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NBA Betting. Stats, Trends and more. 12/19

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  • NBA Betting. Stats, Trends and more. 12/19

    Can These Bad NBA Teams Continue To Be Good Bets?
    By Covers.com

    When it comes to mining for NBA gold, some of the worst SU teams have provided the strongest value.

    As oddsmakers continue to punish the East for being miles behind its West counterpart, the weaker conference actually houses some of the strongest ATS bets through the opening quarter of the season. And one rather well-known Western Conference team has fared well ATS despite opening without its biggest star.

    Here are four teams that have been decidedly kinder to bettors than they have to their own fans:

    Charlotte Bobcats (10-14 SU, 14-9-1 ATS)


    Charlotte has actually been decent - by Bobcats standards, at least - as it looks to turn things around following last season's 21-61 debacle. The Bobcats have shown a keen ability to stay in games this year, which explains why they have one of the conference's best ATS records despite being well below .500. The main reason for Charlotte's success: a stifling defense allowing the third-fewest points in the league (92.5) entering Tuesday's action. Not surprisingly, that has also made the Bobcats one of the best "under" plays of the year (7-16-1 O/U).

    Boston Celtics (12-14 SU, 15-11 ATS)

    The Atlantic Division-leading Celtics may not be the powerhouse unit of years gone by, but they're using many of the same tactics to thrive. Boston has defended all areas of the court well, but has been particularly stingy beyond the arc, limiting opponents to a league-worst 32.2-percent success rate. The Celtics have struggled on the offensive end, but some of those problems should disappear with the return of injured point guard Rajon Rondo. Unfortunately, the odds will likely be adjusted to reflect that - making Boston a less solid ATS play.

    Washington Wizards (10-13 SU, 13-10 ATS)

    While Charlotte and Boston have provided ATS value with strong defensive play, the Wizards are in the mix thanks to a surprisingly potent offense. Led by electrifying point guard John Wall, the Wizards are averaging 98.3 points per night - more than five points ahead of last year's mark - and have been one of the deadliest teams from long range, hitting 38.4 percent of their 3-point attempts. That hot shooting has enabled the Wizards to keep pace with favored teams - particularly of late, as they're 3-1 ATS in their last four games as an underdog.

    Los Angeles Lakers (11-13 SU, 13-10-1 ATS)

    Mike D'Antoni may not earn any Coach of the Year votes at season's end, but his ability to keep the Lakers semi-competitive despite being without injured star Kobe Bryant and fellow aging guard Steve Nash has been impressive. Los Angeles found a way to remain offensively efficient in Bryant's absence - averaging better than 100 points per game - and that has made the Lakers a tough out. Yet, with Bryant back in the fold, the Lakers have actually begun to lose value - going 1-4 ATS - as oddsmakers account for Los Angeles' perceived improvement with him in the lineup.

  • #2
    NBA Betting Report
    Sportspic.com

    Looking at how NBA action has panned out for sports bettors our NBA Betting Database tells us the most profitable teams vs the betting line are Blazers cashing 18-of-25 tickets Suns at 15-5-1 and Pacers sporting a 16-7 ATS mark. The least profitable NBA teams at this juncture are Grizzlies at 7-15-1 ATS with Bulls at 7-15 ATS, Bucks a cash draining 8-16 on the campaign.

    Overall, favorites have been a losing cause as chalks have recorded a 169-180-5 mark against-the-oddsmaker split between 103-129-3 for home faves, 66-51-2 for roadies laying points. Inside those number, not all favorites can be painted with the same cash draining brush. The most profitable favorite vs the betting line are Pacers posting a 7-4 record on home court, a near perfect 6-1 mark when traveling. Honourable mention goes to Blazers as a favorite treating backers with a 6-4 mark on home court, 5-3 ATS record as road favorite. Some of the least profitable teams laying points are Bulls (3-11), Cavaliers (1-7), Kings (0-7) and Nets (4-8).

    On the other side of the equation, Suns lead the underdog group with a profitable 13-3 mark and as expected most gains are made on the road with desert dogs cashing 9-of-11 tickets. The Bobcats (12-5-1), Lakers (11-7-1) are two other dogs with bite. You won't get much bang for the buck (pun intended) backing Milwaukee (8-15) or Grizzlies (2-10) in an underdog roll especially in front of respective home crowds as Bucks are 3-8 in the situation, Grizzlies 0-6 ATS.

    The NBA team that is averaging the most points per game are Blazers netting 107.9 points every time they take the floor with Bucks at the bottom of the rung scoring a lowly 89.8 per/contest. Defensively, the Pacers lead the league surrendering a messily 89.5 per/game while Sixers are the dregs in this department allowing opponents a whopping 110.4 points/contest. No surprise Bobcats (7-16-1 O/U), Pacers (9-14 O/U) are good 'Under' plays with Blazers (18-7 O/U), Sixers (16-9 O/U) solid 'Over'

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA TNT Doubleheader: Bulls at Thunder, Spurs at Warriors
      Covers.com

      Chicago Bulls at Oklahoma City Thunder (-13, 192.5)

      One of the NBA’s hottest squads plays one that is sinking fast when the Oklahoma City Thunder hosts the Chicago Bulls on Thursday. Oklahoma City was won seven straight games – the longest active streak in the league – and 15 of its last 16 contests as it welcomes a Chicago club that has been reeling since former MVP Derrick Rose suffered a season-ending knee injury. The Bulls have lost 12 of their last 15 games and are six games below .500.

