NBA Betting. 11/11

[TheGame]

Grizzlies at Pacers

What bettors need to know

Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers (-6.5, 184.5)

The Indians Pacers look to extend the best start in franchise history Monday night when they put their unbeaten mark on the line at home against Memphis. The Pacers are 7-0 for the first time ever after a 96-91 win at Brooklyn on Saturday, maintaining their status as the lone unbeaten in the NBA. Although it is early, Indiana has already opened a four-game advantage on its Central Division opponents, each of whom have losing records.

Memphis finished a 2-1 homestand with a 108-90 win over Golden State on Saturday. It matched the Grizzlies' largest margin of victory since March 3 and pushed the club back to .500 for the third time as it exchanges losses and wins on the young season. Zach Randolph, who left the previous game early for the birth of his son, had 23 points and 11 rebounds.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, SportSouth (Memphis), FSN Midwest (Indiana)

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (3-3): Point guard Mike Conley has been a big part of the Memphis scoring attack over the years - averaging double digits in each of the past five seasons - but he has elevated his game on that end of the floor this season. Conley poured in 20 points on a 9-of-11 effort from the floor in just 25 minutes against Golden State, and is averaging a team-high 20.2 points on 52.3 percent shooting. His performance has helped the Grizzlies shoot 47.4 percent as a team, the fourth-highest mark in the league entering Sunday's action.

ABOUT THE PACERS (7-0): Paul George scored 24 points and three others had at least 15 in Saturday's win at Brooklyn, which saw Indiana put forth another strong defensive effort. All seven of the Pacers' victims have been held to 91 points or fewer; Indiana allows the fewest points (85.3) in the NBA by a wide margin. In 2012-13, the Pacers ranked second in that category to the Grizzlies.

TRENDS:

* Grizzlies are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Over is 4-0 in Grizzlies last four road games.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Indiana.
* Pacers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven vs. NBA Southwest.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Pacers C Roy Hibbert is averaging 17.5 points and nine rebounds in his last two games, and entered Sunday ranked second in the league with 4.29 blocked shots per game.

2. Memphis PG Jerryd Bayless (sprained knee) sat out Saturday's game and is considered day-to-day.

3. Indiana has won 13 of 16 meetings at home.

[TheGame]

StatFox Super Situations


SAN ANTONIO at PHILADELPHIA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season 41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )


ATLANTA at CHARLOTTE
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games 238-71 over the last 5 seasons. ( 77.0% | 83.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )


ORLANDO at BOSTON
Play On - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (BOSTON) poor three point shooting team (<=33%) against a good 3PT defense (<=33%), poor ball handling team (>=16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's) 98-51 since 1997. ( 65.8% | 41.9 units )

[TheGame]

7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of San Antonio's last 24 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 18 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Memphis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Boston's last 24 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Orlando

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHICAGO
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 16 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Houston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

9:00 PM
DENVER vs. UTAH
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
DETROIT vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Portland's last 22 games at home
Portland is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
LA Clippers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
LA Clippers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home

[TheGame]

Hot teams
-- Bobcats won three of their last five games.
-- Pacers are 7-0 SU, covering five of last six games.
-- Spurs won last four games, are 2-2 as road favorites.
-- Celtics won their last three games, after losing their first four.
-- Bulls won their two home games, by 1-14 points.
-- Portland won four of its last five games.
-- Minnesota won five of its first seven games.
-- Clippers are 2-0 as home favorites, winning by 11-19 points.

Cold teams
-- Hawks lost three of their four road games.
-- Memphis lost its two road games, by 7-12 points.
-- 76ers lost three of their last four games.
-- Orlando is 0-3 on road (2-1 as road dog) losing by 10-5-10 points.
-- Cavaliers are 0-4 on road, losing by 6-15-5-15 points.
-- Raptors/Rockets both lost three of their last four games.
-- Utah is 0-7 SU (0-5 vs spread in last five).
-- Nuggets lost four of first five games, losing road games by 2-11.
-- Pistons lost three of their last four games.

Series records
-- Bobcats lost last eight games with Atlanta (1-7 vs spread).
-- Underdogs covered three of Memphis' last four visits to Indiana.
-- 76ers lost last four games vs San Antonio, by 10-17-23-5 points.
-- Celtics won last nine games with Orlando (7-1 vs spread/last eight).
-- Bulls won ten of last eleven games with Cleveland (7-1 vs spread in last eight).
-- Home team won last ten Houston-Toronto games.
-- Raptors lost last five visits to Houston by 10-24-9-3-16 points.
-- Nuggets won three of last four games with Utah.
-- Pistons lost last four visits to Portland by 1-6-22-11 points.
-- Clippers won last five games vs Minnesota by 13-6-13-6-16 points.

Totals
-- Five of six Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of seven Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven 76er games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Houston-Toronto games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Denver games went over the total.
-- Four of five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Last three Clipper games stayed under the total.

[TheGame]

Inside the Paint - Monday
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

The NBA 2013-14 regular season is almost two weeks old and it’s fair to say that we’ve had our fair share of early surprises.

