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SDQL week 3

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  • SDQL week 3

    this one looks like it will have 2 games fitting (unless Jimmy G and Kittle play and line goes to 5.5+)

    PLAY ON west coast based team on 2nd of B2B away games in Eastern Time zone as long as they won 2+ games last year and aren't favored by more than 5 and played at home 3 weeks ago (so East>East>West)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

    15-0-3 (9.42, 100.0%) avg line: 2.9 ON Rams, ON 49ers

  • #2
    Re: SDQL week 3

    This is a fantastic result. Common handicapping insight you read by people would be to fade a team that has B2B games so far away from home. I think most teams in this travel situation stay out east the week in between.
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

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    • #3
      Re: SDQL week 3

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      • #4
        Re: SDQL week 3

        I pulled out the requirement for 2nd game back to be at home, and added "regular season" stipulation

        https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query?output=default&sdql=o%3Atime+zone+%3D+E+and+po%3Atime+zone%3DE+an d+p%3AA+and+time+zone+%3D+P++and+A++and+line%3E-5.5+and+PRSW%3E1+and+REG&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

        17-0-3 (10.25, 100.0%)

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        • #5
          Re: SDQL week 3

          crazy good RT, nice work !

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          • #6
            Re: SDQL week 3

            Love it. Excellent work, RT.

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            • #7
              Re: SDQL week 3

              Nice! I like the next 3 games even without the SDQL

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              • #8
                Re: SDQL week 3

                side
                PLAY ON playoff teams off good devensive game, away dog (100-45 = on KC, on GB)
                PLAY ON home dog 2.5+ that scored 3 or less 1H points last week vs opp that scored 32+ (85-49 = on MIN)
                PLAY ON unbeaten MNF home team that scored 21+ and did not play Thu (34-10 = on BAL)
                PLAY ON away with Thu game coming, total>40 and not neutral (25-4 = on NYJ)
                PLAY ON away grass dog off dog loss with <3 pass TD and INT vs opponent with good turnover margin YTD (23-1 = on WAS)
                PLAY ON away closely lined early season team vs opponent with terrible time of possession (62-14 = on GB)
                PLAY ON West team playing b2b away East and not favored by 6+ (17-0 = on SF, on LAR)
                PLAY ON away dog on grass off home dog game vs heavy passing team (53-9 = on HOU)
                PLAY ON week 3 winless teams averaging <=20 points, are 3.5+ dog, and YTD turnover margin <4, rest>5 (23-7 = on HOU, NYG, NYJ, DEN)
                PLAY ON week 3 SU or teases 1-1/2-0 home favs vs 0-2 opponent (42-6 SU = on Indy ML, LAC ML, ARI ML)
                PLAY ON week 3 1-1/20 off win vs 0-2/1-1 off loss and opponent changing site (50-20 = on GB, TEN, SF, CHI, IND)
                PLAY ON week 3/4 teams with improved YPP offense over LY (104-66 = on SEA, on GB, on BAL)
                OPPOSE 5.5+ dog off home dog win scoring 23+ (18-54 = on NE)
                OPPOSE b2b 3+ pass TD team vs opponent allowing 1+ passing TD/game (21-57 = on MIA)
                OPPOSE home +/-3 off close OT game (16-27 = on MIA)
                OPPOSE AFC team off away west game scoring 2.25+ less than expected, now playing east (22-51 = on BAL)
                OPPOSE 6.5+ dog on grass off game as dog, opponent heavy rush team (1-36 SU / 6-31 ATS = on CLE)
                OPPOSE b2b home fav allowing <4YPR vs opponent allowing 3+YPR (61-119 = on NYJ)
                OPPOSE week<11 big fav vs opponent avg 2.25+ turnovers (5-37 = on CIN, on DEN)
                OPPOSE week 3 small home favs vs opponent that is 1-1/2-0 and didn't win 11+LY (23-57 = on WAS, on CHI, on LAR)


