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  • College Football Bowl Systems

    These were posted years ago. If somebody wants to add in the plays that would be great.

    Moneyline / Rankings etc.. System


    2007: 33-14 ATS
    2008: 29-12 ATS
    2009: 28-23 ATS






    BROKEN DOWN BY SYSTEM:




    2 Units-Bet the dog if the teams have exactly the same won lost record


    THIS IS THE WEAKEST OF THE BUNCH


    2007: 2-3 ATS
    2008: 2-5 ATS
    2009: 4-4-1 ATS




    2010:


    UTEP + 11.5
    ??....SYRACUSE PK ( OPENED AS A 3 POINT DOG )
    NOTRE DAME + 3
    NORTHWESTERN + 9.5
    PENN ST + 7.5
    FLORIDA ST + 3



    2013 PLAYS:

    BYU +3
    MICH +4
    G.TECH +3
    B.C. +7.5
    NEB +9
    C.FLOR +16.5
    HOUSTON +3


    3 Units and 5 Units
    Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog.
    If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units:




    2007: 19-7 ATS
    2008: 12- 3 ATS
    2009: 8-5 ATS




    2010:


    3 UNITS FRESNO ST + 1.5
    3 UNITS UTAH + 17
    3 UNITS FLOR INTER + 1.5
    3 UNITS GTECH + 3
    3 UNITS NC ST + 3
    3 UNITS IOWA + 3
    3 UNITS ECAR + 7
    3 UNITS ILLINOIS + 1.5
    3 UNITS ARIZONA + 5
    3 UNITS TENN + 3
    3 UNITS WASH + 14
    3 UNITS MICH + 4.5
    3 UNITS WISKY + 2
    3 UNITS UCONN + 17
    3 UNITS ARK + 3.5
    3 UNITS MIDDLE TENN + 1
    3 UNITS TEX A & M + 1
    3 UNITS KENTUCKY + 3
    3 UNITS BC + 9.5




    2013 plays:

    S.D.ST+2
    OHIO +13.5
    PITT +5.5
    UTAH ST +1.5
    MARYL +2.5
    SYRACUSE +4
    RUTGERS +15.5
    TEXAS +14
    T.TECH +14
    V.TECH +7
    UNLV +6.5
    IOWA +7
    OKL +14.5
    OKL ST +1
    CLEMSON +2.5
    ARK ST +9
    AUBURN +9.5



    5 UNIT PLAYS: If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units




    2007: 10-2
    2008: 8-1 OR 8-2
    2009: 6-3




    2010:


    ???? 5 UNITS TROY ON THE MONEYLINE ( OPENED AS A PICK )
    5 UNITS LOUIVILLE ON THE MONEYLINE
    5 UNITS CLEMSON ON THE MONEYLINE
    5 UNITS GEORGIA ON THE MONEYLINE
    5 UNITS ALABAMA ON THE MONEYLINE
    5 UNITS SD ST ON THE MONEYLINE




    2013 PLAYS

    WASH ST
    USC
    OREG ST
    N.C.
    MIAMI FL
    NAVY
    MISS ST
    TEX A&M
    STANFORD






    Lower Ranked Teams as a dog to higher Ranked Teams


    2007: 3-2 ATS
    2008: 5-3 ATS
    2009: 6-3 ATS




    2010:


    UTAH + 17
    FLOR ST + 3
    UCONN + 17
    WISKY + 2
    V TECH + 3
    ARKANSAS + 3.5
    TEX A & M + 1
    OREGON + 2.5




    2013 PLAYS:

    DUKE +12
    WISC +PK MIGHT BECOME A PLAY IF GOES TO A DOG
    C.FLOR +16.5
    OKL +14.5
    OKL ST +1
    CLEM +2.5
    AUBURN +9.5






    Lower Ranked Teams as a favorite vs Higher Ranked Teams


    2007: 3-0 ATS
    2008: 1-1 ATS
    2009: 2-3 ATS


    2010:


    ALABAMA -10




    2013 PLAYS:


    USC -6
    STANFORD -4.5
    WISC -PK MIGHT BECOME A PLAY IF GOES TO FAVORITE





    A team not Ranked as a dog to a Ranked Team:


