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MNF - Will Bears pull off 3 Straight Upsets?

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  • MNF - Will Bears pull off 3 Straight Upsets?

    Last two weeks, the Bears upset the Bucs and Panthers. Next on the Bears schedule is 3 more underdog gigs vs. Rams, Saints and Titans.

    Last week was not a division game. The week before was not a division game either. This week? Out of division again. Database, you are my only hope. What about a team fresh off two upset wins vs. non-div opponents facing another non-div opponent as a dog? 43.9% ATS.

    What about if my team is an away dog this time? 29.6%



    Why are only 23% of these games OVER? CHI is going to play good defense? This is an UNDER game?

    What if my team's upset was also on the road last week? 11% (1-8-1 ATS)

    6 seems like way too many points to give this scrappy Bears team, but I suspect they will be down by 10 points at some point. Database says I should play the Rams -6. I did.
    Missed on the Under though. It moved a few points, down to 44. I'm too chicken to take the bad line.

  • #2
    Re: MNF - Will Bears pull off 3 Straight Upsets?

    6 seems like way too many points to give this scrappy Bears team, but I suspect they will be down by 10 points at some point. Database says I should play the Rams -6. I did.
    Missed on the Under though. It moved a few points, down to 44. I'm too chicken to take the bad line.
    All good decisions it would appear omar

    wife grabbed the over after it settled in at 43.5. Should have had that but they're fuckin up a lot of scoring opportunities so far. Score 27 right now, I smell trouble for her lol

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    • #3
      Re: MNF - Will Bears pull off 3 Straight Upsets?

      I took the Live u37.5

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      • #4
        Re: MNF - Will Bears pull off 3 Straight Upsets?

        like what you came up with last night..obviously after the fact but I added that they lost 3 games back and that they are just an away dog for their current game..excellent record for the under..the side kind of goes away though



        https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

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        • #5
          Re: MNF - Will Bears pull off 3 Straight Upsets?

          Originally posted by bleeker View Post
          like what you came up with last night..obviously after the fact but I added that they lost 3 games back and that they are just an away dog for their current game..excellent record for the under..the side kind of goes away though



          https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


          and if you add non division and total cap at 47 its a perfect 0-18 o/u.. I know you might say what good does that do now.. I occasionally like to look back afterwards especially when someone else comes up with something better (not because of result) like omar did


          https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: MNF - Will Bears pull off 3 Straight Upsets?

            Great SDQL search thinking, omar.

            Double bingo.

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