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Thread: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

  1. #51

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Sundays matches for Under with this post all star are the following

    UNDERS:
    CLEV
    METS
    MARLINS
    SDP
    PIT
    CUBS
    LAA
    TEXAS

    OVERS

    BOS
    TB
    MIN

    HIGH% PLAYS 4-0 YESTERDAY
    LAD 77%
    SFG/SD UNDER 77%
    METS 77%

    SDP 75%
    MILW 75%
    PIT/STL UNDER 75%
    COL/NYM UND 75%

    CUBS 70%
    BOS G1 70%
    OVER CUBS 70%

    STRENGHT IS HIGHEST TO LOWEST IN %... ALSO LAD TOP PLAY BUT BC HIGH ML USE RL AND REDUCE 50% TO A 1U BET

     
     
  2. #52

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Good day no matter what happens tonight...I got 9-5-1
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

     
     
  3. #53

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    nice 3 days...25-18-3 and I would consider that with not the best of luck (9th inning blowups )..it performed well

     
     
  4. #54

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    163-96-8

    That's the record for the last 6 years with this system. (2012-2017).

    Or I should say my record since everybody has a little something different based on the lines they have access to.

    It wasn't as good a year as some of the previous ones, but it still ended up winning. And that's what counts.

     
     
  5. #55

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    it's also a very solid 54-29-5 on monday or tuesday (4th game) from 2012 -2017 (2 games tonight)

    http://killersports.com/mlb/query?su...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

    nice going barrett..great system !!
    Last edited by bleeker; 07-18-2017 at 04:09 PM.

     
     
  6. #56

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    ​Going to bump this now so it's easier to find next week when I want it.
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

     
     
  7. #57

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    A couple of things to keep in mind for this coming week-end if you are playing this system:

    1. There is a Thursday game between the Cubs and the Cardinals (7:05 start). I am going to play the UNDER in it, even though it does not fall within the "4 days off" system.

    2. There is a day-night doubleheader on Saturday between the same two teams. Again, under optimal conditions, you don't like to see doubleheaders because while the relievers may be rested from the All-Star break, it gives the hitters additional at-bats to regain their timing. Nevertheless, I am playing the UNDER.

    3. The system has performed well for six years in a row. (Check the numbers up top in this thread.) It is due, though, for a kick in the ass at some point. I noticed last year that off-shore entities, while not lowering the over/under numbers, had a lot of -120s and -125s on the under. Keep an eye out to see if they choose to do that again this year.

    If you follow along, good luck. Hopefully, we will draw water from the well one more time.

     
     
  8. #58

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    I personally am going to not touch the rest of the Cubs/Cards series. This under trend started when they lengthened the break to 4 games for the most part. This Cards/Cubs series is the first time since 2011 that any of the post all-star game series started on Thursday.
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

     
     
  9. #59

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Quote Originally Posted by jumperjack View Post
    I personally am going to not touch the rest of the Cubs/Cards series. This under trend started when they lengthened the break to 4 games for the most part. This Cards/Cubs series is the first time since 2011 that any of the post all-star game series started on Thursday.

    Nice call, JJ.

    I suppose the real system kicks off at 7:05 eastern time tonight. Four full days for hitters to have lost their timing.

     
     
  10. #60

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Total Disaster!!!

    4-11 on the day for Friday.

    And most of the OVERS went over by a ton. Not even close.

    I guess it was inevitable that the system would die eventually, but I didn't think it would get crushed like this.

     
     
  11. #61

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Should have been around 7-8 without all those 9th inning collapses. 3 games they had 3 or more runs scored in the 9th that went from Ws to Ls

     
     
  12. #62

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Nice 9-3 rebound by the UNDERS today
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

     
     
  13. #63

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    I think the record for Saturday was actually 9-5.

    Both Cards/Cubs games went over, as did the Colorado, Cleveland, and Mets/Yankees games. All of the rest were under.

    There were also two rain-outs for the day.

     
     
  14. #64

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Don't forget that there is a Phillies/Padres doubleheader today to make up for yesterday's rain-out.

    The day/night doubleheader is scheduled for 12 pm and 6 pm.

     
     
  15. #65

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Quote Originally Posted by jumperjack View Post
    I personally am going to not touch the rest of the Cubs/Cards series. This under trend started when they lengthened the break to 4 games for the most part. This Cards/Cubs series is the first time since 2011 that any of the post all-star game series started on Thursday.
    This strategy has worked out very well for you. All four Cards/Cubs games have gone over.

     
     
  16. #66

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    I am not counting any of the Cubs games towards this "system", the unders trend started when MLB implemented a basically 4 day break across the board in 2012. Before that many many series started on Thursday after the break, since then this years' Cubs series was the first. I made note of the significance of 3 or 4 days off back on page 1 in 2015.
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

     
     
  17. #67

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    A total dumpster fire of a week-end.