    2007: 6-0 ATS
    2008: 2-0 ATS
    2009: 1-3 ATS




    2010:


    BOSTON COLLEGE + 9.5
    IOWA + 3
    ARIZONA + 5
    WASH + 14
    MICHIGAN + 5
    NC ST + 3
    TULSA + 10.5




    2013 PLAYS:




    UTAH ST +1.5
    TEXAS +14
    TEXAS TECH +14
    V.TECH +7
    NEB +9
    IOWA +7




    A team not Ranked that is a favorite over a Ranked Team


    2007: 1-1 ATS
    2008: 2-0 ATS
    2009: 1-2 ATS


    2010:


    GEORGIA - 6.5



    2013 PLAY:


    MIAMI FL -3




    Teams that hit in more than one system without opposition hit a high percentage last year




    2008: 6-2 ATS
    2009: 6-7 ATS
    2010:


    2013 PLAYS:

    NEB +9
    C.FLOR +16.5
    UTAH ST +1.5
    TEXAS +14
    TEXAS TECH +14
    V.TECH +7
    IOWA +7
    OKL +14.5
    OKL ST +1
    CLEM +2.5
    AUBURN +9.5


  • #2
    RUNNING DOG SYSTEM






    I'm pretty much going to follow the same formula as I did last year. ( 2007 ) We had an outstanding bowl season with the running dogs. The better running teams OVERALL in general were 22-10 SU and 23-9 ATS last year. But keep in mind that they aren't going to hit this well every year. In the 2006 bowl season the better running teams were 20-12 SU but only 18-14 ATS. So we have to be careful as we go, and to just remember that none of these Running Dogs are set in granite. The underdogs who had the better run numbers were 10-4 ATS last year. And 7-3 (71%) the season before. So that's why you really need to think hard before you go against a running dog

    Comment


    • #3
      BUCKING THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS




      BOWL SYSTEM


      BETTING AGAINST THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS
      One of the easiest bowl systems around, is to go against the
      team on which the current Heisman Trophy winner plays. Here are the results from the last 35 games in which the Heisman Winner played.


      HEISMAN WINNER LINE RESULT
      1974 SO CALIF 18 - Ohio State (Archie Griffin) 17 + 6½ WINNER
      1975 UCLA 23 - Ohio State (Archie Griffin) 10 + 14 WINNER
      1976 GEORGIA 3 - Pittsburgh (Tony Dorsett) 27 + 3½ Loser
      1977 NOTRE DAME 38 - Texas (Earl Campbell) 10 + 6½ WINNER
      1978 NEBRASKA 24 - Oklahoma (Billy Sims) 31 + 11 WINNER
      1979 OHIO STATE 16 - So Calif (Charles White) 17 + 7½ WINNER
      1980 PITTSBURGH 37 - So Caro (George Rogers) 9 - 10 WINNER
      1981 PENN STATE 26 - So Calif (Marcus Allen) 10 + 2 WINNER
      1982 PENN STATE 27 - Georgia (Herschel Walker) 23 - 4 Tie
      1983 MIAMI (FLA) 31 - Nebraska (Mike Rozier) 30 + 11½ WINNER
      1984 HOUSTON 28 - Boston College (Doug Flutie) 45 + 6 Loser
      1985 TEXAS A&M 36 - Auburn (Bo Jackson) 16 + 2½ WINNER
      1986 PENN STATE 14 - Miami (Vinnie Testaverde) 10 + 7 WINNER
      1987 TEXAS A&M 35 - Notre Dame (Tim Brown ) 10 + 4½ WINNER
      1988 WYOMING 14 - Okla St (Barry Sanders) 62 + 2½ Loser
      1989 Houston (Andre Ware) did not go to a bowl.
      1990 TEXAS A&M 65 - Byu (Ty Detmer) 14 + 3 WINNER
      1991 WASHINGTON 34 - Mich (Desmond Howard) 14 - 6½ WINNER
      1992 ALABAMA 34 - Miami (Gino Torretta) 13 + 8 WINNER
      1993 NEBRASKA 16 - Florida St (Charlie Ward) 18 + 15½ WINNER
      1994 NOTRE DAME 24 - Colorado (R. Salaam) 41 + 7½ Loser
      1995 TENNESSEE 20 - Ohio State (Eddie George) 14 - 4 WINNER
      1996 FLORIDA ST 20 - Florida (Danny Wuerffel) 52 + 3½ Loser
      1997 WASH ST 16 - Michigan (Charles Woodson) 21 + 6 WINNER
      1998 MISSISSIPPI ST 11 - Texas (Ricky Williams) 38 + 6½ Loser
      1999 STANFORD 9 - Wisconsin (Ron Dayne) 17 + 13½ WINNER
      2000 OKLAHOMA 13 - Florida State (Chris Weinke) 2 + 10 WINNER
      2001 MIAMI-FLORIDA 37 - Nebraska (Eric Crouch) 14 - 8½ WINNER
      2002 IOWA 17 - Southern California (Carson Palmer) 38 + 5 Loser
      2003 LOUISIANA ST 21 - Oklahoma (Jason White) 14 + 5½ WINNER
      2004 OKLAHOMA 19 - So California (Matt Leinart) 55 + 2 Loser
      2005 TEXAS 41 - So California (Reggie Bush) 38 + 7 WINNER
      2006 FLORIDA 41 - Ohio State (Troy Smith) 14 + 4 WINNER
      2007 MICHIGAN 41 - Florida (Tim Tebow) 35 + 10½ WINNER
      2008 FLORIDA 24 - Oklahoma (Sam Bradford) 14 +5 WINNER
      2009 ALABAMA 37 ( Mark Ingram)- TEXAS 21 - 4 LOSER


