MLB Betting Info. 8/21

[TheGame]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB SEATTLE at OAKLAND

Play On - Any team (OAKLAND) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings 92-72 since 1997. ( 56.1% 46.9 units ) 5-5 this year. ( 50.0% 1.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB ARIZONA at CINCINNATI

CINCINNATI is 41-12 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in Home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: CINCINNATI (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.3)

[TheGame]

National League

Atlanta at New York Mets, 1:10 ET
Wood: Over is 12-4-1 in last 17 road day games for Braves
Niese: Mets 2-7 SU last nine times Niese has started a home day game

St. Louis at Milwaukee, 2:10 ET
Westbrook: Over is 8-3 when Westbrook starts on road in 2013
Gorzelanny: Brewers 4-14 in last 18 home day games

Pittsburgh at San Diego, 6:40 ET
Cole: Under is 7-3-1 in Pirates' last 11 road series finales during the day
Kennedy: Padres 4-11 SU last 15 times it has faced a RHP in a home day game

Colorado at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Nicasio: Over is 6-1-1 last eight times Rockies have faced a southpaw on the road
Lee: Phillies 1-7 SU in last eight home starts for Lee

Arizona at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
McCarthy: Diamondbacks 1-6 SU last seven times playing a road night game prior to a day game
Leake: Reds 4-0 SU last four times Leake has started home night game after team lost in his last outing

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami, 7:10 ET
Greinke: Under is 7-1 when Greinke starts a road night game for Dodgers
Eovaldi: Under is 5-1 in Eovaldi's last six starts

Washington at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
Ohlendorf: Under is 9-3 in last 12 road night games for Nationals
Arrieta: Cubs 3-13 SU at home since the All-Star break

American League

Seattle at Oakland, 3:35 ET MLB
Iwakuma: Over is 4-2 when Iwakuma starts a road day game
Griffin: Athletics 18-8 SU in 2013 home day games

Toronto at New York Yankees, 7:05 ET
Dickey: Under is 9-4 when Dickey starts on the road for Blue Jays
Pettitte: Yankees 2-5 SU last 7 times Pettitte has started a home night game

Tampa Bay at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Hellickson: Rays 2-6 SU last eight times Hellickson has started a road series finale
Chen: Orioles 10-3 SU in last 13 home series finales

Minnesota at Detroit, 7:08 ET
Correia: Twins 2-8 in last 10 starts for Correia
Sanchez: Tigers 9-2 SU when Sanchez starts at home

Cleveland at Los Angeles Angels, 7:05 ET
Masterson: Under is 4-0-1 in Masterson's last five road starts
Williams: Angels 2-8 SU when Williams starts at home in 2013

Houston at Texas, 8:05 ET
Bedard: Astros 1-4 SU when Bedard starts a road series finale
Holland: Under is 10-2 when Holland starts at home in 2013

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Rienzo: White Sox 6-17 SU in last 22 road night games
Guthrie: Royals 16-5 SU when Guthrie starts at home

Interleague

Boston at San Francisco, 3:45 ET MLB
Doubront: Red Sox 5-1 SU when Doubront starts a road series finale
Gaudin: Under is 5-1 when Gaudin starts at home for Giants

[TheGame]

1:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY METS
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Atlanta is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

2:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing St. Louis

3:35 PM
SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Seattle

3:45 PM
BOSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games at home
San Francisco is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games at home

6:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games when playing San Diego
Pittsburgh is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 13 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
TORONTO vs. NY YANKEES
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games on the road
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. LA ANGELS
Cleveland is 2-4-1 SU in their last 7 games ,when playing LA Angels
Cleveland is 5-9-1 SU in its last 15 games ,
LA Angels are 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games ,
LA Angels are 1-7-1 SU in their last 9 games ,at home

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BALTIMORE
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:05 PM
COLORADO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
Philadelphia is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games

7:08 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. CINCINNATI
Arizona is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cincinnati is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games

7:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MIAMI
LA Dodgers are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games
LA Dodgers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
Houston is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Houston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Texas is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games

8:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 12 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Washington

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

[TheGame]

Hot pitchers
-- Wood is 2-0, 1.78 in his last four starts.
-- Niese is 2-0, 3.75 in two starts since he came off the DL.
-- Greinke is 3-0, 1.30 in his last four starts.
-- Ohlendorf is 1-0, 1.38 in two starts this season.
-- Arrieta is 1-0, 0.69 in two starts for the Cubs.

