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MLB Betting Info. 8/19

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  • MLB Betting Info. 8/19

    MLB

    Hot pitchers
    -- Arroyo is 2-0, 0.64 in his last two starts. Arizona won last four Delgado starts (2-0, 4.33) scoring 30 runs.
    -- Fernandez is 3-0, 1.54 in his last six starts. Dodgers won last nine Ryu starts (4-0, 1.73 in his last four).
    -- Zimmerman is 2-0, 1.59 in his last three starts.
    -- Estrada is 1-0, 0.82 in his last couple starts.
    -- Liriano is 4-1, 3.27 in his last five starts.

    -- Gee is 1-0, 1.74 in his last three starts.
    -- Lincecum is 1-2, 2.89 in his last four starts.

    -- Tillman is 4-0, 3.12 in his last six starts. Price is 3-1, 2.33 in his last six.
    -- Parker is 2-0, 2.66 in his last three starts.
    -- Weaver is 5-0, 1.00 in his last five home starts.

    Cold pitchers
    -- Manship is 0-2, 7.20 in two starts this season. Martin is 1-2, 6.28 in three starts this season.
    -- Samardzija is 0-2, 9.39 in his last three starts.
    -- Miller is 1-2, 5.94 in his last four starts.
    -- Cashner is 3-4, 5.92 in his last seven starts.

    -- Gibson is 0-1, 7.11 in his last four starts.
    -- Lester is 0-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.

    -- Garza is 1-1, 5.23 in his last three starts. Lyles is 1-3, 9.57 in his last five.
    -- Harang is 0-2, 9.53 in his last four starts.
    -- Salazar is 1-1, 4.24 in three starts this season.

    Starting Pitchers/First Inning
    You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
    -- Manship 1-2; Martin 0-3
    -- Delgado 4-11; Arroyo 4-24
    -- Ryu 7-22 (1 of last 5); Fernandez 4-23 (1 of last 10)
    -- Zimmerman 4-24; Samardzija 7-25 (1 of last 6)
    -- Miller 5-22 (0 of last 9); Estrada 3-14
    -- Liriano 4-18; Cashner 8-20 (3 of last 5)

    -- Gee 4-24 (0 of last 9); Gibson 2-9
    -- Lester 8-25; Lincecum 9-24 (1 of last 7)

    -- Price 6-18 (3 of last 7); Tillman 5-24 (1 of last 8)
    -- Lyles 5-19 (1 of last 13); Garza 1-17
    -- Harang 8-20; Parker 8-24
    -- Salazar 1-3; Weaver 3-17 (1 of last 13)

    Totals
    -- Six of last seven Philly games stayed under total.
    -- Ten of last thirteen Cincinnati road games stayed under the total; seven of last ten Arizona games went over total.
    -- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Dodger games.
    -- Five of last six Cub games stayed under the total.
    -- Four of last five St Louis games stayed under the total.
    -- Three of last four Pirate games went over the total.

    -- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Minnesota games.
    -- Four of last five San Francisco games went over the total.

    -- Six of last seven Baltimore games went over the total.
    -- Five of last seven Texas games stayed under the total.
    -- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Oakland games.
    -- 14 of last 17 Angel games went over the total.

    Hot teams
    -- Rockies won six of last nine games, but lost last two.
    -- Reds won six of their last eight games. Arizona won five of its last six.
    -- Dodgers are 42-9 in their last 51 games.
    -- Milwaukee is 5-1 in game following its last six losses. Cardinals won five of their last seven games.

    -- San Francisco won three of its last four games.

    -- Tampa Bay won four of its last five games. Orioles won their last two games, scoring 15 runs.
    -- Texas won 10 of their last 13 games. Astros won four of last six.
    -- A's won three of their last four games.

    Cold teams
    -- Phillies lost seven of their last nine games.
    -- Miami lost four of its last five home games.
    -- Cubs lost six of their last seven games. Washington lost three of its last four.
    -- Pittsburgh lost seven of its last nine games. Padres are 4-6 in last ten home games, but won last two.

    -- Mets lost five of their last seven games. Minnesota lost five of last six.
    -- Red Sox lost four of their last five games.

    -- Mariners are 2-7 in game following their last nine wins.
    -- Angels lost six of their last eight games. Cleveland lost nine of last 13.

  • #2
    Monday MLB Thoughts
    By Dave Essler

    Colorado-Philadelphia: Break up the Phillies. Ethan Martin and his 1.81 WHIP in three games in the bigs is a favorite. Over Jeff Manship and his 1.70 WHIP in two games. I suppose one might conclude that this goes over, but that's a ton of runs in an NL game where neither team has seen the opposing pitcher, and the Phillies are DFL in hitting this week, sitting at .183. I suppose it's the Sanberg factor. The Rockies did use some bullpen in Baltimore, but not the better arms. Lean under here.

