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totals
OVER nondiv home before bye playing team with record within .40WP (106-51 o/u = MIN/ATL over, IND/CIN over)
UNDER home off away fav game allowing 62%+ first downs (59-131 o/u = BUF/KC under)
UNDER home off away blowout loss as a fav (29-63 o/u = BUF/KC under)
UNDER off away under blowout win facing team scoring <25/game on reg rest (24-75 o/u = LAR/SF under)
OVER dog with 884+ total yards L2 games and giving up >5.5 YPP (53-13 o/u = CLE/PIT over, DAL/ARI over)
UNDER 7+ fav off fav or small dog with 2+ turnovers (15-62 o/u = IND/CIN under)
UNDER home off blowout loss vs opponent off loss (21-55 o/u = WAS/NYG under0
UNDER away fav or small dog off fav game where they failed on 1+ goal to go (2-25 o/u = LAR/SF under)
UNDER away off away fav made 4+ 3rd downs and heavy pass team (9-32 o/u = LAR under, DEN under, ARI under)
UNDER grass home dog off away fav and opponent with 3+ sacks last game (7-34 o/u = TB/GB under)
OVER turf nondiv closely lined game lost as fav scoring more points than 1st downs (31-5 o/u = KC/BUF over)
OVER nondiv fav or small dog off dog or huge fave game with more FG than TD (45-5 o/u = CAR/CHI over, IND/CIN over)
OVER away non conference with extra rest coming week 4+ (53-16 o/u = BAL/PHI over)
OVER home off b2b away after grass game, opponent good offense (40-9 o/u = IND/CIN over, BUF/KC over)
OVER home fav or small dog both teams terrible, game 5+ (18-3 o/u = WAS/NYG over, MIN/ATL over)
UNDER and OPPOSE nondiv home team allowing 21+ in b2b (14-37-2 ATS / 13-39-1 o/u = on ARI and under)
sides
PLAY ON 3+ fav away after bye (52-18 ATS = on Detroit)
PLAY ON fav of 6+ before bye (84-33 ATS = on MIA, on IND)
PLAY ON team after bye, not fav of >10, that scored 35+ before bye (44-9 ATS = on DEN)
OPPOSE home fav off away nondiv loss again in nondiv game (59-121 ATS = on CIN)
OPPOSE away huge YPP offense in 3 straight vs avg opponent (31-63 ATS = on SF)
PLAY ON away conf week 3+ off away game vs opponent with 2.2+ turnovers/game (35-5 ATS = on ARI)
PLAY ON <.500 dog <=6 that hasn't covered a game this year and terrible ats margin (37-5 ATS = on DAL)
OPPOSE grass home fav vs opponent that has bad time of possession (3-33 ATS = on NYJ, on HOU)
OPPOSE off AFC away pacific allowing less points than expected now back in EST (23-51 ATS = on NYJ)
PLAY ON div game with team that won no division games last year (46-19 ATS = on WAS)
PLAY ON away grass dog off home dog game vs heavy passing first downs team (55-10 ATS = on NYJ, on CLE, on CHI)
PLAY ON bad team off win preceded by 2 losses (81-31 ATS = on DAL, on DEN)
OPPOSE away nondiv with monday away coming, week 4+ vs opponent with decent offense (5-25 ATS = on CARO)
OPPOSE grass nondiv dog off away vs heavy rush first downs opponent (19-55 ATS = on GB)
PLAY ON dog off loss as TD+ fav, regular rest (69-35 ATS = on SF)
PLAY ON conf not dog of 14+ with horrible margin of victory YTD (74-18 ATS = on NYJ)
PLAY ON away bad team vs non-elite team off a loss (156-97 ATS = on WAS, on CIN)
OPPOSE home dog off away dog loss and away loss before that, home not off bye and neither have bye coming (10-48 ATS = on DET)
OPPOSE home dog heavy rush team but average YPR (0-43 SU / 2-40-1 ATS = on DET) note: avg loss 31-14, first one in 2020