-- Dickey is 1-0, 3.25 in his last four starts.
-- Hellickson is 0-3, 8.00 in his last four starts.
-- Sanchez is 4-0, 1.54 in his last five starts.
-- Holland is 1-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Westbrook is 0-3, 8.64 in his last three starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 2-1, 5.32 in his last five.
-- Cole is 1-2, 4.63 in his last four starts.
-- Kennedy is 1-1, 4.42 in three starts for San Diego.
-- Lee is 0-4, 5.34 in his last five starts.
-- Nicasio is 1-2, 7.65 in his last four.
-- McCarthy is 0-4, 6.41 in his last four starts.
-- Leake is 0-1, 6.88 in his last three starts.
-- Former Dodger Eovaldi is 0-3, 5.45 in his last six starts.

-- Doubront is 0-1, 11.25 in his last two starts.
-- Zito is 0-3, 7.46 in his last six starts, last of which was July 30.

-- Griffin is 2-2, 4.54 in his last six starts.
-- Iwakuma is 1-2, 3.71 in his last four.
-- Pettitte is 1-3, 5.18 in his last six starts.
-- WChen is 0-3, 4.66 in his last three starts.
-- Correia is 1-3, 7.13 in his last five starts.
-- Angels lost last seven Williams starts (0-2, 7.04 in last three).
-- Masterson is 0-2, 6.05 in his last three starts.
-- Houston lost last eight Bedard starts (0-6, 5.40).
-- Guthrie is 0-2, 6.23 in his last couple starts.
-- Rienzo is 0-0, 4.07 in four starts this season.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
-- Wood 1-6; Niese 6-16
-- Westbrook 7-17 (3 of last 3); Gorzelanny 2-8
-- Cole 3-12; Kennedy 9-24
-- Nicasio 10-23 (3 of last 4); Lee 4-23 (3 of last 7)
-- McCarthy 4-14 (0 of last 7); Leake 5-24 (1 of last 6)
-- Greinke 6-20; Eovaldi 3-11
-- Ohlendorf 0-2; Arrieta 2-7

-- Doubront 5-22 (1 of last 8); Zito 8-21 (4 of last 7)

-- Iwakuma 5-26 (0 of last 10); Griffin 3-25
-- Dickey 6-26 (1 of last 14); Pettitte 10-22 (8 of last 9)
-- Hellickson 9-25; Chen 3-15 (1 of last 9)
-- Correia 6-24 (0 of last 10); Sanchez 6-21
-- Masterson 5-26; Williams 5-18 (1 of last 6)
-- Bedard 12-22; Holland 3-25 (1 of last 8)
-- Rienzo 0-4; Guthrie 7-25

Totals
-- Eight of last nine Philly games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven McCarthy starts stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven games at Citi Field stayed under the total.
-- Last five Miami games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Four of Milwaukee's last five games went over.
-- Three of last four San Diego games went over the total.

-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven San Francisco games.

-- Seven of last nine Toronto games stayed under total.
-- Under is 10-3-2 in last fifteen Minnesota games.
-- Seven of last nine Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Kansas City games.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Oakland games.
-- 14 of last 19 Angel games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Reds won seven of their last ten games.
-- Arizona won six of its last eight. .
-- Braves won four of their last six games.
-- Dodgers are 43-10 in their last 53 games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last nine games.

-- Bronx Bombers won eight of their last ten games.
-- Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games.
-- White Sox won their last four games, scoring 20 runs.
-- Texas won 12 of their last 15 games.
-- A's won four of their last six games.
-- Indians won five of their last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Colorado lost three of its last four games.
-- Miami lost five of its last six home games.
-- Mets are 4-5 in their last nine games.
-- Milwaukee lost four of its last seven games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Washington lost four of last six.
-- Pittsburgh lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Padres are 4-7 in their last eleven home games.

