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NCAAB Betting. 11/19

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  • NCAAB Betting. 11/19

    NCAAB Preview

    Butler smoked Vanderbilt 68-49 in Nashville LY; Vandy shot 29% inside the arc, but Bulldogs lost three starters and their coach from LY. They're 2-0 this month, beating Princeton by 3 last game- Tigers were 23-37 on foul line, Vandy 19-26. Commodores scored 83 ppg in winning their first two games by 6-11-- they've made 46% from arc, 59% from foul line.

    Richmond won two of first three games, despite shooting 13.8% behind arc; Spiders led Minnesota 59-55 with 7:25 left Sunday, before Gophers ended game on 19-0 run for harder win than final score shows. Hofstra lost by 4 to Monmouth, got waxed at Louisville, beat FDU by 22- they have three starters back and upgraded at coach, bringing Mihalich in.

    James Madison is playing 4th game in five nights after winning two of three in event in DeKalb, IL; Dukes have three starters back from 21-15 team LY that won CAA tourney. Detroit lost last game at UConn by 46; they're 0-2 vs D-I teams, shooting 11% outside arc, 36.8% inside. CAA home favorites are 1-3 vs spread; Horizon road underdogs are 8-9.

    First road game for LaSalle, which won two home games by total of 10 points, after it lost in OT to Manhattan; Explorers have four starters on team from LY's 24-10 team- they whacked Penn State by 25 LY, making 16-31 behind arc. Penn State beat two stiffs by 12 points each, lost by 10 to Bucknell, which was 10-15 from arc, 24-31 from charity stripe.

    Oklahoma State crushed three stiffs to start season; they made 45.6% of 3's, hard to tell much else from games like that. Cowboys have 4 starters back from LY's 24-9 team. Memphis turned ball over 21 times in 95-69 win over Austin Peay; they've got three starters back from 31-5 squad that won game in NCAAs LY. Big X home favorites are 7-5 vs spread.

    First road game for DePaul team that scored 81.7 ppg in 2-1 start, losing 75-68 to Southern Miss; Blue Demons turned ball over 23.1% of time- they beat Milwaukee 84-50 LY, in brickfest where teams combined to go 3-32 behind arc. Panthers won last four games (two road wins) after loss by 4 at Loyola in opener. Horizon home teams are 2-5 against spread.

    Colorado State lost all five starters from LY; they bounced back to beat Weber State by 21 after losing by 31 at Gonzaga. Rams beat UTEP by 4 at home LY, after leading by 13 in second half, then trailing by point at 2:47 mark. Miners lost by 13 at New Mexico State after beating couple non-D-I teams- they've got three starters back from LY's 18-14 team.

    UNLV got smoked at home by UCSB, then nipped Omaha 73-70 in last game; Rebels are inexperienced, their best scorer Jones is playing hurt- they're shooting 50% from foul line, turned ball over 22.1% of the time. Arizona State crushed first three stiffs they played, making 44.6% from arc. Pac-12 favorites are 16-9 against the spread, 2-0 on foreign soil.

    USC scored 75.7 ppg in 2-1 start, winning by 16-4 in its two games at home; Trojans made only 25% of 3's so far, 61.5% from foul line- they have -4 turnover ratio. Cal State-Fullerton is 2-1, losing at Seattle by 4 in its only road game, when Seattle made 12-25 from the arc in coming back from 51-33 deficit to win. Big West road underdogs are 4-8 vs spread.

    Drexel was 25-38 from foul line in 71-64 win over Elon last night; they played four subs double digit minutes. CAA road underdogs are 5-6 vs spread. Rutgers is 3-1 after holding Canisius to 33% in 66-51 win last night; Knights have wins by 8-1-15 points, despite shooting just 29.3% bheind arc. AAC home favorites are 11-5 against the spread.

    First road game for St Bonaventure team that won first three games, all by 22+ points; Bonnies beat Siena last three years, by 15-6-3 points-- they held Saints to 33% with +12 (17-5) turnover ratio in LY's 58-43 win, Siena is 0-3, giving up 76.3 ppg, losing by 12-11-4 points- they are turning ball over 20.6% of time, making 28% from arc, 43.6% inside it.