      RESULT: 25-9-1: 73.5% VS SPREAD




      2013 play:

      AUBURN +9.5 ASSUMING WINSTON GETS IT

      Comment


      • #4
        Play underdogs with higher Sagarin strength-of-schedule ratings than their opponents


        2009-10 record: 5-2: Wyoming +10 (W), Marshall +3 (W), North Carolina +1 (L), Air Force +4.5 (W) Stanford +10 (W), Florida State +3 (W), Michigan State +9.5 (L)
        Historical record: 70-36-2 (66%) since 1997; Z-factor 3.3
        Current 2010-11 qualifiers:


        Fresno State +1
        Ohio +2.5
        Utah +17
        Navy +4.5
        Georgia Tech +3
        NC State +3
        Illinois +1
        Arizona +5
        Kansas State +1
        Washington +14
        Notre Dame +3
        Wisconsin +2.5
        Arkansas +3.5
        Texas A&M +1
        Boston College +9.5

        Comment


        • #5
          Play underdogs of 7.5 or more points in December Bowls
          2009-010 record: 3-1: Wyoming +10 (W), SMU +11 (W), BC +7.5 (L), Stanford +10 (W)


          Historical record: 57-28-3 (67%) since 1983; Z-factor 3.1

          Comment


          • #6
            Sys #1 - Play on Dogs of 4-11 pts from 12/25 to 12/31. 49-24 ATS L9 yrs


            2013 PLAYS:

            FRESNO +6
            PITT +5.5
            SYRACUSE +4
            RICE +7
            MICH +4
            M.TENN ST +6
            B.C. +7.5
            V.TECH +7

            Sys #2 - Play Against FAVS that are 3-0 su,ats L3 gms, covered by 3 or more pts last gm, vs opp off Loss that allows 27 or less pts/gm. 17-1 ATS

            Sys #3 - Play Against Pre-New Years Day FAVS who won 8 or less gms, avg 121.5< rush/gm, vs opp who rushes for 140>ypg. 17-2 ATS

            Sys #4 - Play Against teams (not dog of 6 >pts), seeking revenge for SU loss of 24+ pts in last match-up and not off Win 10
            Sys #5 - Play on FAVS of 4 or less pts w/less than 39 days rest off SU win scoring 46+pts. 14-0 SU,ATS

            Sys #6 - Play Against FAVS of more than 6pts that won its last bowl gm, and not off 4 favored Wins vs opp not off conf RF SU win,ats Loss. 1-22 ATS

            Sys #7 - From 12/22 on, Play Against FAVS of 1.5 to 8.5pts, w/less than 43 days of rest off 3 wins and not an ATS loss of 8+pts in last gm vs opp not off shut-out W. 1-20 ATS

            Sys #8 - Play Against FAVS w/less than 8 wins, has at least 20+ days of rest, and are off 3 wins. 0-15 ATS

            Sys # 9 - Play On Big 10 teams (not fav of 10+pts or dog of 14+ pts), w/less than 43 days of rest vs Big 12 opp not off conf RF su,ats Win of more than 6pts. 17-1 ATS

            Sys #10- Play UNDER, 2 teams in Non-BCS conf. 13-37

            Comment


            • #7
              Please add any more systems that you know of in here.
              Thanks

              Comment


              • #8
                Results prior to 2012 / 2013 bowl games.

