NBA Trends. 11/8

[TheGame]

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Boston's last 23 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
Orlando is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games at home

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. CHARLOTTE
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing Detroit
Oklahoma City is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
LA Lakers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing New Orleans
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. CHICAGO
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 13 games

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. MINNESOTA
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Dallas
Minnesota is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas

8:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Golden State is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Golden State
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

9:00 PM
DENVER vs. PHOENIX
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing on the road against Portland
Sacramento is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Sacramento
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento

[TheGame]

Hot teams
-- Bobcats won three of their last four games.
-- Pacers are 5-0 this season, 2-1 as home favorites.
-- Orlando won its three home games by 20-21-8 points.
-- Oklahoma City won three of its last four games.
-- Pistons covered three of first four games (2-2 SU).
-- Warriors/Spurs both won four of their first five games.
-- Suns won both their home games, by 13-3 points.

Cold teams
-- Knicks lost their last three games, by 1-9-5 points.
-- Raptors lost three of their last four games.
-- Celtics lost four of first five games, are 2-1 as road dogs.
-- Cavaliers are 0-3 on road, losing by 6-15-5 points.
-- 76ers lost last two games, by 10-4 points.
-- Washington lost three of its first four games.
-- Nets lost first two road games, by 4-21 points.
-- Utah lost first five games (0-3 vs spread in last three).
-- Chicago lost three of its first four games.
-- Mavericks are 0-2 on road, losing by 8-14 points.
-- Minnesota lost its last two games, by 1-13 points.
-- Pelicans lost two of their three home games.
-- Lakers are 1-2 on road, with losses by 31-19 points.
-- Nuggets lost four of their first five games.
-- Kings lost last three games, by 9-11-5 points.
-- Portland split its first four games, with all four decided by 10+ points.

Series records
-- Bobcats won last two games with NY, but Knicks won three of last four visits to Charlotte.
-- Pacers won five of their last seven games with Toronto.
-- Celtics won their last eight games with Orlando.
-- 76ers won eight of last nine games with Cleveland.
-- Nets won four of last five games with Washington.
-- Thunder won its last eight games with Detroit (6-2 vs spread).
-- Bulls won last five games with Utah (4-1 vs spread).
-- Minnesota won four of last seven games with Dallas.
-- Lakers won their last nine games with New Orleans (5-4 vs spread).
-- Spurs are 20-4 in last 24 games vs Golden State; they beat Warriors in six tough games (two in OT) in LY's playoffs.
-- Suns lost eight of last nine games against Denver (7-1-1 vs spread).
-- Kings won four of last six games with Portland.

Totals
-- Last three New York-Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Four of five Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Four of five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Philly-Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Brooklyn-Washington games.
-- Six of last nine Piston-Thunder games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Four of first five Dallas games went over the total.
-- Last three Laker-Pelican games went over the total.
-- Last three Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Denver-Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in last dozen Portland-Sacramento games.

[TheGame]

Inside the Paint
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Game to Watch – Golden State (4-1 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) at San Antonio (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS)

Tonight’s showdown between from the AT&T Center between the Spurs and Warriors will be a rematch of last year’s Western Conference semifinals. Even though San Antonio won this series in six games, many pundits believe Golden State gained confidence in the second round matchup despite losing. Looking at the opening numbers for Friday, it makes you believe the oddsmakers agree. In the three home games during last year’s conference semifinals, the Spurs were favored by 9½, 7½ and 7 points. For tonight’s matchup, San Antonio opened as a 4½-point favorite.

Heading into Friday’s affair, Golden State has won three straight (2-0-1 ATS) games, the last two coming on the road. The Warriors are known for their sharpshooters and ability to score in bunches but the defense is overlooked. Mark Jackson’s squad has given up 93 points or less during their current winning streak, which has helped the ‘under’ go 3-0 during this span.

San Antonio returned home Wednesday after a three-game road trip and defeated Phoenix 99-96. The Spurs definitely had some jet lag and never came close to covering as 13-point favorites. Including the win over the Suns, San Antonio is now 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS at home.

The total opened at 202½ and was pushed up quickly to 203½ points. The ‘under’ is 3-2 for both the Warriors and Spurs this season.

Unbeaten Pacers

Indiana (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) will look for its sixth consecutive victory to start the season on Friday as Toronto (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) visits Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The Pacers have looked sharp this season and it all starts with their defense, which is allowing a league best 84.4 points per game. That effort has helped the ‘under’ go 4-1 for Indiana this season. The Pacers opened as 8½-point home favorites against the Raptors, who have dropped two straight games after starting the season 2-1. Toronto’s offense has been shaky (94 PPG) this season and a lot of fingers are pointing at Rudy Gay. The former UConn standout is shooting 33.7 percent from the field, which has translated into 16.8 PPG. Last season, the road team won and covered all four meetings between the pair and three of the decisions were decided by exactly two points. The ‘under’ went 3-1 in the four contests.

Hunter to Hunted

The Magic (5-0) and Suns (4-0-1) have a combined 9-0-1 record ATS this season and in the 10 games they’ve played, the pair have been underdogs nine times. In the other instance, Phoenix was a short favorite (-3) against Utah and it captured an 87-84 win on a late 3-pointer but the ATS result was a push.