    Arizona-Reds: I can never trust Arroyo, and honestly much of his recent success has come against bad teams. The D-backs do hit him pretty well, and then there's the flyball pitcher Delgado, who after the lengthy affair in Pittsburgh has little or no bullpen behind him, so I can't take Arizona, as much as I'd like to. Do think if the Reds bring some of their sticks home they win and score plenty.

    Dodgers-Miami: Break up the Fish. A great win for them (and us) and now the Dodgers are only -125 at Miami. Well, then. That's a lot of respect for Miami and Fernandez, who also has very little bullpen behind him, either. I suppose with that number begging people to take the Dodgers that it's either a gift or yet another disaster. That total at only 6.5 implies that a 3-3 game is a winner, and I happen to think it is. The Fish actually hit LHP (see Bumgarner) reasonably well.

    Washington-Chicago: I said I wouldn't back Samardzija at home again this season, but I could change my mind. After the series in Atlanta and with little to play for, one might think this is a bad spot for the Nationals. Zimmerman has thrown a lot of pitches, and really hasn't beaten a good (not that the Cubs are good) lately, so I could actually see this one not being a pitchers' duel, and perhaps leaning Chicago.

    Cardinals-Brewers: Gallardo was simply destroyed as was the Brewer bullpen on Sunday, while St. Louis did what they had to in order to beat the Cubs. Estrada has pitched well since coming back, and because Gomez has been out, Lucroy and Ramirez rested yesterday, I wouldn't chalk this up to a Cardinals win just yet. They have certainly not been hitting well enough for me to take as a road favorite. Miller threw a ton of pitches last outing, and for sure with a potential elbow issue may look at the (gulp) Brewers here.

    Pirates-Padres: Casher is obviously the Padres best hope, the Pirates play a million innings and send a LHP against the Padres. Padres or nothing for me.

    Baltimore-Tampa Bay: Huge series for the Orioles if they want to stay in a race, and huge series for the Rays if the want to pretty much eliminate Baltimore. That's a fair bit of respect for Price on the road, but the Orioles do struggle a bit against LHP as it negates (to some extent) Markakis and Davis. Let's not forget that Tillman is 14-3 with a reasonable WHIP and has only really been shelled once. With that in mind and the Rays bullpen working late, I am inclined to take the Orioles, perhaps at least the RL, but it won't be cheap.

    Seattle-Oakland: Harang comes off a tough loss in Tampa, but the stat that kills me there is 3 ground ball outs to 14 flyball outs in that game. What really concerns me about taking Seattle is the travel. They played in Florida, the several games in the heat in Arlington, so they've got to be a little tired, one would think. That and the A's have more or less had their way with him. Although Parker has been a freak, it's been against Houston twice, and interestingly enough those were his two last losses. With that in mind, and I know he's owned the Mariners, I could make a case at that number for the Seattle RL, especially in a big park that might keep the score down.

    Boston-San Francisco: One would have to think the Giants AND Boston are tired. Boston playing late and getting into SF in the wee hours of the morning, and the Giants flying back from South Florida and series' at Washington and Baltimore. Giants typically hit LHP better, and Posey rested Sunday. Truly never know what you're going to get with either pitcher, and I suppose if Scutaro plays, I'd have to lean Giants since Boston also loses the DH.

    Comment


    • #3
      Monday Starters Who Excel at Night
      By Covers.com

      With all of Monday's action taking place under the lights, the focus is on starters who turn it up when the sun goes down.

      Here is a look at three pitchers to consider if you're looking for strong evening performances:

      Jose Fernandez, Miami Marlins (8-5, 2.45 ERA)

      Considered by many to be the top National League rookie of the year candidate, Fernandez has been most dominant in the evening. The 21-year-old is 6-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 87 night innings, compared to a 2-4, 3.25 mark during the day.

      The Marlins host the Los Angeles Dodgers for a four-game series beginning Monday.

      Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles (14-3, 3.70 ERA)

      As his record may suggest, Tillman has been strong no matter what time of day he takes the hill. His night starts, however, have been especially impressive: he's 11-1 with a 3.47 ERA in the evening, while posting a 3-2 record with a 4.46 ERA in the afternoon.

      The Orioles entertain the AL East-rival Tampa Bay Rays for a three-game set starting Monday.

      Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals (14-6, 3.02 ERA)

      Zimmermann's performances have been night and day (pardon the pun), depending on what time it is. The 27-year-old is 12-2 with a 2.59 night ERA, and just 2-4 with a pedestrian 4.28 ERA in afternoon starts.

      The Nationals visit the Chicago Cubs for a four-game series opening Monday.

      Comment


      • #4
        Monday's American League Betting Cheat Sheet
        By Covers.com

        Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles (+123, 7.5)

        Hot pitching stat: Rays left-hander David Price is 6-2 with a 2.60 ERA in 14 career starts against the Orioles, and is 30-13 lifetime after the All-Star break.