    I knew this system would lose at some point, but I did not expect it would get totally crushed.

    Sunday results..........4-11 with the Mets/Yankees game postponed.

    Results for the week-end (including the one game on Thursday).........17-28.

    Results for the seven year period (2012-2018).......180-123-8.

    Great record overall, but very little consolation if you got hammered this week-end (like I did).

     
     
  18. #68

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    I pronounce this thread to be dead.

     
     
  19. #69

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Now that the patient has been pronounced dead, it is time for the autopsy.

    This thread is an example of how following a system can go off the rails at any given time.

    For the last 7 years, this system has performed very well. As stated above, the record for that time (2012-2018) is 180-123-8. (59.4%)

    The fundamental theory behind the system remains the same, and it is a good one. Hitters coming off 4 days away from the game over the All-Star break are going to have their timing be rusty, while pitchers (especially bullpens) are going to be renewed and be stronger.

    The one problem, though, with this or any system, is that eventually, one year will come along where it takes one in the chops.

    With this system, that would be last year when it crashed and burned to the tune of 17-28. This included book-end 4-11 days on Friday and Sunday.

    It was a disaster, and despite my warning that the system was bound to fall on its ass eventually, I went right ahead and played it like normal, and got absolutely hammered. To the tune of some large coin.

    So what about this year? It's a good question. The system had 6 good years in a row (before the bad one), and the underlying theory is still a sound one.

    The flip side is the lingering stench of last year's performance, and the possibility that the baseballs are really juiced, and people are scoring runs like never before.

    I have no idea what to expect, so despite the good overall record, I think I will be taking a pass.

    Systems are always tricky bits of business.

     
     
  20. #70

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Quote Originally Posted by barrett View Post
    Now that the patient has been pronounced dead, it is time for the autopsy.

    This thread is an example of how following a system can go off the rails at any given time.

    For the last 7 years, this system has performed very well. As stated above, the record for that time (2012-2018) is 180-123-8. (59.4%)

    The fundamental theory behind the system remains the same, and it is a good one. Hitters coming off 4 days away from the game over the All-Star break are going to have their timing be rusty, while pitchers (especially bullpens) are going to be renewed and be stronger.

    The one problem, though, with this or any system, is that eventually, one year will come along where it takes one in the chops.

    With this system, that would be last year when it crashed and burned to the tune of 17-28. This included book-end 4-11 days on Friday and Sunday.

    It was a disaster, and despite my warning that the system was bound to fall on its ass eventually, I went right ahead and played it like normal, and got absolutely hammered. To the tune of some large coin.

    So what about this year? It's a good question. The system had 6 good years in a row (before the bad one), and the underlying theory is still a sound one.

    The flip side is the lingering stench of last year's performance, and the possibility that the baseballs are really juiced, and people are scoring runs like never before.

    I have no idea what to expect, so despite the good overall record, I think I will be taking a pass.

    Systems are always tricky bits of business.

    could see it doing well this year.. now that it went over the year before plus the obvious (juiced baseball) probably will get you a good deal on the unders
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do mess up every now and then

     
     
  21. #71

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    So far, the UNDERS are:

    Thursday: 1-0

    Friday: 9-6

     
     
  22. #72

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Saturday: 7-8-1

    Total for the UNDERS so far......17-14-1

     
     
  23. #73

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    I'm not sure why you keep including the teams that start on Thursday. Last year was a perfect 4-0 over sweep and the "system" started when MLB gave the players an extra day off by basically giving the whole league till Friday before they played again. In some cases there is one series that starts early, I personally throw that series out for the weekend because it doesn't fit the parameters of 4 days off. 11-16-1 O/U this year so far, links below, because of the Rays/Orioles DH Saturday the 2nd game OVER is missing, so 12-16-1 for this season.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

     
     
  24. #74

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Yeah, JJ, you might be right. On the other hand, the Texas/Houston Thursday night game went UNDER, even though the next two games went OVER.

    There is just too little data on the one Thursday night game to determine whether this doesn't fit the system.

    What is more alarming is the fact that the Rays and the Angels were so rusty from their 4 day lay-off that they went out and scored 7 runs each in the first inning of their Friday night games.

    Oddly enough, the Cubs and A's did the same thing on Saturday.

    I still think that this system has had its day, profits were made on it, and it is time to move on.

     
     
  25. #75

    Re: Play the "under" in MLB this week-end

    Sunday: 8-7

    UNDERS for the week-end: 25-21-1

    Doing it JumperJack's way: 24-18-1

    2012-2019 (8 years).......205-144-9

    TOTAL for 8 years doing it JJ's way.......204-137-9
    Last edited by barrett; 07-15-2019 at 09:22 AM. Reason: -

     
     

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