-- Red Sox lost five of their last seven games.
-- Giants are 4-5 in last nine.

-- Blue Jays lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Orioles lost six of their last eight games.
-- Minnesota lost six of its last nine games.
-- Detroit is 5-7 in its last 12.
-- Kansas City lost six of its last eight games.
-- Astros lost three of last four games, allowing 31 runs.
-- Mariners lost four of their last seven games.
-- Angels lost eight of their last ten games.

Umpires
-- Atl-NY-- Favorites won seven of last eight Gibson games.
-- Col-Phil-- Nine of last eleven Wolf games stayed under.
-- LA-Mia-- Underdogs won four of last seven Hoye games.
-- Az-Cin-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Conroy games.
-- Wsh-Chi-- Five of last six Winters games stayed under.
-- StL-Mil-- Five of last six Hudson games went over total.
-- Pitt-SD-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Muchinski games.

-- Bos-SF-- Underdogs won 11 of last 12 Bellino games; four of last five went over the total.

-- Tor-NY-- Under is 10-5-1 in last sixteen TBarrett games.
-- TB-Balt-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen West games.
-- Min-Det-- Seven of last ten Baker games stayed under total.
-- Hst-Tex-- Home side won seven of last nine Barksdale games.
-- Cle-LA-- Underdogs won nine of last fifteen Carlson games.
-- Sea-A's-- Five of last six Fairchild games went over the total.
-- Chi-KC-- Five of last six Hallion games stayed under the total.

[TheGame]

MLB Wednesday Thoughts
By Dave Essler

Atlanta-Mets: Obvious inclination here is to take Wood, but the Mets are actually three games over .500 against left-handed starters. Niese has had his better days, and was hit pretty hard by Atlanta not long ago. However, he is the type of pitcher that can give a team like Atlanta problems. Since it's a day game, people will be resting, and we do like those to typically stay under more often than not, meaning if the Braves are too big of a favorite here there is probably a way I could take the Mets RL.

St. Louis-Milwaukee: Again, a day game and I'd be surprised if Yadier didn't rest. He's caught a ton, and with Cruz out figures to catch plenty more. That could give the Brewers a chance at being able to run, provided they get on base. With Westbrook being one of the best ground ball pitchers in the majors, and some resting players, I do lean under here. Cardinals have had issue w/LHP's this season, so again, I could see taking Gorzellany here, perhaps even the ML.

Padres-Pirates: Another day game, and the Pirates really can't afford to be resting anyone here. They've got four game in SF this weekend before going home to play a ton of division games against the Brewers and the Cardinals. Since the Padres haven't seen Cole, I would have to think the Pirates are the right side, regardless of who Pittsburgh rests. Only thing is if they use much bullpen w/AJ, because Cole doesn't usually pitch too deep. Pirates have feasted on Kennedy in the past, and as much as I like underdogs, this one doesn't get there for me.

Rockies-Phillies: Colorado has inexplicably struggled against lefties this season, and they're headed to Miami for a series and THEN to San Francisco, so they're a long way from home. Have to think that the Phillies and Lee take care of business here. They kicked the shit out of Nicasion in June, and I think they do it again. I haven't checked the weather, but given that the Rockies have had some individual successes against Lee, I lean to the over here a little.

Arizona-Reds: Honestly, there was a time when I'd fade Leake like clockwork, and may do it again here. His few good outings (as opposed to A Few Good Men) were against the Padres (twice) and the Giants, so I simply cannot say he's back on the list. But, McCarthy has simply been terrible most of the season, and allowing .300+ BAA on the road. With that in mind, the polygonic over is perhaps the play in this game, although the number might be higher than I'd like. Leake can hit, which is always why we look there when he pitches.

