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  • championship games sdql

    divisional 1-4..if you click the link on the kc system
    you'll see there was a 5-0 under system going in that of course now is 6-0..at minimum that should have neutralized the over that was based on a 2 game sample but for whatever reason didn't put that together..

    on to the next round

    http://www.killersports.com/nfl/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

    teams that won <=12 games..
    were home for wildcard game..
    total >39

    3-0 (12.83)

    gb+5

    http://www.killersports.com/nfl/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

    =>15 win teams..
    line between +3 and -12

    5-0 (13.9)

    pats -5.5


    not committing yet other than there's no way I'll be on pit ...pats or nothing..total numbers not bad on that system either
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-17-2017, 07:51 AM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

  • #2
    Re: championship games sdql

    http://www.killersports.com/nfl/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    championship game..
    less than 2 punts previous week

    4-0 under (-10.25)

    2 highest totals have greater margins

    ne/pit under 50.5
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-17-2017, 06:42 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: championship games sdql

      Indoor post-season games are 23-8 o/u all time. Packers on a 6-1 o/u run on the road going back to October, also a 6-0 o/u run their last 6 games since the offense got rolling. Falcons have gone over 9 straight at home since Sept. Packers/Falcons total highest ever and with good reason, 2 offenses absolutely hitting on all cylinders in a perfect environment...
      "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: championship games sdql

        Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
        Indoor post-season games are 23-8 o/u all time. Packers on a 6-1 o/u run on the road going back to October, also a 6-0 o/u run their last 6 games since the offense got rolling. Falcons have gone over 9 straight at home since Sept. Packers/Falcons total highest ever and with good reason, 2 offenses absolutely hitting on all cylinders in a perfect environment...
        you think linesmakers feel that number will scare some people off the over..almost like a double agent situation where you feel like you're being sharp going under that number because the public and the situation calls for an over bet..the reality for the linesmaker however is he can't make that number high enough and the thing to do is the obvious.. go over
        Last edited by bleeker; 01-19-2017, 07:02 AM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: championship games sdql

          Originally posted by bleeker View Post
          you think linesmakers feel that number will scare some people off the over..almost like a double agent situation where you feel like you're being sharp going under that number because the public and the situation calls for an over bet..the reality for the linesmaker however is he can't make that number high enough and the thing to do is the obvious.. go over
          Exactly my thoughts
          Twitter @winningpix1
          Last Season NFL 96-71-7 +$3750

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: championship games sdql

            I'm gonna keep poking around see if something else comes up that seems worthwhile..definitely on the pats and to me the total systems cancel each other out..maybe I'll find another..check back by tomorrow night
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: championship games sdql

              One more thing I wanted to add about the Packers' game. The first meeting @Atlanta Cobb, Cook, and Montgomery all missed and they scored 32 points against that defense. Aaron was not even playing well headed into that game. From what I have heard in the press conf. I expect Jordy to be about a 20-30% chance to play and Devante Adams probably closer to a 50-60% chance to play.
              "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: championship games sdql

                away..
                rushed less than 120 yds last 2..
                and line less than +14..
                total >45

                0-4 (-22.38) ATS as always

                against gb and on atl -5.5
                Last edited by bleeker; 01-20-2017, 09:21 PM.
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: championship games sdql

                  Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                  away..
                  rushed less than 120 yds last 2..
                  and line less than +14..
                  total >45

                  0-4 (-22.38) ATS as always

                  against gb and on atl -5.5
                  http://www.killersports.com/nfl/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                  this only applies to conference championship games
                  Last edited by bleeker; 01-20-2017, 08:49 PM.
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: championship games sdql

                    conference cg..
                    away..
                    previous rush < 120 yds..
                    line <6..
                    total >45

                    4-0 (13.75)

                    atl/gb over 60.5


                    http://www.killersports.com/nfl/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                    Last edited by bleeker; 01-21-2017, 09:12 AM.
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: championship games sdql

                      realize conflict atl/gb side.. Probably go with latest one as feel its more relevant bigger sample and margin.. decide tomorrow or later today
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: championship games sdql

                        Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                        realize conflict atl/gb side.. Probably go with latest one as feel its more relevant bigger sample and margin.. decide tomorrow or later today
                        I'm leaning Atlanta Pitt but just saw Francesca on both opposites. I know I won't bet Gb or Ne flat, maybe tease my plays instead of flats ? Would like to know your final thoughts also Bleeker
                        Last edited by Winningpix; 01-21-2017, 07:14 PM.
                        Twitter @winningpix1
                        Last Season NFL 96-71-7 +$3750

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: championship games sdql

                          Vincent

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: championship games sdql

                            Originally posted by Winningpix View Post
                            I'm leaning Atlanta Pitt but just saw Francesca on both opposites. I know I won't bet Gb or Ne flat, maybe tease my plays instead of flats ? Would like to know your final thoughts also Bleeker
                            I'm not usually a quarter or half bettor but see some opportunities there based on the sdql..think I'm gonna wind up on both favorites besides..I'll have stuff up by noon
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: championship games sdql

                              atl -6
                              ne -6
                              atl -.5..3rd quarter.. (half unit)
                              ne -3.5..1st half (half unit)


                              the querys break things down by quarters just above the query results..the two systems definitely show an advantage for ne in the first half and atl in the 3rd quarter so gonna go with both of those for a half unit
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment

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