OVER nondiv home before bye playing team with record within .40WP (106-51 o/u = MIN/ATL over, IND/CIN over)
UNDER home off away fav game allowing 62%+ first downs (59-131 o/u = BUF/KC under)
UNDER home off away blowout loss as a fav (29-63 o/u = BUF/KC under)
UNDER off away under blowout win facing team scoring <25/game on reg rest (24-75 o/u = LAR/SF under)
OVER dog with 884+ total yards L2 games and giving up >5.5 YPP (53-13 o/u = CLE/PIT over, DAL/ARI over)
UNDER 7+ fav off fav or small dog with 2+ turnovers (15-62 o/u = IND/CIN under)
UNDER home off blowout loss vs opponent off loss (21-55 o/u = WAS/NYG under0
UNDER away fav or small dog off fav game where they failed on 1+ goal to go (2-25 o/u = LAR/SF under)
UNDER away off away fav made 4+ 3rd downs and heavy pass team (9-32 o/u = LAR under, DEN under, ARI under)
UNDER grass home dog off away fav and opponent with 3+ sacks last game (7-34 o/u = TB/GB under)
OVER turf nondiv closely lined game lost as fav scoring more points than 1st downs (31-5 o/u = KC/BUF over)
OVER nondiv fav or small dog off dog or huge fave game with more FG than TD (45-5 o/u = CAR/CHI over, IND/CIN over)
OVER away non conference with extra rest coming week 4+ (53-16 o/u = BAL/PHI over)
OVER home off b2b away after grass game, opponent good offense (40-9 o/u = IND/CIN over, BUF/KC over)
OVER home fav or small dog both teams terrible, game 5+ (18-3 o/u = WAS/NYG over, MIN/ATL over)
UNDER and OPPOSE nondiv home team allowing 21+ in b2b (14-37-2 ATS / 13-39-1 o/u = on ARI and under)
sides
PLAY ON 3+ fav away after bye (52-18 ATS = on Detroit)
PLAY ON fav of 6+ before bye (84-33 ATS = on MIA, on IND)
PLAY ON team after bye, not fav of >10, that scored 35+ before bye (44-9 ATS = on DEN)
OPPOSE home fav off away nondiv loss again in nondiv game (59-121 ATS = on CIN)
OPPOSE away huge YPP offense in 3 straight vs avg opponent (31-63 ATS = on SF)
PLAY ON away conf week 3+ off away game vs opponent with 2.2+ turnovers/game (35-5 ATS = on ARI)
PLAY ON <.500 dog <=6 that hasn't covered a game this year and terrible ats margin (37-5 ATS = on DAL)
OPPOSE grass home fav vs opponent that has bad time of possession (3-33 ATS = on NYJ, on HOU)
OPPOSE off AFC away pacific allowing less points than expected now back in EST (23-51 ATS = on NYJ)
PLAY ON div game with team that won no division games last year (46-19 ATS = on WAS)
PLAY ON away grass dog off home dog game vs heavy passing first downs team (55-10 ATS = on NYJ, on CLE, on CHI)
PLAY ON bad team off win preceded by 2 losses (81-31 ATS = on DAL, on DEN)
OPPOSE away nondiv with monday away coming, week 4+ vs opponent with decent offense (5-25 ATS = on CARO)
OPPOSE grass nondiv dog off away vs heavy rush first downs opponent (19-55 ATS = on GB)
PLAY ON dog off loss as TD+ fav, regular rest (69-35 ATS = on SF)
PLAY ON conf not dog of 14+ with horrible margin of victory YTD (74-18 ATS = on NYJ)
PLAY ON away bad team vs non-elite team off a loss (156-97 ATS = on WAS, on CIN)
OPPOSE home dog off away dog loss and away loss before that, home not off bye and neither have bye coming (10-48 ATS = on DET)
OPPOSE home dog heavy rush team but average YPR (0-43 SU / 2-40-1 ATS = on DET) note: avg loss 31-14, first one in 2020
is easy. 
consistently 
is a different story
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