Dodgers-Fish: I tried, as did many people, to fade Zach last week against the Phillies and that didn't work out too well. I'm still mindful of his road stats, and that was indeed in the first game the Phillies had a new manager. Perhaps there is a way, given that this well should be a low scoring game, that once again we could make a case for the Miami RL. I do think this one stays under, giving more value to potentially the home team w/the last at bat. Eovaldi was hammered by the Giants, but he's simply not that bad. The Dodgers have seen him, but still, I am not laying that kind of chalk on the road because I like Miami's uniforms much better than the Dodgers'.

Washington-Cubs: I guess this would be choosing the lesser of two evils here. Ohlendorf, or Arrieta. I suppose that Arrieta has the most upside, and obviously the Nationals have simply quit, and they've got a weekend series at Kansas City they're certainly not looking forward to (although w/a DH we could bet on them) so I'd have to take the Cubbies here.

Seattle-Oakland: Day game with typically a wind blowing out this time of year, which might mean I would look at this over. It's sure to be a small number, and day games tend to be lower scoring, but it's not like these two teams haven't seen these two pitchers plenty. Iwakuma's stock is clearly high after beating the Rangers in Arlington, and actually pitching well enough to win in Boston. I do keep coming back to the fact that Oakland has a lot to play for and Seattle doesn't. We'll see for sure what lineups are out.

Yankees-Jays: As much as I think taking the Jays against LHP can be suicidal, and has been this season, Pettitte's one or two decent outings don't make me want to bet on him. And we do like taking Dickey outdoors where the wind can help his knuckleball (a lot) so I'd have to lean Jays here, but think this game could be lower scoring than perhaps most people think.

Rays-Orioles: Chen's been hot and Hellickson has not, but is it ever that easy? Sometimes it is, but we do like backing the best hitting team (Tampa Bay) more against lefties than not, and of course we like backing Baltimore against RHP, and even Adam Jones has hit Hellickson well. It's definitely a weather pattern for runs to be scored, but the Rays pen has apparently (recently) straightened out their issues, so I like Tampa Bay to steal this one, and perhaps over.

Twins-Tigers: Does anyone outside of Michigan care, even people in Minnesota? Cabrrera is only 11-22 off of Corriea, so I suppose there's hope. However, Sanchez can have some mental lapses, but he did the last time these two teams met, so I suspect he remembers that one.

Clevleland-Angels: I suppose the inclination here is to take Masterson (who lost to Oakland) over Williams, but perhaps it's not that simple. We like backing Cleveland more against RHP's and the Angels have historically done well against Masterson. Williams just gives up too many and has no bullpen whatsoever, so I would have to look at the over in this one, if I could bring myself to do much of anything.

Houston-Texas: I actually do like backing the Astros against lefties better than righties, and Houston was able to get three off him in a recent meeting at Minute Maid, so it's certainly not out of the question here. Yes, Bedard's been terrible and Texas has had great success off of him, but he was better against them last time out. The Rangers head out on a six game road trip, but against Chicago and Seattle before coming home to face the Twins, so clear advantage Rangers for the AL West, since Oakland travels to Baltimore (still playing) and Detroit (duh) next two series'. With that in mind it might be time to catch Texas to win the AL West.

White Sox-Royals: Two teams I simply cannot keep up with anymore. Guthrie has regressed in his last two starts against good teams (Boston and Detroit) and allowed 10+ hits in both starts. The sad thing is that he's owned the White Sox lineup. Rienzo can be a solid DP-type pitcher and is someone the Royals haven't seen, and honestly the White Sox bullpen has been quite solid lately. With all that in mind, my initial lean is to the under, if anything.

Boston-Giants: Well, I was wrong about Boston on Monday since Lester made the Giants look like, well, the Giants. Now they face another LHP so the inclination would be to take Doubront, but he's been far worse on the road than at home. Gaudin had been in ATM/beastmode until Miami kicked the shit out of him, which either gives him value here, or make Boston the easy play, since they are still trying to play into October, and since they've (Boston) seen more of Gaudin than the Giants have of Doubront, I guess Boston would be a play. I do like the under, as I usually do in games where AL teams can't use the DH.