    Auburn got drilled at 111-92 at home by Northwestern State Friday, as Demons made 14-27 from arc, scoring 72 points in second half, 44 in last 10:00 of game that Auburn led by 14 in second half. Tigers won opener by 22 over a stiff. Jacksonville State is 0-4, allowing 80.3 ppg, with last two teams that beat them both ranked outside top 300 in country.

    Austin Peay turned ball over 22 times in 95-69 loss at Memphis, only D-I game so far; Governors have four starters back from LY's 8-23 team. Southern Illinois lost three starters from a 14-17 team; Salukis lost first two games by 13-9 points to top 50 teams, making just 26.7% from arc. MVC road teams are 6-6 against spread; OVC home teams are 3-3.

  • #2
    Tuesday's Tip Sheet
    By David Schwab
    VegasInsider.com

    Tuesday’s are always a great night for wagering on college basketball and while this week’s slate may not contain the magnitude of contests of last Tuesday’s 24-hour marathon, there are a couple of quality matchups involving some of the top teams in the country that will be in action.

    No. 11 Memphis Tigers at No. 7 Oklahoma State Cowboys

    Oddsmakers opned Oklahoma State as a six-point home favorite against Memphis for Tuesday's showdown from Stillwater.

    Memphis has only played one previous game this season in which it rolled over Austin Peay 95-69 as a 21½-point home favorite. There was no posted total line for this contest. The Tigers closed-out last season with a 70-48 loss to Michigan State as 5 ½ -point underdogs in the third round of the NCAA Tournament after winning their previous seven games straight up. They were 5-2 against the spread during that run and the total went OVER in four of the seven games.

    The Cowboys have eased into the new season as well with three victories by an average of 47.3 points per game, two of the wins coming against a pair of Southwestern Athletic Conference opponents.

    There were no posted lines for any of those games. Their 2012-2013 season came to an abrupt end with a 68-55 loss to Oregon as two-point favorites in their only NCAA Tournament appearance. Oklahoma State went 1-4 ATS in its last five games with the total going OVER in three of those outings.

    A couple of key players to keep your eye on for the Tigers in this matchup are senior guards Joe Jackson and Michael Dixon Jr. The two combined for 31 points in last Thursday’s win over the Governors.

    Oklahoma State coach Travis Ford is impressed with Memphis and its athletes. 'Memphis is one of the most talented teams in the country,” he said. “They're a very deep, athletic team, and a lot of people say they may have the best backcourt in the country, and they very well might. We'll see, They're very good.”

    The hot hands for the Cowboys have been Phil Forte, with an average of 21 points in his first three games and Markel Brown, who is second on the team in scoring with 15.3 PPG. Behind that pair is arguably the best player in the nation, Marcus Smart. Most thought the sophomore would’ve left for the NBA last season and he hasn’t had a break-out game this season.

    The last time these two teams met was all the way back in the 2004 NCAA Tournament with Oklahoma State coming away with a 70-53 victory as a 6 ½ -point favorite.

    These teams could meet up again next weekend as they’re both going to playing in the Old Spice Classic tournament from Orlando during Thanksgiving weekend.

    Texas-Arlington Mavericks at No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats

    Texas-Arlington is off to a 2-2 SU (1-2 ATS) after falling to Cleveland State this past Saturday 83-73 as a 1 ½-point home favorite. It has averaged 89.8 PPG behind the duo of Reger Dowell and Brandon Edwards. Dowell is averaging 26 PPG with Edwards chipping in another 17.5 PPG. Edwards is also averaging a team-high 11.3 RPG.

    Kentucky found itself on the wrong end of a 78-74 decision against then-No. 2 Michigan State in last Tuesday’s State Farm Classic as a four-point underdog. Despite the loss, the Wildcats only dropped to No. 4 in the latest AP Top 25 Rankings.

    John Calipari’s team bounced back from the loss on Sunday with a lopsided 87-49 victory over Robert Morris, who beat Kentucky in the first round of last year’s NIT Tournament.

    The Wildcats are very deep but the team has been very reliant on their so-called “Big Two” of Julius Randle and Aaron Harrison. Randle is scoring 20.5 PPG and pulling down 14.3 RPG to complement Harrison’s 14.3 PPG and three assists a game.

    Kentucky opened as a 26-point favorite and both of the Mavericks’ losses this season have come by double digits to Boise State (116-87) and Cleveland State (83-73).

