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Underdogs have dominated the Super Bowl in recent years, posting a 12-3 ATS mark in the last 15 games, with covers and straight-up wins in five straight.
History also indicates that if you like the Falcons to cover, you’d be right to pick them to win outright as well, as 44 of the 50 Super Bowl winners (88%) have also covered the spread.
When tabbed as a favorite, the Patriots are on a very profitable run that’s seen them go 19-9-2 ATS, while Falcons backers are hitting the jackpot when their team is an underdog as they’ve gone 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games when getting points. That stretch of 27 games began on November 13, 2013, and no team in the NFL has a better ATS win percentage as an underdog over that span than the Falcons.
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