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NBA Betting. Stats, Trends and more. 12/9

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  • NBA Betting. Stats, Trends and more. 12/9

    NBA

    Monday, December 9

    Hot teams
    -- Warriors won five of their last seven games.
    -- Nuggets won eight of their last ten games. Washington won five of its last seven games.
    -- Trailblazers won eight of their last ten games.
    -- Dallas won its last three games, by 7-3-2 points.

    Cold Teams
    -- Charlotte lost four of its last six games.
    -- Clippers lost three of their last four games. 76ers lost six of last seven.
    -- Orlando lost its last five games (2-3 vs spread). Memphis lost five of its last seven games.
    -- Jazz lost last three games, by 9-32-10 points.
    -- Sacramento lost six of its last seven games.

    Totals
    -- Five of last seven Golden State road games stayed under.
    -- Seven of last ten Clipper games stayed under the total.
    -- Seven of last ten Denver games stayed under the total.
    -- Three of last four Memphis games stayed under total.
    -- Five of last six Utah games, last six Blazer games went over the total.
    -- Three of last four Sacramento games went over the total.

    Series records
    -- Warriors won last two games with Charlotte, are 4-5 in last nine.
    -- Clippers won last three games with Philly by 1-17-29 points.
    -- Washington beat Nuggets twice LY, by 4-6 points.
    -- Grizzlies won last four games with Orlando (three by 12+ points).
    -- Jazz lost by 32 at Portland Friday, just their second loss in last nine series games.
    -- Dallas won five in row, 15 of last 16 games with Sacramento.

  • #2
    NBA Betting: Examining Home/Away ATS Differentials
    By Covers.com

    Some NBA teams play the best at home while some can only seem to get it done away from the office, here is a look at some of the biggest gaps between home and away value based on this year's ATS records to date.

    Toronto Raptors (2-7 home, 5-4 away)

    The Toronto Raptors just haven't been able to get it done at the ACC in the early stages of 2013. Playing in the laughable Atlantic Division the Raptors are just 2-7 ATS at home. Things have been better away with a 5-4 record, but the Raptors do have their problems on the road as well so they are by no means a lock at any venue in the NBA this season, if you were to pick them to cover on the road would be the spot to do it.

    The Raptors play the Lakers on the road Sunday, with Toronto boasting former USC Trojan and Compton native DeMar DeRozan, there could be value in a Sunday Raptors play.

    Los Angeles Lakers (7-2-1 home, 5-4 away)

    Toronto's opponent on Sunday, the Lakers are even better ATS at home then the Raptors are on the road despite not being able to carry the same ATS reputation on the road Los Angeles is money at the Staples Center. 7-2-1 without Kobe Bryant in the lineup, Lakers' backers have been rewarded for having faith in a team missing their star. All of that can change with Kobe back in the lineup, if the Black Mamba is rusty and the lines go more in the Lakers favor it could plummet back to earth.

    Phoenix Suns (5-3-1 home, 9-2 away)

    The rebuilding Suns have been one of the best ATS teams in the league, but they are the most solid away from the desert. A 5-3-1 home record is good, but 9-2 ATS on the road is nearly as good as you can get. It is so good it likely won't last forever, especially once the rebuilding Suns get tired of being out of the playoff race.

    Atlanta Hawks (7-3 home, 6-5 away)

    Despite their reputation for having low fan support, the Atlanta Hawks have been solid as hosts in the first months of the season. 7-3 at home, the Hawks are a just over .500 team ATS away from Atlanta. Perhaps it is the city nightlife that is giving the Hawks an advantage.

    Charlotte Bobcats (5-6 home, 7-1-1 away)

    A trend that has been so good for so long and is probably going to be ending with Michael Kidd-Gilchrist's broken hand, the Charlotte Bobcats stellar away record. The Bobcats have only lost money once away from North Carolina, but without their promising guard that could change quickly.

    Houston Rockets (7-4-1 home, 5-4 away)

    Another city with an urban legend of having some great NBA nightlife, Houston are 7-4-1 home this season while holding a 5-4 ATS record on the road. The Rockets are a team on the rise and should be one of the teams in the Western Conference playoffs at the end of the season. 9-3 straight up at home I expect the Rockets value at home to continue.

    Comment


    • #3
      Foxsheets Best stats for NBA for 12-9-13

      Monday, 12/09/2013 (701) LA CLIPPERS vs. (702) PHILADELPHIA
      Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the money line.
      Play Against - Any team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - poor three point shooting team (<=33%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent
      (62-18 since 1996.) (77.5%, +45.3 units. Rating=5*)
      The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +4.5 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (707) ORLANDO vs. (708) MEMPHIS
      Favoring: Under on the total.
      Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (ORLANDO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, first half of the season
      (45-11 since 1996.) (80.4%, +32.9 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (701) LA CLIPPERS vs. (702) PHILADELPHIA
      Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the money line.
      Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential), after a combined score of 175 points or less
      (51-7 since 1996.) (87.9%, +38.8 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (701) LA CLIPPERS vs. (702) PHILADELPHIA
      Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the money line.
      Play On - Any team vs the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games
      (72-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.6%, +46.5 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (6-0 +9 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (701) LA CLIPPERS vs. (702) PHILADELPHIA
      Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the money line.
      Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential), after a combined score of 175 points or less
      (51-4 since 1996.) (92.7%, +41.8 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (701) LA CLIPPERS vs. (702) PHILADELPHIA
      Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the money line.
      Play On - Any team vs the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games
      (44-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +31.2 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +5.2 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (701) LA CLIPPERS vs. (702) PHILADELPHIA
      Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the money line.
      Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games
      (94-23 since 1996.) (80.3%, +55.2 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (709) PORTLAND vs. (710) UTAH
      Favoring: PORTLAND on the money line.
      Play Against - Any team vs the money line (UTAH) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games
      (92-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.1%, +55 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (6-2 +1.1 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (707) ORLANDO vs. (708) MEMPHIS
      Favoring: Under on the total.
      Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (ORLANDO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season
      (77-29 since 1996.) (72.6%, +45.1 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (701) LA CLIPPERS vs. (702) PHILADELPHIA
      Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the money line.
      Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential), after scoring 85 points or less
      (36-3 since 1996.) (92.3%, +30.4 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (701) LA CLIPPERS vs. (702) PHILADELPHIA
      Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the money line.
      Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential), after scoring 85 points or less
      (36-3 since 1996.) (92.3%, +30.4 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (711) DALLAS vs. (712) SACRAMENTO
      Favoring: Under on the total.
      Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DALLAS) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting <=21 free throws/game, good shooting team - shooting >=46% on the season
      (47-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.0%, +31.6 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (8-4 +3.6 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (705) DENVER vs. (706) WASHINGTON
      Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.
      Play On - Underdogs vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less
      (25-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.1%, +28.2 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +1.9 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (701) LA CLIPPERS vs. (702) PHILADELPHIA
      Favoring: LA CLIPPERS on the money line.
      Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games
      (61-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.1%, +42.2 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +4 units).
      View Entire FoxSheet for this game. | View all situations for this game.
      Monday, 12/09/2013 (709) PORTLAND vs. (710) UTAH
      Favoring: PORTLAND on the money line.
      Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (UTAH) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games
      (86-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.1%, +52.9 units. Rating=4*)
      The situation's record this season is: (6-2 +1.1 units).

      Comment

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