[TheGame]

Hot 'Over' Pitchers On The Mound Wednesday
By Covers.com

Looking play some totals? Wednesday's Major League Baseball action features a trio of pitchers that have trended toward scorelines finishing over the total.

Here is a look at three pitchers to consider if you're looking to play totals.

Jake Westbrook, St. Louis Cardinals (7-8, 4.35 ERA)

Westbrook has been one of the top 'over' pitchers in the majors to date, with the 'over' going 13-5 in his 18 starts. The veteran right-hander has fallen on hard times of late, allowing 20 earned runs over his previous 16 1/3 innings.

The Cardinals take on the Brewers in Milwaukee on Wednesday.

Mike Leake, Cincinnati Reds (10-5, 3.01 ERA)

Leake has seen the 'over' in four of his last six starts, and the 'over' is 7-4 in his 11 home starts. The 26-year-old is winless in his last four starts and surrendered four runs on nine hits over five innings in his last appearance.

The Reds entertain the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday.

Juan Nicasio, Colorado Rockies (7-6, 4.94 ERA)

When Nicasio pitches, runs are often plentiful. The 27-year-old right-hander has hit the 'over' in 15 of his 22 starts, and has had 12 'overs' compared to just three 'unders' when pitching at night.

The Rockies visit the Phillies in Philadelphia on Wednesday night.

[TheGame]

Wednesday's National League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets

Hot pitching stat: Braves lefthander Alex Wood is 2-0 with a 1.78 ERA in four starts since his last encounter against the Mets, during which he was tagged for four runs on eight hits over 4 1/3 innings.

Hot hitting stat: Mets outfielder Marlon Byrd went 3-for-4 with a pair of RBIs against Wood in New York's 7-4 win over the Braves back on July 25.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-90s under clear skies. Wind will blow out toward center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: New York is 1-6 in right-hander Jonathan Niese's last seven home starts.


St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers

Cold pitching stat: Cardinals right-hander Jake Westbrook has lost four straight decisions, surrendering 25 runs while walking 15 over 21 1/3 innings over that stretch.

Hot hitting stat: St. Louis OF Matt Holiday is 5-for-10 with a home run and three walks in his career against Brewers starter Tom Gorzelanny.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 8-2 in Westbrook's last 10 road starts.


Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres

Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander Gerrit Cole is 2-1 with a 2.66 ERA in three road starts.

Hot batting stat: Pittsburgh 2B Neil Walker is 6-for-12 with a pair of home runs and 7 RBIs lifetime against Padres right-hander Ian Kennedy.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Pirates have won 14 of their last 17 Wednesday games.


Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies

Cold pitching stat: Rockies right-hander Juan Nicasio was shelled in his only previous outing against the Phillies, allowing five runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings back on June 14.

Hot batting stat: Colorado OF Michael Cuddyer is a .306 career hitter with three home runs and eight RBIs in 36 at-bats against Phillies starter Cliff Lee.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 12-2 in Lee's last 14 starts taking place in the third game of a series.


Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds

Hot pitching stat: Cincinnati right-hander Mike Leake limited Arizona to a pair of runs over eight innings in their last encounter June 22.

Hot batting stat: Arizona hitters are a combined .297 with three home runs in 74 at-bats against Leake.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 55 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-1-1 in umpire Chris Conroy's last eight games behind home plate.


Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers right-hander Zack Greinke hasn't allowed a run in his past two starts, and is 5-1 with a 1.28 ERA in his previous eight outings.

Hot batting stat: Los Angeles OF Andre Ethier has a single and a home run in his only two career at-bats against Miami starter Nate Eovaldi.

Weather: With a 40 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm, the roof at Marlins Park may be closed. Temperatures will be in the high-80s with wind blowing from right to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-0-1 in Greinke's last eight starts.


Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs

Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Ross Ohlendorf is 2-0 with a 2.75 ERA in six career starts against the Cubs.

Cold batting stat: SS Starlin Castro has just three hits in 15 at-bats against Ohlendorf, though two of them are triples.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Washington has won seven straight games with umpire Mike Winters behind home plate.