      Chicago has failed to reach 100 points in any of its last seven games, including Wednesday’s 109-94 loss to the Houston Rockets. The powerful Thunder are on the other end of the spectrum by topping the century mark in eight consecutive games and averaging 109.5 points during the stretch. Oklahoma City is also the lone team in the NBA not to lose at home (12-0) and its 20-4 start is the second-best in franchise history behind the 21-3 opening stretch of the Seattle SuperSonics in 1993-94.

      POWER RANKINGS: Bulls (-5.2) - Thunder (-14.0) - Home Court (-3.0) = Thunder -11.8

      ABOUT THE BULLS (9-15, 7-17 ATS): Veteran point guard D.J. Augustin was recently added to the roster due to the injury issues and his ball-handling has been solid over the past two outings. Augustin had nine assists in the loss to Houston and has 17 assists against three turnovers over the past two games. His shooting has been poor in four games since joining Chicago – he’s 8-of-31 from the field – but he’s just happy to be in position to contribute. “Just go out there and try to give a spark,” Augustin recently told reporters. “Whenever Coach (Tom Thibodeau) puts me in, just try to bring a spark and play hard, do whatever it takes to help the team win.”

      ABOUT THE THUNDER (20-4, 14-10 ATS): Forward Kevin Durant continues to be superb and six of his NBA-high 30-point outings have come in December. The perennial All-Star leads the NBA with a 28.6 scoring average and has made 32-of-54 shots over the past three games. Running mate Russell Westbrook has three straight double-doubles and the last two have been of the point-rebound variety as the standout point guard has grabbed 25 total rebounds in back-to-back wins over Orlando and Denver. Westbrook is fully sound after offseason knee surgery and is averaging 21 points per game.

      TRENDS:

      * Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
      * Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
      * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Oklahoma City.
      * Bulls are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.

      BUZZER BEATERS:

      1. Oklahoma City swept last season’s two meetings and has won three straight overall against the Bulls.

      2. Thunder PF Serge Ibaka has five double-doubles over the past eight contests.

      3. Bulls PG Kirk Hinrich (back) could miss his fourth consecutive game.


      San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors (N/A)

      The Golden State Warriors got Andre Iguodala back on Tuesday and looked like a totally different team in cruising past the New Orleans Pelicans. Iguodala will make his second straight start when the host Warriors search for some redemption against the Tony Parker-less San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. Golden State lost to the Spurs in the Western Conference semifinals last spring and put up a season-low scoring total in a 76-74 loss at San Antonio last month.

      The Warriors went 5-7 in the 12 games Iguodala missed with a hamstring strain and only needed him for 17 minutes on Tuesday to change the tone of the game. “He’s a guy that makes it so much easier with his ability to make plays, read and react,” Golden State coach Mark Jackson said. “We missed him and we are glad to have him back. It was also a carryover effect because other guys began to read, react and make plays.” The Spurs have a guy like that in Parker, but the star point guard has already been ruled out of the contest due to a shin contusion.

      POWER RANKINGS: Spurs (-13.8) - Warriors (-9.5) + Home Court (-3.0) = Spurs -1.3

      ABOUT THE SPURS (20-5, 13-12 ATS): San Antonio did not need Parker to get past the Phoenix Suns 108-101 on Wednesday, leaning on Manu Ginobili and Tim Duncan to pick up the win. Duncan picked up his fifth straight double-double in the win and is averaging 17.8 points and 13.2 rebounds in that span, though coach Gregg Popovich seems typically unimpressed with his whole team. “We have the same team we always have,” Popovich said. “...Usually at this point in the season we are OK, a little bit above average, but not the best for sure.”

      ABOUT THE WARRIORS (14-12, 11-13-2 ATS): Iguodala played in the first meeting with the Spurs but Stephen Curry sat out, robbing the team of its best scorer in the tight loss. Curry went for 28 points and 12 assists in the win over the Pelicans on Tuesday and is averaging 30.8 points and 9.4 assists in the last five games - but is still looking for more from himself and his team. “We need to come out with energy and effort to start games,” Curry said. “We are a good team when we have the lead so we need to figure out a way to separate from teams early, especially at home, so we can put ourselves in a better position to not have to work so hard and try to get over the hump.”

      TRENDS:

      * Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
      * Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Golden State.
      * Spurs are 7-3-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Golden State.
      * Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

      BUZZER BEATERS:

      1. The Warriors took both meetings at home during the 2012-13 regular season but lost two to the Spurs in their own arena during the playoffs.