                Conference Specific:

                ACC-

                1) The ACC is 18-2 SU vs opp who allows 28.5>pts/gm on season

                2) The ACC is 28-17 SU as fav/dog 6
                3) The ACC is 1-8 SU,ATS as favs vs opp off SU fav loss

                4) The ACC is 15-3 ATS dogs off L

                Big East-

                1) The Big East is 33-10 SU vs opp who allows 23>pts/gm

                2) The Big East is 4-16 SU, 5-15 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more

                Big 10-

                1) The Big 10 is 20-6 SU, 17-9 ATS vs opp who allow 28>pts/gm

                2) The Big 10 is 12-7 ATS dogs of 6> vs opp off L

                3)The Big 10 is 7-14 ATS off DD ATS L

                4) The Big 10 is 7-21 ATS as favs

                Big 12-

                1) The Big 12 is 38-10 SU, 28-18 ATS vs opp who allow 25>pts/gm

                2) The Big 12 is 12-4 ATS as dogs 3>pts vs opp off BB Wins

                3) The Big 12 is 11-20 ATS as favs off ATS loss, (4-0 ATS-2011)

                4) The Big 12 is 10-20 ATS as favs of 7 or more, (3-0 ATS-2011)

                Pac 10-

                1) The Pac 10 is 15-3 ATS as DOGS off su,ats Loss

                2) The Pac 10 is 20-9 L29 gms as dogs

                3) The Pac 10 is 4-13 ATS as favs 6>pts

                4) The Pac 10 is on a run of 55-29 ATS L84 bowl games

                5) Pac 10 dogs vs opp off DD win that scored 30>pts in that win are 17-3 ATS

                6) The Pac 10 is 17-6 ATS vs Big 10

                7) The Pac 10 is 0-9 ATS vs WAC

                8) The Pac 10 is 6-16 ATS vs Non-BCS

                SEC :

                1) The SEC is 34-5 SU vs opp who allow 27>pts/gm

                2) The SEC is 17-7 ATS as dogs 10
                3) The SEC is 18-11 SU, 20-9 ATS, 8-32 UNDER L18 bowls as DOGS

                4) SEC favs w/ win % of .750< are 15-24 ATS

                5) The SEC is 15-4 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more

                6) The SEC is 1-11 ATS as Favs off BB L

                7) The SEC is 4-11 ATS off score 40>

                MAC:

                1) The MAC is 3-9 ATS as dogs 7< pts

                2) The MAC is 11-8 ATS as dogs 7> pts

                3) The MAC is 28-3 SU, 23-8 ATS as Favs

                4) The MAC is 3-17 SU, 5-15 ATS as Dogs

                CUSA:

                1) The CUSA is 6-18 UNDER vs MAC and MWC conf

                2) The CUSA is 4-14 ATS off DD W vs opp off Win

                3) The CUSA is 26-7 SU, 20-12 ATS as FAVS in L32 bowl gms

                4) The CUSA is 6-16 SU, 7-15 ATS as dogs of 7 or less

                5) The CUSA is 3-11 SU, 5-8-1 ATS vs BCS conf teams

                MWC-

                1) The MWC is 29-18 ATS L47 bowls

                2) The MWC is 6-2 ATS as dogs 6>

                Independants:

                1) 11-1 SU,10-2 ATS L12 bowls as FAVS, 6-12 SU as DOGS

                WAC:

