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Cincy vs. Memphis at -12 WHY???

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  • Cincy vs. Memphis at -12 WHY???

    Can anyone help me understand why the line is so big between Memphis and Cincinnatti? I don't see any new injuries or suspensions, but maybe I didn't look in the right place. I'm thinking this line should be more in the range of Memphis -3 to -7 at most. Cinci is a good team. I don't get it. Any thoughts would be appreciated.


  • #2
    Re: Cincy vs. Memphis at -12 WHY???

    I'm guessing most people think the Cinci offense will not be able to keep up with Memphis' offense. That may be true, but Cinci's defense is pretty darn good too.

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    • #3
      Re: Cincy vs. Memphis at -12 WHY???

      Cincinnati has absolutely nothing to play for, they are in the conf. champ game next week. Memphis needs to win to get there. Even without that additional motivation factor, I made this line to be -9. Memphis has one of the best home track records around, so I give them 4 pts home field advantage. Cincinnati plays decent defense, theirs and Memphis' are nearly identical statistically (both give up 5.1 ypp). But their offense just isn't good enough to keep up in this game IMO, Memphis is far superior on that side of the ball.
      "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

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      • #4
        Re: Cincy vs. Memphis at -12 WHY???

        Thanks JJ. Makes sense. But I'd also add - Cinci may have motivation to be the team who represents the smaller schools in one of BIG bowl games at the end.

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