        Hot batting stat: Orioles 1B Chris Davis is hitting .311 with four home runs and 15 RBIs in 12 games against the Rays this season.

        Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

        Key betting note: Baltimore has won eight of its last 10 series openers.


        Houston Astros at Texas Rangers (-280, 9)

        Cold pitching stat: Astros right-hander Jordan Lyles' previous encounter with the Rangers was one of his worst performances of the season, as he surrendered eight runs on 11 hits over four innings of an 11-8 loss.

        Hot batting stat: Rangers 3B Adrian Beltre is hitting .377 with four home runs and 10 RBIs in 13 games against the Astros, and went 3-for-3 versus Lyles in their last meeting.

        Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

        Key betting note: Houston has lost each of Lyles' last five starts against Texas.


        Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics (-175, 8)

        Cold pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Aaron Harang is winless in his last four decisions, charged with 18 runs - including five homers - over 17 innings in that span.

        Cold batting stat: Seattle 1B Justin Smoak is hitting .242 with zero homers in 33 at-bats against Oakland this season, and is a .224 batter versus the A's in his career.

        Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

        Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Harang's last six road starts.


        Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels (-168, 7.5)

        Cold pitching stat: Angels right-hander Jered Weaver coughed up nine runs on nine hits over five innings in his previous start, his worst performance since a nine-run shellacking last Aug. 17 against Tampa Bay.

        Cold batting stat: Indians 2B Jason Kipnis is just 1-for-10 against the Angels on the season, and is homerless in 52 at-bats versus Los Angeles in his career.

        Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

        Key betting note: The under is 11-1-2 in Weaver's last 14 starts against Cleveland.


        Interleague

        New York Mets at Minnesota Twins (-105, 8.5)


        Hot pitching stat: Mets right-hander Dillon Gee has been on fire of late, surrendering just four runs over his previous three starts - a span of 20 2/3 innings.

        Cold batting stat: Twins 2B/SS Brian Dozier is hitting just .213 in 19 games against interleague foes this season, including a 1-for-7 mark against the Mets.

        Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

        Key betting note: New York is 9-1 in its last 10 interleague road games against an opponent with a losing record.

        Comment


        • #5
          Monday's National League Betting Cheat Sheet
          By Covers.com

          Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies (-118, 9.5)

          Cold pitching stat: Phillies right-hander Ethan Martin has surrendered at least one home run in each of his three major-league starts.

          Hot batting stat: Rockies 3B Nolan Arenado hit 5-for-12 with four RBIs in a three-game series against Philadelphia back in mid-June.

          Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

          Key betting note: The Phillies are 3-18 in their last 21 games against a right-handed starter.


          Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds (-160, 8.5)

          Hot pitching stat: Reds right-hander Bronson Arroyo has allowed just one run on six hits over his past two starts, striking out 14 without walking a batter.

          Hot batting stat: Diamondbacks 2B Aaron Hill is enjoying his hottest stretch of the season, recording eight multi-hit efforts over his last 10 games.

          Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will be calm.

          Key betting note: The under is 32-8-5 in the last 45 meetings in Cincinnati.


          Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins (+103, 6.5)

          Hot pitching stat: Dodgers left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu has won each of his last five starts, posting a 2.56 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 31 2/3 innings over that stretch.

          Cold batting stat: The Marlins rank last in the majors in runs scored, hits, home runs, batting average, slugging and OPS.

          Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow out to left field at 12 mph.

          Key betting note: The Dodgers have won each of Ryu's last nine starts against a team with a losing record.


          Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs (+125, 7.5)

          Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardzija is 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.

          Hot batting stat: Chicago 1B Anthony Rizzo batted 5-for-13 with three RBIs in a three-game series against the Nationals back in mid-May.

          Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with clear skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

          Key betting note: The under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.


          St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (+110, 8.5)

          Hot pitching stat: Cardinals rookie right-hander Shelby Miller has dominated the Brewers in 2013, allowing one run on eight hits over two starts - both victories.

          Hot batting stat: St. Louis 1B Allen Craig is batting .410 with a home run and eight RBIs in 10 games against Milwaukee in 2013.

          Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 5 mph.

          Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Brewers' SP Marco Estrada's last six Monday starts.


          Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres (+128, 6.5)

          Hot pitching stat: Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano has allowed one earned run or fewer in seven of his last 10 starts - including a complete-game four-hitter in his previous outing against the St. Louis Cardinals.

          Cold batting stat: OF Will Venable leads the club with 26 RBIs at home - the lowest team-leading total in the majors.

          Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

          Key betting note: The over is 5-0 in San Diego right-hander Andrew Cashner's last five outings following a quality start in his previous appearance.