    Iona Gaels at No. 2 Kansas Jayhawks

    The Gaels opened the season with a 73-69 loss to Cleveland as 2½ -point road underdogs but they bounced back with a 76-55 romp over Wofford this past Sunday as eight-point home favorites. Sean Armand leads the team in scoring with 18.5 points a game and David Laury is Iona’s leading rebounder with 8.5 boards while averaging 17 points a game.

    Kansas moved up in the latest polls after beating then-No. 4 Duke 94-83 in the other half of last Tuesday’s State Farm Classic. The Jayhawks were 5½ -point underdogs in that contest and the total went OVER the 158-point closing line. Perry Ellis had a huge night against the Blue Devils with a game-high 24 points and nine rebounds. Freshman Andrew Wiggins made his presence known with 22 points and eight rebounds.

    For tonight’s matchup, KU opened as a 16-point home favorite and the line moved up quickly to 17.

    Even though the Jayhawks are laying double-digits at home on Tuesday, head coach Bill Self is expecting a unique battle. “"This will be the first time we've played against a team that's played predominantly zone," Self said. "They'll mix it up. They'll play 1-3-1 and 3-2 and kind of a 2-3 match-up, and they play faster than anybody we've played so far. They play faster than Duke as far as wanting to shoot it quick. And they're small, so we'll be having bigs guard on the perimeter."

    Comment


    • #3
      Memphis at Oklahoma State: What Bettors Need to Know
      Covers.com

      Memphis Tigers at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-6.5, OFF)

      After beating up on lesser competition so far this season, No. 9 Oklahoma State will face a major test when it hosts No. 11 Memphis in an Old Spice Classic game Tuesday that should feature plenty of offensive fireworks. The Cowboys are outscoring opponents by an average of 102.3-55 in three victories, paced by Phil Forte’s 21-point average off the bench. Starters Markel Brown (15.3), Le’Bryan Nash (13.7), Marcus Smart (13.7) and Bryan Williams (10) average double-figures for Oklahoma State.

      The Tigers were the last team in Division I to open their season, drubbing Austin Peay 95-69 in their lid-lifter on Nov. 14. Memphis’ talented backcourt lived up to its expectations, with returners Joe Jackson, Chris Crawford, Geron Johnson, and Missouri transfer Michael Dixon Jr. breaking the 10-point mark. Johnson also recorded a double-double, pacing Memphis with 10 rebounds.

      LINE: The line has not moved from -6.5. The total is currently OFF.

      ABOUT MEMPHIS (1-0, 1-0 ATS): With depth established in the backcourt, size in the paint was the biggest question mark for coach Josh Pastner entering this season, and at least in the Tigers’ season-opening win, it was answered. Freshman Nick King, who stands 6-7, poured in 13 off the bench and sophomore Shaq Goodwin showed the touch around the rim that made him such a highly touted recruit with 10. Memphis also outrebounded Austin Peay 50-27.

      ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (3-0, 0-0 ATS): Three blowout victories have done nothing to diminish the big expectations in Stillwater with four starters returning from a squad that won 24 games and went to the Sweet 16 last season. Smart is the unquestioned leader of the group, surprisingly returning to school after a freshman season in which he averaged 15.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, 4.2 assists and three steals and won Big 12 Player of the Year honors. Joined by dangerous scorers like Brown and Nash, the Cowboys are a legitimate Final Four threat if they stay healthy under sixth-year coach Travis Ford.

      TRENDS:

      * Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.
      * Cowboys are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
      * Under is 5-1 in Tigers last six road games.
      * Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last five games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.

      TIP-INS:

      1. The Cowboys are search of their second consecutive 4-0 start.

      2. Tuesday marks only the fourth true road game in November for Memphis since 1973.

      3. Pastner last faced Oklahoma State in the Sweet 16 of the 2005 NCAA Tournament as an assistant at Arizona under Lute Olson.