                total
                UNDER away off fav, heavy passing team and made 4+ 3rd downs LW (6-32 o/u = KC/BAL under, SF/NYG under)
                UNDER grass off loss but 43+ more rushing yards than avg (5-32 o/u = JAX/MI under, PHI/CIN under)
                UNDER off huge home loss vs opponent off loss (20-53 o/u = PHI/CIN under)
                UNDER off b2b wins but allowed a lot of passing yards, playing away (25-45 o/u = LV under)
                UNDER grass nondiv fav off away, opponent allowed 360+ yards last week (18-58 o/u = BAL/KC under)
                UNDER off win and over, conf not b2b away, came from 5+ points behind to win (28-72 o/u = DAL under)
                UNDER away 11+ wins LY but worse WP than opponent who is not off 18+ pt win (10-43 o/u = KC/BAL under, NE/LV under)
                UNDER off close game after 3rd quarter, division win, not b2b home games (96-196 o/u = KC/BAL under)
                UNDER home off away 10+ point loss as a fav (28-63 o/u = NO/GB under)
                UNDER week 3 2-0 away off home game allowing <35 and won 5+LY (20-45 o/u = TEN/MIN under, GB/NO under)
                OVER dog off terrible YPP defense but very good total yards offense (52-13 o/u = DAL over)
                OVER b2b 3+ passing TD games vs opponent with 3+ pass TD L2 games, high total (48-16 o/u = SEA/DAL over)
                OVER off MNF loss in closely lined game, opponent off win (50-18 o/u = NO/GB over)
                OVER off Thu home over b2b totals >42 (47-13 o/u = CLE/WAS over)
                OVER fav nondiv great YTD defense vs opponent making 3.7+ 3rd downs/game (73-26 o/u = CLE/WAS over, IND/NYJ over)
                OVER arftificial nondiv off fav win with 1+ run TD, allowed 400+ yards (64-16 o/u = DAL/SEA over)
                OVER week 3 winless teams averaging <=20 points, are 3.5+ dog, and YTD turnover margin <4 (32-12 o/u = HOU/PIT over, NYGSF over, IND/NYJ over, TB/DEN over)
                OVER 0-2 week 3 teams that didn't win 5+LY and not favored by 4+ (26-13 o/u = SF/NYG o, CIN/PHI o, DET/ARI o)
                OVER week 3 0-2 dog vs opponet off loss and opponent equal or better WP (36-15 o/u = MIA o, CIN o, CAR o)

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                • #9
                  Re: SDQL week 3

                  <.500 dog of 6 or less that hasn't covered a game this season with ats margin worse than -1.5


                  34-3-1 on MIN, HOU, DET

                  https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                  Last edited by rolltide; 09-23-2020, 09:24 PM.

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                  • #10
                    Re: SDQL week 3

                    Bears are 2-24 SU / 4-22 ATS in a road game with high total off a home game where they committed at least 1 penalty

                    0-14 SU if playing on fake grass

                    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

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                    • #11
                      Re: SDQL week 3

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                      • #12
                        Re: SDQL week 3

                        week 3 = 0-2 that failed to cover both games vs opponent that covered 0-1 game but haven't turned it over 8+ times, aren't a massive dog but were a dog of >7 last week
                        13-0 ATS on Carolina and Houston ATS

                        week=3 and tS(ATSL)=2 and oS(ATSL)<2 and line<22 and tS(TO)<8 and p:line>7

                        13-0-0 (9.42, 100.0%) avg line: 7.0 ON Carolina, ON Houston

                        Oppose off a win allowing >46% 3rd down conversions but had 13+ 3rd down attempts and aren't a 1-score underdog.
                        0-15-1 ATS against Raiders
                        po:3DP>46 and p:W and p:3DA>12 and date>20181202 and (0 < line < 6.5) = False
                        0-15-1 (-7.22, 0.0%)
                        OPPOSE teams off win by 2+ points despite terrible 3rd down % with double-digit attempts against opponent that was not a big fav last week.
                        19-64-7 ATS against Pittsburgh (note: these teams are 5-16-1 ATS and just 6-16 SU since 2017 season)
                        7.5 < p:3DP < 25 and p:margin > 1 and 17 > p:3DA > 11 and opo:3DP > 12 and season > 2007 and op:line > -5.5
                        19-64-7 (-3.46, 22.9%)
                        Last edited by rolltide; 09-27-2020, 09:20 AM.

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                        • #13
                          Re: SDQL week 3

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