in his 2nd outing in an off the turf route.. comes in off 2 month rest.. like getting a giant's causeway in against ny breds and he should certainly like the 2 turns.. jose ortiz (only 2nd to his brother) best turf rider on circuit




    R5 #5 daria's angel (9-2)


    speaking of his brother lol (aboard this one.. not turf but doesn't matter).. horse ran an almost identical race to his last (6/20) at same distance (6.5f) prior to stretching out to a mile for an easy win.. he even repeated in his following race also at a mile (belmont 1 turn mile same as here).. claimed by gullo last race (excellent first off claim) and he'll be stretching out to a mile again


    will finish card later and if churchill comes up good or better probably post a few from there also



    del mar

    R8 #2 tiz a master (6-1)
    Last edited by bleeker; 11-09-2018 at 06:43 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  16. #2491

    Re: horse plays

    added aqu 4 5
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  17. #2492

    Re: horse plays

    added dmr 8
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  18. #2493

    Re: horse plays

    aqueduct


    R1 #4 trance (6-1)
    R2 pass
    R3 #4 classic romeo (9-2)

    R9 #6 pirate's treasure (6-1)

    churchill

    R6 #7 shaharazard (8-1)
    R11 #3 taylor's princess (8-1)


    del mar

    R9 #3 giza goddess (15-1)

    Last edited by bleeker; 11-10-2018 at 07:14 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  19. #2494

    Re: horse plays

    added aqu 3..will be more busy this morning
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  20. #2495

    Re: horse plays

    added aqu 9 and cd 6
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  21. #2496

    Re: horse plays

    added churchill 11
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  22. #2497

    Re: horse plays

    added del mar 9
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  23. #2498

    Re: horse plays

    churchill downs

    R2 #3 northern connect (4-1)
    R5 #6 youngin' fearless* (10-1)
    R6 #2 he's the souperwon* (10-1)
    R7 #4 one thirty nine* (2-1)
    R10 #10 she's so bossy* (10-1) 10's
    Last edited by bleeker; 11-11-2018 at 03:31 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  24. #2499

    Re: horse plays

    won't be on a race at aqu or cd till after 3pm (besides above race) but will have at least 2 more.. will post before 2pm
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     
  25. #2500

    Re: horse plays

    finished cd
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football are avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in this thread but on occasion will mention

     
     

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