          Interleague

          Boston Red Sox at San Francisco Giants (+111, 7)


          Cold pitching stat: Red Sox left-hander Jon Lester is 6-7 with a 4.72 ERA in 16 starts away from Fenway Park.

          Cold batting stat: Giants SS Brandon Crawford is hitting just .202 with one home run in 124 at-bats against left-handed pitching in 2013.

          Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

          Key betting note: San Francisco is 4-17 in right-hander Tim Lincecum's last 21 series-opening starts.

          Comment


          • #6
            National League

            Colorado at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
            Manship: Rockies 6-14 SU in 2013 road series openers
            Martin: Over is 9-3 in last 12 home series openers for Phillies

            Arizona at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
            Delgado: Diamondbacks 6-13 SU in first game of a 2013 road series
            Arroyo: Reds 14-5 SU in home series openers in 2013

            Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami, 7:10 ET
            Ryu: Dodgers have won their last eight road series openers
            Fernandez: Under is 9-3 in Fernandez's last 12 starts

            Washington at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
            Zimmermann: Under is 4-1 in last five road openers for Nationals
            Samardzija: Cubs 4-9 SU when Samardzija starts at home in 2013

            St. Louis at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
            Miller: Cardinals 2-7 SU in last nine road series openers
            Estrada: Under is 7-2 in last nine home series openers for Brewers

            Pittsburgh at San Diego, 10:10 ET
            Liriano: Over is 5-2 in last seven Pirates road series openers
            Cashner: Padres 7-3 SU in first game of a 2013 home series that continues a homestand

            American League

            Houston at Texas, 8:05 ET
            Lyles: Astros 6-23 SU when Lyles starts on the road
            Garza: Last five home series openers for Rangers have gone Under

            Seattle at Oakland, 10:05 ET
            Harang: Mariners 1-7 SU when Harang starts on the road
            Parker: Athletics' 7-3 SU in Parker's last 10 home starts

            Cleveland at Los Angeles Angels, 10:05 ET
            Salazar: Indians 3-9 SU in last 12 road series openers
            Weaver: Under is 10-1 last 11 times Weaver has started a home series opener after team lost in previous outing

            Interleague

            New York Mets at Minnesota, 2:10 ET
            Gee: Under is 4-1 in last five day starts for Gee
            Gibson: Twins 1-6 SU in last home day games

            Boston at San Francisco, 10:15 ET ESPN2
            Lester: Under is 8-1 in last nine Red Sox road series openers
            Lincecum: Giants 2-7 SU in last nine home series openers

            Comment


            • #7
              2:10 PM
              NY METS vs. MINNESOTA
              NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
              Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
              Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

              7:05 PM
              COLORADO vs. PHILADELPHIA
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
              Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
              Philadelphia is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games

              7:05 PM
              TAMPA BAY vs. BALTIMORE
              Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
              Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
              Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

              7:10 PM
              ARIZONA vs. CINCINNATI
              Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
              The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Cincinnati's last 23 games when playing at home against Arizona
              Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

              7:10 PM
              LA DODGERS vs. MIAMI
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

              8:05 PM
              WASHINGTON vs. CHI CUBS
              Washington is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 10 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games when playing at home against Washington
              Chi Cubs are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Washington

              8:05 PM
              HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
              Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
              Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games when playing Houston

              8:10 PM
              ST. LOUIS vs. MILWAUKEE
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
              St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
              Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
              Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis

              10:05 PM
              CLEVELAND vs. LA ANGELS
              Cleveland is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
              Cleveland is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
              LA Angels are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home

              10:05 PM
              SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
              Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
              Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle

              10:10 PM
              PITTSBURGH vs. SAN DIEGO
              Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
              Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
              San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
              San Diego is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh

              10:15 PM
              BOSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
              Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
              San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games at home

              Comment


              • #8
                Diamond Trends - Monday
                By Vince Akins
                VegasInsider.com

                SU TREND OF THE DAY:

                The Rays are 12-0 since June 08, 2013 when they are off a win in which they scored in at most two separate innings but scored at least two runs for a net profit of $1200.

                OU TREND OF THE DAY:

                The Indians are 0-13 OU since June 10, 2013 it is the first game of the series which is not part of a doubleheader, if they did not win by four or more runs last game for a net profit of $1300 when playing the under.

                PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

                Jered Weaver has produced a team record of 23-0 (+$2,305) in his career when he is off a start in which he had a WHIP of at least two and his team isn’t an underdog or more than +110.

                MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


                Jon Lester has produced a team record of 17-1 (+$1,635) in his career at night when his team used at least six pitchers yesterday.

                ACTIVE TRENDS:

                When Jordan Zimmermann starts the Nationals are 10-0 since July 18, 2012 as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games for a net profit of $1000.

                When Chris Tillman starts the Orioles are 10-0 since July 26, 2012 at home after his team won the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $1003.

                Comment

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