      Comment


      • #4
        StatFox Super Situations

        VANDERBILT at BUTLER
        Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BUTLER) good defensive team from last season - shooting pct defense of <=42%, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season 41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

        COLORADO ST at UTEP
        Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (UTEP) off a home win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) 535-145 since 1997. ( 78.7% | 164.9 units )

        MEMPHIS at OKLAHOMA ST
        Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (OKLAHOMA ST) off a home win scoring 85 or more points, on Tuesday nights 81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% | 37.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

        Comment


        • #5
          6:00 PM
          VANDERBILT vs. BUTLER
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games on the road
          Butler is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Butler is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

          7:00 PM
          LA SALLE vs. PENN STATE
          La Salle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
          Penn State is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games
          Penn State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home

          7:00 PM
          DELAWARE STATE vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
          No trends available
          George Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          George Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

          7:00 PM
          ST. FRANCIS PA vs. GEORGE MASON
          No trends available
          George Mason is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
          George Mason is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          7:00 PM
          HOFSTRA vs. RICHMOND
          Hofstra is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          Richmond is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
          Richmond is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

          7:00 PM
          BROWN vs. UMASS-LOWELL
          Brown is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
          No trends available

          7:00 PM
          DELAWARE vs. ARMY
          Delaware is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          No trends available
          7:00 PM
          NAVY vs. VIRGINIA
          No trends available
          Virginia is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
          Virginia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

          7:00 PM
          HARTFORD vs. LOUISVILLE
          No trends available
          Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

          7:00 PM
          ST. BONAVENTURE vs. SIENA
          St. Bonaventure is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Bonaventure's last 6 games on the road
          Siena is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Siena is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Bonaventure

          7:00 PM
          SACRED HEART vs. YALE
          No trends available
          Yale is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Yale's last 5 games at home

          7:00 PM
          ALABAMA A&M vs. EASTERN KENTUCKY
          No trends available
          Eastern Kentucky is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home
          Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          7:00 PM
          KENNESAW STATE vs. CHATTANOOGA
          No trends available
          Chattanooga is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

          7:00 PM
          DETROIT vs. JAMES MADISON
          Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          James Madison is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
          James Madison is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

          7:00 PM
          MOREHEAD STATE vs. NORTHERN KENTUCKY
          Morehead State is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
          No trends available

          7:30 PM
          TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. KENTUCKY
          Texas-Arlington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          Kentucky is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

          8:00 PM
          ABILENE CHRISTIAN vs. TCU
          No trends available
          TCU is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
          TCU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

          8:00 PM
          NEW ORLEANS vs. LSU
          No trends available
          LSU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
          LSU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

          8:00 PM
          MEMPHIS vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
          Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Oklahoma State is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
          Oklahoma State is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home

          8:00 PM
          JACKSONVILLE STATE vs. AUBURN
          Jacksonville State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Auburn
          Jacksonville State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
          Auburn is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
          Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville State

          8:00 PM
          NORTH DAKOTA vs. WISCONSIN
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Dakota's last 5 games on the road
          North Dakota is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
          Wisconsin is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
          Wisconsin is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

          8:00 PM
          MISS VALLEY STATE vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
          No trends available
          Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          8:00 PM
          PRAIRIE VIEW A&M vs. TEXAS A&M
          No trends available
          Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Prairie View A&M

          8:00 PM
          DEPAUL vs. WISC-MILWAUKEE
          DePaul is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of DePaul's last 10 games on the road
          Wisc-Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          Wisc-Milwaukee is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games

          8:00 PM
          NICHOLLS STATE vs. TROY
          No trends available
          Troy is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
          Troy is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

          8:00 PM
          COASTAL CAROLINA vs. MINNESOTA
          No trends available
          Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          8:00 PM
          IONA vs. KANSAS
          Iona is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
          Iona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
          Kansas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
          Kansas is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

          8:05 PM
          SOUTHERN ILLINOIS vs. AUSTIN PEAY
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Illinois's last 6 games on the road
          Southern Illinois is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
          Austin Peay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
          Austin Peay is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

          8:30 PM
          BUCKNELL vs. ST. JOHN'S
          No trends available
          St. John's is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
          St. John's is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

          9:00 PM
          SEATTLE vs. BOISE STATE
          Seattle is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
          Boise State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
          Boise State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

          9:05 PM
          COLORADO STATE vs. TEXAS EL PASO
          Colorado State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Colorado State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Texas El Paso is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
          Texas El Paso is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State

          10:05 PM
          ARIZONA STATE vs. UNLV
          Arizona State is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          Arizona State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          UNLV is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          UNLV is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home

          11:00 PM
          CS FULLERTON vs. USC
          CS Fullerton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          USC is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
          USC is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

          Comment

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