Interleague

Boston Red Sox at San Francisco Giants

Cold pitching stat: Giants right-hander Chad Gaudin had his worst start of the season last time out, charged with eight runs on 11 hits in four innings against Miami.

Hot batting stat: Red Sox C Mike Napoli has dominated the head-to-head matchup with Gaudin, going 7-for-16 with two doubles, three homers and seven RBIs.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-1 in Doubront's last five interleague starts.

[TheGame]

Wednesday's American League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics

Hot pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma bounced back nicely from a rough outing against Milwaukee, limiting the Texas Rangers to one run over seven innings in his last start.

Hot batting stat: Athletics OF Yoenis Cespedes is one of the few major-leaguers to have solved Iwakuma, hitting 6-for-15 with three home runs against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Athletics are 17-4 in right-hander A.J. Griffin's last 21 home starts.


Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees

Cold pitching stat: Blue Jays knuckleballer R.A. Dickey has coughed up 27 home runs in 2013 - three more than he surrendered all of last season.

Hot batting stat: Toronto RF Jose Bautista is 10-for-31 lifetime against Yankees starter Andy Pettitte, with five walks, three home runs and 7 RBIs.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 4-0 in Dickey's last four starts on grass.


Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels

Hot pitching stat: Indians right-hander Justin Masterson is 3-0 with a 2.59 ERA in eight starts and three relief appearances against Los Angeles.

Cold batting stat: Cleveland hitters have just four hits in 24 combined at-bats against Angels starter Jerome Williams.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: Los Angeles has won just three of Williams' last 16 starts against teams with winning records.


Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles

Hot pitching stat: Tampa Bay right-hander Jeremy Hellickson is 8-3 with a 3.09 ERA in 15 career appearances against Baltimore.

Cold batting stat: Orioles C Matt Wieters is just .222 with zero home runs in 27 lifetime at-bats versus Hellickson.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The road team is 11-1 in umpire Joe West's last 12 Wednesday games behind home plate.


Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Anibal Sanchez has been red-hot at home, going 7-2 with a 1.98 ERA in nine starts at Comerica Park.

Cold batting stat: Twins 3B Trevor Plouffe is the only member of the Minnesota roster to have hit a home run against Sanchez.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-0-1 in the Tigers' last five home games.


Houston Astros at Texas Rangers

Hot pitching stat: Rangers left-hander Derek Holland has surrendered just three runs over his last three starts, though he only has one win to show for it.

Hot batting stat: Texas became the first team in 2013 to score double-digit runs in an inning, erupting for 11 in the third frame of a 16-5 win over the Astros in Monday's series opener.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-90s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Rangers have won six straight games against a left-handed starter.


Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals

Cold pitching stat: Royals right-hander Jeremy Guthrie has dropped two straight decisions since tossing a complete-game shutout against Minnesota, allowing nine runs on 23 hits over 13 innings in that stretch.

Cold batting stat: White Sox DH Adam Dunn is hitting .130 with 11 strikeouts in 23 career at-bats against Guthrie.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Road teams are 5-0 in umpire Tom Hallion's last five games behind home plate.

[TheGame]

Wednesday Matinee Action
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Braves at Mets

Probables: A. Wood (2-2, 2.61 ERA) vs. J. Niese (5-6, 4.25 ERA)

Series recap: The Mets held off the Braves, 5-3 last night as $1.40 home underdogs, while the game finished 'over' the total of 7. New York has now won six of the past nine meetings with Atlanta, including three of the past four at Citi Field.

Pitcher notes: Since losing at New York last month as a short favorite, Alex Wood has turned in four consecutive quality starts for the Braves (3-1). Atlanta has drilled the 'under' in each of his last three outings, while Wood faces a Mets' squad that is 0-5 in their last five games against a left-handed starter.

Jon Niese makes his first start at Citi Field since mid-June, as the Mets have won each of his previous two outings as a road underdog at Arizona and San Diego. New York owns a dreadful 1-6 record in Niese's last seven home starts, as the Mets have scored just two runs or less six times in this stretch.

