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Low Scoring Teams are good picks

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  • Low Scoring Teams are good picks

    Low Scoring Teams are good picks
    By Tom Grassi
    Sportspic.com

    The adage, “Defense wins championships,” is a credo that many college basketball teams live by, but when it comes to sports handicapping, there have been teams whose defense has been a path to making money for bettors.

    These schools have made defense an integral part of the team philosophy, and done it over multiple years to develop a consistency that makes these teams viable betting options for the upcoming season.

    Over the previous four seasons, the ten most consistent schools when it comes to keeping the score under the Las Vegas betting total are:

    Gonzaga: 62-28-2
    Western Illinois: 41-20-2
    Cincinnati: 58-30
    UAB: 50-30-1
    South Florida: 53-32
    Seton Hall: 48-30-1
    Cal Poly-SLO: 47-30-1
    Arizona State: 48-31-3
    Northern Illinois: 44-29
    UNLV: 53-35-1

    A number of other schools have higher winning percentages, but the sample size for that group is too small when looking at an entire season from the perspective of college basketball betting.

    Looking at the above list requires breaking down certain categories in which each school has thrived in keeping the total below the listed number. Some have done well when playing as a home favorite, or simply at home, while others thrive on the road. There are still some that have has success when either giving or getting points.

    Gonzaga tops the list primarily due to its performance as a favorite: at home, the team has a 26-10-2 mark in favor of the under, while putting up a 16-6 record on the road for a combined total of 42-16-2.

    Other teams that have shown strong success at home for going below the number include: Cincinnati, which is 28-9 in favor of the under; and Western Illinois, which has compiled a 20-7-1 stretch during the time frame explored.

    Three other teams: Seton Hall (17-7), Arizona State (15-6-2) and Northern Illinois (9-2), confine themselves to keeping the score low only when the team is a home favorite.

    On the opposite end, South Florida and Cal Poly-SLO have made the under a regular happening after being tabbed as an underdog. USF leans 12-5 toward the under at home, but the mark is much more pronounced on the road, with a 25-11 record for those wagering on the under. SLO has gone under in four of six games as a home dog, but 20 of 29 when getting points on the road.

    Two teams on this list are part of the same conference: Cincinnati and South Florida, which both reside in the American Athletic Conference, the new name for the former Big East Conference. The teams will meet twice in a two-week span on January 18 and February 2.

    While it seems odd to root for teams NOT to score, the above teams have shown that investing in them to do just that can put money in your pocket—a concept that nobody can complain about.
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