      2. Ginobili is 17-for-28 from the field over the last two games.

      3. Golden State F David Lee has recorded a double-double in six straight games.

      Comment


      • #4
        Thursday NBA Tips
        By Kevin Rogers
        VegasInsider.com

        Bulls at Thunder

        Chicago: 9-15 SU, 7-17 ATS
        Oklahoma City: 20-4 SU, 14-10 ATS

        The Bulls continue to struggle after last night's 109-94 setback at Houston, as Chicago travels to Oklahoma City tonight. Tom Thibodeau's club has failed to cover in seven straight games and nine of the last 10 trips to the court, including an 0-4 SU/ATS mark the past four games away from the United Center. The biggest issue for the Bulls has been lack of scoring, as this team has scored 94 points or less in seven consecutive contests, resulting in five 'unders.'

        The Thunder enters tonight's action as the only unbeaten team at home in the NBA, posting a 12-0 record at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Oklahoma City owns a 7-5 ATS record on its home court, while being listed as a double-digit home favorite for the fifth time this season (2-2 ATS). Scott Brooks' squad has eclipsed the 100-point mark in eight straight games, including Tuesday's 105-93 triumph at Denver as 2½-point road favorites. Kevin Durant busted the 30-point mark for the fourth time in six games on Tuesday, while pulling down at least six rebounds for the 15th consecutive contest.

        Oklahoma City swept the season series from Chicago last season, including a 30-point blowout at home. The Thunder snuck by the Bulls at the United Center last November, 97-91 to cash as short 2 ½-point favorites, but the second game was barely competitive three months later. OKC dominated Chicago, 102-72 as nine-point home favorites, while limiting the Bulls to 29% shooting from the floor.

        For just the third time in 13 games, the Thunder is seeing a total below 200, as OKC eclipsed the 'over' in the last two instances against Memphis and Indiana. In fact, the Thunder has hit the 'over' in five of seven opportunities with a total listed under 200 this season. The Bulls are 3-1 to the 'over' in totals above 190, while allowing at least 107 points in three of those contests.

        Spurs at Warriors

        San Antonio: 20-5 SU, 13-12 ATS
        Golden State: 14-12 SU, 11-13-2 ATS

        The Spurs finish off a four-game road trip tonight, as San Antonio matches up with Golden State for the second time this season. Last night, the Spurs took care of the Suns, 108-101 to cash as 3½-point road favorites, in spite of point guard Tony Parker sitting out with a shin injury. Manu Ginobili stepped up off the bench to score a game-high 24 for San Antonio, while Tim Duncan put up a double-double with 17 points and 13 rebounds.

        The Warriors snapped a two-game losing streak in Tuesday's 104-93 home victory over the Pelicans, as Golden State picked up the money as nine-point favorites. Golden State limited New Orleans to 37% shooting from the floor, while Stephen Curry and David Lee combined to score 49 points in the win. Andre Iguodala returned to the Warriors' lineup after missing 12 games with a hamstring injury, but scored only two points in 17 minutes of action. The victory over New Orleans ended a five-game ATS skid for Golden State, as the Warriors own a 2-6 ATS record the last eight contests at Oracle Arena.

        In the first meeting this season, the Spurs edged the Warriors, 76-74 at the AT&T Center in early November. Golden State cashed as 5 ½-point road underdogs, as both teams shot below 40% from the field, while Parker led the Spurs with 18 points. San Antonio eliminated Golden State in six games of the second round of last season's playoffs, as five of the previous six matchups have finished 'under' the total.

        Parker will sit out again tonight with that shin injury suffered in Monday's blowout loss to the Clippers, but the Spurs have fared well with no rest by compiling a 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS record. San Antonio is 3-1 SU/ATS on the road in the second end of a back-to-back this season, while being listed as an underdog for just the second time this season, falling at Oklahoma City on November 27.

        Comment


        • #5
          Hot teams
          -- Thunder won their last seven games (6-1 vs spread).
          -- Spurs won five of their last six games; they're 4-7 vs spread at home.

          Cold Teams
          -- Bulls lost six of their last seven games.

          Totals
          -- Five of last seven Chicago games stayed under the total.
          -- Eight of last ten San Antonio games went over the total.

          Series records
          -- Bulls lost last three visits to Oklahoma by 11-14-30 points.
          -- Spurs won last three games vs Golden State by 18-12-2 points.

          Comment


          • #6
            8:00 PM
            CHICAGO vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
            Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
            Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing Chicago

            10:30 PM
            SAN ANTONIO vs. GOLDEN STATE
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Golden State
            San Antonio is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Golden State
            Golden State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Antonio
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games

            Comment


            • #7
              Chicago at Oklahoma City, 8:00 ET
              Chicago: 4-12 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread
              Oklahoma City: 19-9 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more

              San Antonio at Golden State, 10:35 ET
              San Antonio: 31-17 ATS after scoring 105 points or more
              Golden State: 10-22 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

              Comment


              • #8
                StatFox Super Situations

                CHICAGO at OKLAHOMA CITY
                Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) after 6 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

                CHICAGO at OKLAHOMA CITY
                Play On - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days 68-67 since 1997. ( 50.4% | 45.2 units ) 1-4 this year. ( 20.0% | -0.5 units )

                CHICAGO at OKLAHOMA CITY
                Play On - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread 97-51 since 1997. ( 65.5% | 40.9 units ) 3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 3.0 units )

                Comment

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