According to the oddsmakers at the LVH SuperBook in Las Vegas, Philadelphia and Phoenix weren’t expected to be competitive this season. The 76ers (16 ½) and Suns (21 ½) had the lowest win totals posted in the league yet both teams sit atop their divisions.

I expect the pair to cool off eventually but at least they’re not Utah, who is by far the worst team in the league. Anytime you have John Lucas III and Jamall Tinsley splitting time at point guard, you know you’re not a good team. Hopefully rookie Trey Burke gets healthy and helps the league’s worst offense (87.7 points per game).

While the Jazz are winless, the Indiana Pacers remain the lone unbeaten team in the league at 7-0. More importantly the club is 5-2 against the spread, which has been helped by the league’s best scoring defense (85.3 PPG).

There are still plenty of games to be played but Indiana is certainly clicking right now in what looks like a top-heavy Eastern Conference.

Monday’s card features nine games.

Atlanta at Charlotte: The Hawks have won eight straight (7-1 ATS) against the Bobcats. Atlanta opened as the road favorite (2 ½) and it could be hard for bettors to lay points with a team that is 1-3 on the road this season. Charlotte hasn’t dropped back-to-back games this season. With that being said, the Bobcats haven’t played since losing to the Knicks 101-91 on Friday. Total players should make a note that Atlanta has watched the ‘over’ go 5-1 this season, 4-0 on the road.

Memphis at Indiana: Last season, the Pacers beat the Grizzlies 82-81 on the road and 88-83 at home. Oddsmakers are expecting another defensive battle here tonight with the total hovering between 183 and 184 points. Memphis will be looking for its first road win of the season (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS). Indiana has gone 4-0 at home but it’s just 2-2 ATS, getting backdoored twice with healthy spreads.

San Antonio at Philadelphia: The Spurs are listed as road favorites over the 76ers and they’ll be facing their former assistant Brett Brown, who is now the head coach of Philadelphia. He’s done a great job so far with the 76ers and they’ll be facing a squad with no rest as San Antonio ripped New York by 31 points (120-89) at MSG on Sunday. The Spurs are 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS in back-to-back spots this season and most would expect head coach Greg Popovich to rest a couple starters. Philadelphia is 3-2 both SU and ATS at home, two of the wins coming against the Heat and Bulls.

Orlando at Boston: The Celtics beat the Magic 91-89 on Friday and followed up that upset with a 111-110 buzzer beater victory over Miami on Saturday. Boston was listed as an underdog in both games and is now laying points to Orlando on Monday. The Magic have dropped two straight and are 0-3 on the road this season. Orlando’s inability to score lately has helped the ‘under’ cash in four straight games.

Cleveland at Chicago: The Bulls earned a much needed win on Saturday albeit against Utah, 97-73. Point guard Derrick Rose hasn’t looked sharp for Chicago so far but the team hasn’t lost at home (2-0) this season and they still have a solid defense. Cleveland is hit or miss with its offense and bettors should be aware that the Cavs have failed to cover in six straight games. The Bulls are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 encounters between the pair. Chicago is listed as an eight-point favorite at most betting shops, which seems a tad high for a team that is 1-4 ATS.

Toronto at Houston: After starting the season 3-0, the Rockets are 1-3 in their last four which includes back-to-back home losses to the Lakers (99-98) and Clippers (107-94). The good news for Houston is that Toronto visits tonight. The Rockets have won six straight at home against the Raptors and are 15-3 all-time in games played in Houston. Toronto has gone 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS on the road this season but the three losses were decided by seven points or less.

Denver at Utah: This game has pass written all over it. The Jazz lack the talent while the Nuggets don’t have any chemistry right now. Something has to give tonight since Denver has had trouble stopping anybody on defense (105.2 PPG) but Utah’s offense is pathetic. Adding to the Nuggets’ problems will be the loss of JaVale McGee (leg) to the lineup. Somewhere George Karl is smiling.

Detroit at Portland: The Trail Blazers have won and covered four of their last five games, which includes a 2-1 record at home. The Pistons have dropped two straight (Pacers, Thunder) and three of four, yet the point-spread on this matchup seems a little low. Detroit has only played one road game (0-1) this season with tonight’s matchup being the first of a four-game trip on the West Coast. The Pistons haven’t won in Portland since the 2006-07 season.

Minnesota at L.A. Clippers: The Timberwolves close out their two-game trip to the Staples Center tonight and if they shoot like they did last night, the sweep is very likely. Minnesota ran past the Lakers from the opening tip on Sunday, scoring 47 points in the first quarter en route to a 113-90 road win. The Wolves are 0-1 with no rest this season but no travel was needed for tonight. The Clippers finished their three-game road trip on Saturday with a 107-94 win at Houston, which came after losses to the Magic and Heat. The ‘under’ cashed in all three games. Los Angeles has gone 2-0 at home this season and it dominated in the wins, beating Golden State (126-115) and Houston (137-118) by double digits. The Clips were installed as 7½-point favorites but the early action moved the line down to six. Clippers forward Matt Barnes (thigh) has missed the last four games and is ‘questionable’ for tonight.