Oddsmakers have adjusted to the pair and I believe the experts behind the counter went a little too far, especially for Friday’s matchups – Orlando vs. Boston, Phoenix vs. Denver.

Orlando will be laying points for the first time this season, opening as a 7½-point home favorite against Boston (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS). After a 0-2 start on the road, the Magic have ripped off three straight wins at home against quality clubs in the Pelicans, Nets and Clippers. Orlando’s confidence should be very high but a letdown should be expected, especially against a Celtics club that just won their first game of the season on Wednesday at home against Utah, 97-87. Boston is limited offensively (89.4 PPG) and new head coach Brad Stevens has slowed down the game (75 Attempts Per Game) to hide this weakness. If the Magic continue to shoot well, then another win and cover is expected but remember that the NBA is about styles and the Celtics should be able to frustrate them tonight.

Phoenix continues to turn some heads this season, especially with a limited amount of talent. The Suns have started 3-2 and in the two losses, the club earned moral victories against two of the top contenders in the Western Conference – Oklahoma City (96-103) and San Antonio (96-99). Personally, I believe losing close games is a sign of a team that isn’t very good and vice versa. The Suns have a decent backcourt with Eric Bledsoe and Goran Dragic but after that, the talent pool for first-year head coach Jeff Hornacek is very thin. Oddsmakers sent out the Suns as 2½-point home favorites, which certainly tells you what they think about this year’s Nuggets squad.

Total Talk

Something has to give with one total tonight when the Cavaliers and 76ers meet from Philadelphia. In five games, Cleveland has watched the ‘under’ go 4-1 while Philadelphia has been the exact opposite with the ‘over’ connecting an 80 percent mark (4-1). Oddsmakers at CRIS, a major offshore sportsbook, sent out 201½ on tonight’s total and it’s already been pushed up to 203½. Philadelphia is the worst defensive team (108.4 PPG) in the league but Cleveland’s offense is ranked near the bottom of the league in field goal percentage (41.4%) and scoring (90.6 PPG). The Cavaliers strength is their defense and despite giving up 109 points on the road to Milwaukee on Wednesday, nobody else has put up more than 94 in the other four games.

Road Favorites

Bettors keeping score at home should make a note that road favorites are 9-13 SU and 7-15 ATS this season. Tonight we have four more situations on tap and some of the clubs laying points haven’t been productive in this spot.

Cleveland (-3) at Philadelphia – The Cavaliers are 0-2 both SU and ATS as road favorites this season, losing outright at Charlotte (84-90) and Milwaukee (104-109).

New York (-2½) at Charlotte – New York hasn’t been in this role this season but it did get embarrassed by Charlotte 102-97 at home on Tuesday as a 9½-point favorite. Center Tyson Chandler (knee) is out for at least 4-6 weeks.

Brooklyn at Washington – The Nets are 0-2 both SU and ATS in this role, losing at Cleveland (94-98) on opening night before getting rattle at Orlando (86-107) on Nov. 3.

Oklahoma City at Detroit – OKC defeated Utah 101-98 on the road in its season opener but failed to cover the six-point number. The Thunder are 1-3 ATS this season, which includes a 0-2 mark on the road.

Back-to-Back Spots

Two teams will be playing on no rest tonight – Los Angeles Lakers (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS) and Denver Nuggets (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS).

Los Angeles knocked off Houston 99-98 on Thursday as a 13-point road underdog. Some betting shops had the Lakers listed as high as 10/1 (Bet $100 to win $1,000) on the money-line against Houston. Prior to last night’s win, Los Angeles only had two wins and they both came at home. The Lakers have only played once this season with no rest and they lost at Golden State on Oct. 30 by 29 points (94-125). On Friday the Lakers head to New Orleans (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) and they’re listed as nine-point underdogs, which seems a little high but point guard Steven Nash will be rested in the back-to-back situation. The Pelicans are 1-3 when listed as favorites this season.

Denver won its first game of the season last night, defeating Atlanta 109-107 at home. The Nuggets trek to the desert on Friday for a matchup against Phoenix. This will be the second road game of the season for Denver, who lost 90-88 to Sacramento on Oct. 30. Phoenix point guard Goran Dragic (ankle) missed the last two games but is expected to play on Friday.

[TheGame]

Hoop Trends - Friday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

The Pacers are 10-0 ATS (13.75 ppg) since Mar 03, 2012 as a favorite after a double digit win at home in which they allowed less than 40% from the field.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Jazz are 14-0-1 OU (11.27 ppg) since Nov 13, 2009 on the road with at most one day of rest after a loss in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Bulls are 0-12 ATS (-6.88 ppg) since Feb 02, 2012 after Carlos Boozer scored fewer than 10 points in a loss.

CHOICE TREND:

The Raptors are 0-9 OU (-11.83 ppg) since Feb 10, 2013 after Rudy Gay took more than 20 shots last game.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

The Mavericks are 8-0 ATS (3.94 ppg) since Mar 24, 2012 after a double digit loss in which they were outshot by at least 10 percent.

The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS (13.50 ppg) since Jan 06, 2012 on the road after Tristan Thompson scored fewer than 10 points in a road loss.