Cardinals at Brewers

Probables: J. Westbrook (7-8, 4.35 ERA) vs. T. Gorzelanny (3-4, 2.95 ERA)

Series recap: After the Cardinals held off the Brewers in Monday's series opener, Milwaukee rallied back from a 3-0 deficit in Tuesday's 6-3 triumph as home underdogs. The victory by the Brewers was just the first in six tries this season against the Cardinals at Miller Park.

Pitcher notes: The Cardinals haven't been a profitable venture recently with Jake Westbrook on the mound, as St. Louis has dropped his last three starts. Not included in this stretch is the nine earned runs allowed by the right-hander in relief against the Dodgers, boosting his total to 24 earned runs given up in his last four appearances (21.1 innings). St. Louis owns a dreadful 0-5 mark in Westbrook's last five road starts, with four of those defeats coming to division opponents.

Tom Gorzelanny has become a steady part of the Milwaukee rotation since early July, as the Brewers have won three of his last four starts. The 'under' has cashed in three of four outings at Miller Park, as the lone 'over' hit in his previous outing, a 7-6 walk-off victory over the Reds. Gorzelanny's last start against the Cardinals came as a member of the Nationals in 2011, a 5-0 road defeat as a $1.45 underdog.

Mariners at Athletics

Probables: H. Iwakuma (11-6, 2.95 ERA) vs. A.J. Griffin (10-8, 3.76 ERA)

Series recap: The A's held off the Mariners in Monday's opener, 2-1, while building a 4-0 edge after the first inning on Tuesday night. However, Seattle rallied back to stun Oakland, 7-4 to cash as $1.80 road underdogs. The M's have won three of the last five meetings at O.Co Coliseum.

Pitcher notes: The Mariners have lost three of Hisashi Iwakuma's past four outings, but won his last start at Texas as a heavy underdog, 3-1. Seattle has split four starts by Iwakuma against Oakland this season, while allowing eight earned runs in his last two outings with the A's (0-2).

Following a rough June, A.J. Griffin has rebounded nicely for Oakland as the A's are 8-2 in his last 10 trips to the mound. Since losing a 4-0 decision to Seattle on June 15, the A's own a 5-1 record in Griffin's past six home starts. The A's keep winning in Griffin's daytime starts by cashing in four of his last trips to the mound in matinee action.

Red Sox at Giants

Probables: F. Doubront (8-6, 3.95 ERA) vs. C. Gaudin (5-2, 3.06 ERA)

Series recap: Boston blanked San Francisco in the opener, 7-0 on Monday, but the Red Sox were tripped up last night, 3-2. The Giants rallied from a 2-0 deficit, while the game-winning run came on a bases-loaded walk in the bottom of the ninth inning, helping San Francisco cash as $1.45 home underdogs.

Pitcher notes: Southpaw Felix Doubront is coming off his second-worst start of the season, allowing six earned runs in a 10-3 defeat to the Yankees. Doubront is making just his second road start since the All-Star break, while the Red Sox are 7-2 to the 'under' in his last nine outings overall.

Barry Zito has been moved up one day to take Chad Gaudin's spot in the rotation after Gaudin was placed on the 15-day disabled list. Zito makes his first start since late July after spending most of August in the San Francisco bullpen, as the southpaw last won against Oakland back in May. San Francisco is just 2-8 in Zito's last 10 starts, while his last quality start came against the Marlins in June.

[TheGame]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Indians are 10-0 since May 17, 2011 as a road favorite it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1000.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Red Sox are 0-8 OU since 2007 in the last game of a series as a road favorite of between -155 and -195 following a loss.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Mike Leake starts the Reds are 11-0 since June 21, 2010 after he had a WHIP of at least 2 his last start and they lost in his previous start for a net profit of $1177.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

Wei Yin Chen has produced a team record of 8-0 (+$930) when facing a team one a 2+ game winning streak and it’s not the first game of the series.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

The Cardinals are 10-0 since September 16, 2012 as a road favorite when they are off a loss in which they held the lead for a net profit of $1000.

The Reds are 12-0 since April 03, 2013 at home when they are off a loss in which they never led for a net profit of $1200.