                1) The WAC is 16-3 ATS as dogs 4>pts off BB Wins

                2) The Wac is 1-12 ATS as neutral site FAVS

                3) The Wac is 2-11 ATS as favs if allowed 35>pts last gm

                4) The Wac is 23-17 OVER , 15-25 ATS L40 Bowl gms

                Comment


                • #9
                  I had some time and updated the 2013 plays in bold in the first posted thread.If someone else has time and would like to do another set of plays that would be great if not if I get a chance I will try to do more as I get time.
                  2016 CFB 183-184 -4580
                  5* 6-8
                  15* GOY 1-0

                  2016 NFL 216-154 +11940
                  10* GOY 1-0
                  5* 11-7

                  2016 NBA 480-404 +12200
                  5* 18-12

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Did a couple more.
                    2016 CFB 183-184 -4580
                    5* 6-8
                    15* GOY 1-0

                    2016 NFL 216-154 +11940
                    10* GOY 1-0
                    5* 11-7

                    2016 NBA 480-404 +12200
                    5* 18-12

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Thanks Mac.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Handicapping bowl season's biggest betting totals

                        Sky-high bowl totals are becoming the norm with the pass-heavy, all-offense evolution of college football.

                        Last season saw six bowl games with totals of 70 points or more, including a record-high 82-point total in the Holiday Bowl between Baylor and UCLA.

                        This bowl season, there are just two bowl games with Over/Unders at 70 points or more – the Holiday Bowl between Arizona State and Texas Tech (70), and the Chick-fil-A Bowl featuring Texas A&M and Duke (72).

                        Since 1985, there have been 26 bowl totals of 70 points or more. Those games have gone a combined 15-11 O/U, including a 2-4 O/U record during last year’s bowl season. And bowl totals of 74 points and above are 8-4 O/U over the past 27 years.

                        Here are the 12 highest bowl totals since 1985:

                        82 – Baylor 49, UCLA 26 (Dec. 27, 2012)
                        80 – Baylor 67, Washington 56 (Dec. 29, 2011)
                        79 – Arizona 49, Nevada 48 (Dec. 15, 2012)
                        78.5 – Louisville 44, Boise State 40 (Dec. 31, 2004)
                        77.5 – Tulsa 63, Bowling Green 7 (Jan. 6, 2008)
                        77 – Hawaii 59, UAB 40 (Dec. 24, 2004)
                        75.5 – Hawaii 54, Houston (Dec. 25, 2003)
                        75 – Oregon 42, Oklahoma State 31 (Dec. 30, 2008)
                        74.5 – Tulsa 62, Hawaii 35 (Dec. 24, 2010)
                        74 – UCLA 50, Northwestern 38 (Dec. 30, 2005)
                        74 – Oregon 45, Wisconsin 38 (Jan. 2, 2012)
                        74 – Oregon 35, Kansas State 17 (Jan. 3, 2013)

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by TheGame View Post
                          Play underdogs with higher Sagarin strength-of-schedule ratings than their opponents


                          2009-10 record: 5-2: Wyoming +10 (W), Marshall +3 (W), North Carolina +1 (L), Air Force +4.5 (W) Stanford +10 (W), Florida State +3 (W), Michigan State +9.5 (L)
                          Historical record: 70-36-2 (66%) since 1997; Z-factor 3.3
                          Current 2010-11 qualifiers:


                          Fresno State +1
                          Ohio +2.5
                          Utah +17
                          Navy +4.5
                          Georgia Tech +3
                          NC State +3
                          Illinois +1
                          Arizona +5
                          Kansas State +1
                          Washington +14
                          Notre Dame +3
                          Wisconsin +2.5
                          Arkansas +3.5
                          Texas A&M +1
                          Boston College +9.5
                          SDST +1
                          TULANE IF THEY'RE A DOG
                          PITT +5.5
                          MARYLAND +2
                          MIAMI +3
                          MICHIGAN +3.5
                          TEXAS +14
                          UNLV +6.5
                          S. CAROLINA +1
                          OKLAHOMA +15
                          CLEMSON +2.5
                          ARK ST. +9
                          AUBURN +9

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            i updated all of these last year.
                            maybe the thread is still around somewhere

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by bosko View Post
                              i updated all of these last year.
                              maybe the thread is still around somewhere
                              Nope.
                              When the site closed in April I had to delete all of the old threads.
                              Didn't make sense to pay to store everything back then.
                              I never planned on bringing the site back at the time.

                              Comment

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